Yavuz Alogan<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Stratejik D\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnce Enstit\u00fcs\u00fc\u2019n\u00fcn yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 son anket halk\u0131m\u0131z\u0131n % 42\u2019sinin, izlenmekte olan d\u0131\u015f siyaseti olumlu buldu\u011funu ve bug\u00fcn se\u00e7im olsa AKP\u2019nin oylar\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131raca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 (% 54,7) ortaya koydu. Bu arada Standart & Poors T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin kredi notunu y\u00fckseltti; dolar d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc borsa \u015fahland\u0131. Plaza ekonomistleri bu b\u00fcy\u00fck tarihi olay\u0131 \u201ci\u015fte budur!\u201d diyerek selamlad\u0131larsa da, hemen ard\u0131ndan \u201cEuro b\u00f6lgesinde iflas\u201d ba\u015fl\u0131kl\u0131 haberler \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131; bu kez dolar \u015fahland\u0131 borsa d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Finans kesiminde morallerin aniden y\u00fckselip ans\u0131z\u0131n d\u00fc\u015fmesini \u00e7ok e\u011flenceli buldu\u011fumu s\u00f6ylemeden edemeyece\u011fim. \u0130nsan bazen tuhaf d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcncelere kap\u0131l\u0131yor. Ge\u00e7en g\u00fcn Eski\u015fehir yolunda g\u00f6steri\u015fli bir AVM\u2019de dola\u015f\u0131rken, \u201cOn y\u0131l sonra b\u00fct\u00fcn bu cafcafl\u0131 dekorlar\u0131 Ankara ke\u00e7ileri kemirecek, sokak k\u00f6pekleri marka ma\u011fazalar\u0131n i\u00e7inde birbiriyle dala\u015facak\u201d gibi korkun\u00e7 bir imgeye tak\u0131l\u0131p kald\u0131m.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Bu arada her \u00fc\u00e7 yurtta\u015f\u0131m\u0131zdan ikisini arkas\u0131na alan AKP de \u015fahlan\u0131yor. Kuzey, G\u00fcney ve Bat\u0131 Deniz Saha komutan\u0131 oramiraller Hastal ve Metris cezaevlerinin avlusunda volta atarken, \u015fanl\u0131 donanmam\u0131z\u0131n Akdeniz\u2019de seyr-\u00fc sefer serbestisi ilan edilerek, petrole bulanan ve yak\u0131nda kana bulanmas\u0131 muhtemel o g\u00fczelim denizin bir \u0130srail-Yunan g\u00f6l\u00fc olmayaca\u011f\u0131 il\u00e2n ediliyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u0130\u015faret Parma\u011f\u0131<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n B\u00fct\u00fcn bunlarda \u015fa\u015f\u0131lacak bir \u015fey yok. D\u00fcnyan\u0131n b\u00fct\u00fcn askeri akademilerinde \u201cAmfibik Taarruz Nas\u0131l Yap\u0131lmaz?\u201d ba\u015fl\u0131\u011f\u0131 alt\u0131nda ders olarak okutulan K\u0131br\u0131s \u00e7\u0131karmas\u0131n\u0131 bir yana b\u0131rak\u0131rsak, Birinci D\u00fcnya Sava\u015f\u0131 ve onun bir uzant\u0131s\u0131 olan \u0130stiklal Harbi\u2019nden bu yana sava\u015f g\u00f6rmemi\u015f, lin\u00e7 k\u00fclt\u00fcr\u00fcn\u00fcn ve kad\u0131n cinayetlerinin e\u015flik etti\u011fi h\u0131zl\u0131 bir muhafazak\u00e2rla\u015fma ya\u015fayan, otantik olan\u0131 da dahil bilinen her t\u00fcrl\u00fc k\u00fclt\u00fcrel de\u011ferden h\u0131zla ar\u0131narak kredi kart\u0131yla al\u0131\u015fveri\u015f yapt\u0131k\u00e7a kendini zengin sanan halk\u0131m\u0131z\u0131n g\u00f6r\u00fcp \u00f6\u011frenece\u011fi daha \u00e7ok \u015fey var. Halklar da t\u0131pk\u0131 insanlar gibi tecr\u00fcbe ettik\u00e7e \u00f6\u011frenirler, ergenlikten yeti\u015fkinli\u011fe ge\u00e7erler. Ayr\u0131ca, AKP\u2019ye bir kez daha oy vermeye haz\u0131r % 54,7\u2019nin, HES\u2019lere kar\u015f\u0131 sava\u015fan k\u00f6yl\u00fclerin ve emperyalizmin radar\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131 \u00f6rg\u00fctlenen Malatya halk\u0131n\u0131n m\u00fccadelesinden de \u00f6\u011frenece\u011fi \u00e7ok \u015fey olacak. K\u00fcrecik\u2019te kurulan radar, oray\u0131 basmaya giderken \u00f6ld\u00fcr\u00fclen Sinan Cemgil ve arkada\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n bir kez daha sayg\u0131yla an\u0131lmas\u0131na yol a\u00e7t\u0131. \u00d6\u011frenilecek ve hat\u0131rlanacak daha \u00e7ok \u015fey var.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Geni\u015f halk kitleleri d\u0131\u015f siyasetten anlamazlar. \u00c7ok profesyonel bir aland\u0131r ve hi\u00e7bir \u015fey d\u0131\u015far\u0131dan g\u00f6r\u00fcnd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc gibi de\u011fildir. Gene de halk\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fck\u00e7e bir b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fcn AKP\u2019nin efelenmesini olumlu bulmas\u0131n\u0131 hegemonyan\u0131n bir tezah\u00fcr\u00fc sayabiliriz. Hegemonyan\u0131n en \u00f6nemli \u00f6zelli\u011fi \u00e7o\u011funluk taraf\u0131ndan garipsenmemesidir. Hegemonya dikkati \u00e7ekmez, tart\u0131\u015fmas\u0131z kabul edilir ve do\u011fal g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcr. Gene de b\u00f6yle d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnen insanlar\u0131n hakk\u0131n\u0131 yemeyelim. M\u00fcthi\u015f bir propaganda bombard\u0131man\u0131 var. Ekranlarda d\u0131\u015f siyaset tart\u0131\u015fan badem b\u0131y\u0131kl\u0131 ya da ruhani ifadeli gen\u00e7 do\u00e7ent ve profes\u00f6rlere bak\u0131n\u0131z. Bu tuhaf tiplerin, daha \u00f6nceki yorumcular\u0131n yerini tam olarak ne zaman ald\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 bilemezsiniz. \u0130\u015fte hegemonya budur; her \u015fey ve her yer, sessizce, fark ettirmeden el de\u011fi\u015ftirir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Ba\u015fbakan\u2019\u0131n \u201cArap Bahar\u0131\u201d turu, b\u00fcy\u00fck bir zafer turu gibi g\u00f6sterilmesine ra\u011fmen, tam bir fiyaskodur. ABD izin vermedi\u011fi ve M\u0131s\u0131rl\u0131 yetkililer \u0130srail\u2019le aray\u0131 daha fazla bozmak istemedikleri i\u00e7in Gazze\u2019ye ge\u00e7mesini \u00f6nlediler. Tunus\u2019ta \u00e7ok c\u0131l\u0131z kalabal\u0131klara hitap etti ve Mustafa Kemal\u2019in takip\u00e7isi, yurtta\u015flar\u0131na Frans\u0131z tarz\u0131 sek\u00fclariteyi kabul ettiren Habip Burgiba\u2019n\u0131n \u00fclkesinde, \u201cDevlet laiktir, ben M\u00fcsl\u00fcman\u2019\u0131m elhamd\u00fclillah\u201d gibi s\u00f6zlerle, ortaokul yurtta\u015fl\u0131k kitab\u0131 seviyesinde laiklik anlatt\u0131. Libya\u2019da ise, ya\u011fma ve s\u00f6m\u00fcr\u00fc i\u00e7in \u00f6n almaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan Sarkozy ve Cameron\u2019un hayatta yapamayacaklar\u0131 tek \u015feyi yaparak emperyalizmin paral\u0131 askerleriyle saf tutup cumay\u0131 ed\u00e2 etti ve bas\u0131n, namaz s\u0131ras\u0131nda sa\u011f elinin i\u015faret parma\u011f\u0131n\u0131n neden havaland\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 merak edince (ana-ak\u0131m medyan\u0131n merak\u0131na bak\u0131n\u0131z!), imam hatip mezunu bir k\u00f6\u015fe yazar\u0131 \u201cettehiyyat\u00fc\u201dy\u00fc zikrederken Allah birdir manas\u0131na i\u015faret parma\u011f\u0131n\u0131n havaland\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yleyerek meraklar\u0131 giderdi. Cezayirli y\u00f6neticiler ise uyan\u0131k davranarak \u00fclkenin kurtulu\u015f y\u0131ld\u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fc m\u00fcnasebetiyle, \u0130talyan fa\u015fizminin z\u0131rhl\u0131 birliklerine kar\u015f\u0131 deve \u00fczerinde piyade t\u00fcfe\u011fiyle ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131k sava\u015f\u0131 veren \u00d6mer Muhtar\u2019\u0131n an\u0131t\u0131 i\u00e7in toplanan kalabal\u0131\u011f\u0131n bizim ba\u015fbakan\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131yormu\u015f gibi rol yapmas\u0131n\u0131 sa\u011flad\u0131. Ba\u015fbakan belirlenen saatte BM k\u00fcrs\u00fcs\u00fcne \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131nda Filistin Devlet Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Abbas ve belli ba\u015fl\u0131 Arap liderleri salonda yoktu. \u00d6nemsemediklerini b\u00f6ylece belli etmi\u015f oldular. Diplomasi ayn\u0131 zamanda bir jestler ve simgesel davran\u0131\u015flar alan\u0131d\u0131r. <\/p>\n\n\n\n M\u00fcsl\u00fcman Karde\u015fler\u2019in laiklik tepkisi bu fiyaskolar zincirinin \u00fczerine t\u00fcy dikti. \u0130hvan-\u0131 M\u00fcsl\u00fcmin s\u00f6zc\u00fcs\u00fc Mahmud Gozlan, Ba\u015fbakan i\u00e7in \u201cBizimle \u0130srail konusunda ayn\u0131 pozisyonu payla\u015fan, \u00fclkesinin itibar\u0131n\u0131 koruyan sayg\u0131n lider,\u201d diyerek d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck profilli bir nezaket g\u00f6sterisinin ard\u0131ndan, sadede geldi: \u201cE\u011fer T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de bir erkek bir kad\u0131n\u0131 bir ba\u015fka erkekle yakalarsa, onu yasalara g\u00f6re cezaland\u0131ramaz, \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc orada buna izin vard\u0131r. T\u00fcrkiye bu a\u00e7\u0131dan \u0130slam \u015feriat\u0131n\u0131 ihlal etmektedir.\u201d Bak sen \u015fu i\u015fe! \u0130nsanl\u0131k ne mevzulara geldi dayand\u0131. \u201cDemokratik\u201d se\u00e7im yap\u0131l\u0131rsa, M\u0131s\u0131r\u2019da M\u00fcsl\u00fcman Karde\u015fler iktidara gelecek.<\/p>\n\n\n\n \u00c7ok Y\u00f6nl\u00fc Siyaset<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n AKP, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de esas olarak Silahl\u0131 Kuvvetler\u2019in temsil etti\u011fi ideolojik Devlet\u2019le nas\u0131l siyaset yapt\u0131 ve onu dize getirdiyse, ayn\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 ABD\u2019yle yapmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yor. ABD\u2019yi dize getiremeyece\u011fini elbette biliyor, fakat onun \u201c\u0131l\u0131ml\u0131 \u0130slam\u201d projesine t\u0131rmanarak kendi \u015fartlar\u0131n\u0131 ona kabul ettirmeyi umuyor. Bu a\u015famada ABD ile T\u00fcrkiye aras\u0131nda kararla\u015ft\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f bir b\u00f6lgesel plan\u0131n varl\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00fcyor. Ya da ABD\u2019nin dayatt\u0131\u011f\u0131 b\u00f6yle bir plan varsa, AKP onu \u00e7e\u015fitli noktalardan delip de\u011fi\u015ftirmeye ve b\u00f6lgesel \u00e7\u0131karlar\u0131na uyarlamaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Buraya kadar her \u015fey normal. Fakat \u0130srail\u2019le ili\u015fkilerin a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 derede gerilmesi normal de\u011fil. Burada iki ihtimal var: ya AKP Suriye ve \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131na ge\u00e7meden \u00f6nce \u0130srail\u2019le \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma g\u00f6r\u00fcnt\u00fcs\u00fc alt\u0131nda Arap\/S\u00fcnni halklar\u0131n g\u00f6z\u00fcne girmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yor ya da ABD\u2019nin T\u00fcrkiye\u2019yi \u0130ran ve Suriye\u2019nin kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131na ge\u00e7irme \u00e7abalar\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131 koymak amac\u0131yla potansiyel bir askeri ittifak\u0131 dinamitlemek i\u00e7in \u0130srail\u2019le aray\u0131 geri d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fc olmayacak \u015fekilde bozmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yor. ABD\u2019nin her iki durumdan da ho\u015flanmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 anlamak i\u00e7in fazla zeki olmaya gerek yok. \u0130srail Amerika demektir. Bu arada hem \u0130ran\u2019\u0131 g\u00f6zetleyecek radar sistemini Malatya\u2019ya yerle\u015ftiriyor, hem de PKK\u2019ya kar\u015f\u0131 \u0130ran\u2019la i\u015fbirli\u011fi yapaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131kl\u0131yor. \u0130srail\u2019in Gazze ablukas\u0131n\u0131 donanma deste\u011finde k\u0131rmaya, K\u0131br\u0131s Rum kesiminin d\u00f6rt y\u0131l \u00f6nce kararla\u015ft\u0131r\u0131p il\u00e2n etti\u011fi sondaj \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n\u0131 yeni bir olaym\u0131\u015f gibi askeri bask\u0131yla \u00f6nlemeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yor. Bu arada \u00c7in Halk Cumhuriyeti\u2019yle ABD\u2019nin \u201cbilgi istemesi\u201dne yol a\u00e7acak \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde askeri ili\u015fkiler geli\u015ftiriyor (ge\u00e7en y\u0131l Isparta\u2019daki komando okulunda ortak askeri tatbikat ve T\u00fcrk Hava Kuvvetleri\u2019yle Konya\u2019da ortak hava tatbikat\u0131; ve \u015fu s\u0131ralarda \u00c7inli subaylar\u0131n Bar\u0131\u015f \u0130\u00e7in Ortakl\u0131k Merkezi\u2019ni ziyaret etmesi). Amerikal\u0131lar kayg\u0131lan\u0131yorlar: ya \u00c7inliler F-16 u\u00e7aklar\u0131n\u0131n inceliklerini ve Amerikan hava muharebesi taktiklerini \u00f6\u011frenirlerse!<\/p>\n\n\n\n A\u015f\u0131r\u0131 derecede \u00e7ok y\u00f6nl\u00fc bir siyaset s\u00f6z konusu ve b\u00fct\u00fcn y\u00f6nler birbiriyle \u00e7eli\u015fiyor. D\u0131\u015fi\u015fleri Bakan\u0131\u2019n\u0131n 18 Eyl\u00fcl g\u00fcn\u00fc CNN\u2019de s\u00f6yledi\u011fi gibi, T\u00fcrkiye Hint Okyanus\u2019undan S\u00fcvey\u015f Kanal\u0131\u2019na ve Akdeniz\u2019e kadar geni\u015f bir b\u00f6lgede varl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 hissettirebilecek bir d\u00fcnya g\u00fcc\u00fc m\u00fcd\u00fcr? Acaba bir yerlere saklad\u0131klar\u0131 u\u00e7ak gemileri mi var? Tutuklu 25 amiralin yerine, y\u00fczme bilen imamlar\u0131 m\u0131 ge\u00e7irecekler? Neye g\u00fcveniyorlar?<\/p>\n\n\n\n Neye g\u00fcvendiklerini bilmiyoruz. Fakat \u0130srail\u2019in bu durumu ciddiye ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Mossad\u2019\u0131n y\u00f6nlendirdi\u011fi DebkaFile<\/em> sitesinde yer alan bir \u201c\u00f6zel haber\u201dde, Erdo\u011fan\u2019\u0131n so\u011fukkanl\u0131 bir tav\u0131rla (coolly) \u00fclkesini \u0130srail\u2019le silahl\u0131 bir \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmaya sokacak provokatif ad\u0131mlar att\u0131\u011f\u0131, \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n bile \u0130srail\u2019i bu \u015fekilde k\u0131\u015fk\u0131rtmaya cesaret edemedi\u011fi s\u00f6yleniyor. \u015e\u00f6yle deniyor: \u201cT\u00fcrk Ba\u015fbakan\u0131, yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 manevralar\u0131 derin bir ku\u015fkuyla izlemekte olan M\u0131s\u0131r ve Suudi Arabistan gibi belli ba\u015fl\u0131 Arap g\u00fc\u00e7lerinin, T\u00fcrkiye \u0130srail\u2019le \u00e7at\u0131\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131nda oyuna kat\u0131lmaktan ba\u015fka se\u00e7eneklerinin olmayaca\u011f\u0131na inan\u0131yor.\u201d T\u00fcrk donanmas\u0131n\u0131n Do\u011fu Akdeniz\u2019e a\u00e7\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131n iki nedeni oldu\u011fu yaz\u0131l\u0131yor: Birincisi, \u0130srail\u2019in \u201ck\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck donanmas\u0131\u201dn\u0131, \u201cbiri Gazze ablukas\u0131n\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcrken\u201d di\u011feri \u0130srail k\u0131y\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131ndaki gaz ve petrol alanlar\u0131n\u0131 savunacak \u015fekilde ikiye b\u00f6lmek. \u0130kincisi, \u0130srail\u2019in kendi k\u0131y\u0131lar\u0131ndaki petrol ve gaz imk\u00e2nlar\u0131ndan yararlanmas\u0131n\u0131 k\u0131smen ya da tamamen \u00f6nleyerek \u201cYahudi devletinin ilerlemesi\u201dni kesintiye u\u011fratmak.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Siyonist ve katliamc\u0131 da olsa \u0130srail ciddi bir devlettir; bizim bl\u00f6f olarak g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcm\u00fcz \u015feye farkl\u0131 bak\u0131yor ve T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 kendisi i\u00e7in bir \u201cvarolu\u015f sorunu\u201d olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcyor. Ayn\u0131 sitede yer alan bir ba\u015fka yaz\u0131da, Yunanistan ile \u0130srail\u2019in 4 Eyl\u00fcl 2011 g\u00fcn\u00fc bir kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131kl\u0131 savunma pakt\u0131 olu\u015fturduklar\u0131; Papandreou ve Netanyahu\u2019nun, \u201c\u0130srail\u2019e ve Akdeniz havzas\u0131nda sondaj faaliyetine kar\u015f\u0131 T\u00fcrk tehditlerinin \u0131\u015f\u0131\u011f\u0131nda pakt\u0131 aktive etmeyi kararla\u015ft\u0131rd\u0131klar\u0131; \u0130srail ve Yunanistan\u2019\u0131n bundan sonra do\u011fu Akdeniz ve K\u0131br\u0131s \u00e7evresinde donanma faaliyetlerini e\u015fg\u00fcd\u00fcml\u00fc hale getirecekleri\u201d ve T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin b\u00f6lgede sondaj faaliyetlerini engellemesi halinde, Akdeniz\u2019de ve K\u0131br\u0131s k\u0131y\u0131lar\u0131nda T\u00fcrkiye ile Yunanistan, K\u0131br\u0131s ve \u0130srail aras\u0131nda b\u00fcy\u00fck ihtimalle (most likely) bir deniz ve hava sava\u015f\u0131n\u0131n \u00e7\u0131kaca\u011f\u0131 belirtiliyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Ayn\u0131 yaz\u0131da, ABD ile \u0130srail\u2019in aras\u0131n\u0131 yanl\u0131\u015f y\u00f6nlendirmeyle bozma \u00e7abalar\u0131n\u0131n hi\u00e7bir sonu\u00e7 vermeyece\u011fi ifade edildikten sonra, \u015fu kritik c\u00fcmleye yer veriliyor: \u201cUluslararas\u0131 krizi yanl\u0131\u015f y\u00f6nlendirmek i\u00e7in Amerikan i\u00e7 siyasetine kar\u0131\u015fmak tehlikeli bir oyundur \u2026 ABD ve Avrupa istihbarat servisleri Erdo\u011fan\u2019\u0131n daha ne kadar h\u00fck\u00fcmette kalaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 merak ediyorlar.\u201d Bu arada site, ABD Ulusal \u0130stihbarat Direkt\u00f6r\u00fc James Clapper\u2019\u0131n T\u00fcrkiye\u2019yi \u00fc\u00e7 konuda uyarmak i\u00e7in geldi\u011fini s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor. Birincisi, K\u00fcrecik radar\u0131n\u0131n \u0130srail\u2019le payla\u015f\u0131lmayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yleyen Davuto\u011flu\u2019nu uyarmak; ikincisi, T\u00fcrkiye, \u0130srail ve Yunanistan aras\u0131nda \u201cpatlak veren hava ve deniz d\u00fc\u015fmanl\u0131klar\u0131\u201dndan ka\u00e7\u0131n\u0131lmas\u0131; ve \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fcs\u00fc, AKP\u2019nin Akdeniz\u2019deki \u201cbrinkmanship\u201d (amac\u0131 u\u011fruna tehlikeyi g\u00f6ze almak, umursamadan korku ve gerilim siyaseti izlemek) tutumundan vazge\u00e7mesi. NATO Avrupa M\u00fcttefik Kuvvetler Komutan\u0131 Stavridis\u2019in T\u00fcrkiye\u2019yi ziyareti de muhtemelen Do\u011fu Akdeniz kriziyle ilgili. Ciddiye al\u0131yorlar!<\/p>\n\n\n\n Neyin planland\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ya da bir plan\u0131n olup olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 elbette bilemeyiz. Ba\u015fbakan, M. A. Birand\u2019a, \u201cBiz dizel motoru gibiyiz,\u201d demi\u015f. Hakikaten dizel motoru gibiler, lakin pervaneleri bo\u015fa d\u00f6n\u00fcyor ve a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 g\u00fcr\u00fclt\u00fc \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131yor gibi. Emperyalizmi kand\u0131rarak Selahaddin Eyyubi\u2019nin postuna oturmak i\u00e7in halk kitlelerini ideolojik bir seferberli\u011fe y\u00f6neltmek ve sa\u011flam bir iktisadi altyap\u0131ya sahip olmak gerekir. Birincisi \u015fimdilik pek m\u00fcmk\u00fcn g\u00f6r\u00fcnm\u00fcyor; ikincisi ise yok. Bu durumda ve ba\u015fka d\u0131\u015f ve i\u00e7 etkenler de dikkate al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda AKP\u2019nin orta vadede \u00e7ok a\u011f\u0131r sonu\u00e7larla kar\u015f\u0131la\u015fabilece\u011fini s\u00f6ylemek m\u00fcmk\u00fcn.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Bu yaz\u0131 boyunca \u201ch\u00fck\u00fcmet\u201d yerine \u201cAKP\u201d deyi\u015fimiz dikkati \u00e7ekmi\u015f olmal\u0131. \u00a0Bunun sebebi, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin \u00e7ok dar bir parti kadrosu taraf\u0131ndan her t\u00fcrl\u00fc i\u00e7 ve d\u0131\u015f imk\u00e2n ve kabiliyet kullan\u0131larak y\u00f6netiliyor olmas\u0131d\u0131r. Burada, siyaset bilimindeki geleneksel\u00a0 anlam\u0131yla\u00a0 organik bir devlet yap\u0131s\u0131 de\u011fil, kendisi devlet haline gelen ideolojik ve hegemonik bir parti yap\u0131s\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. \u00a0\u00c7ok a\u011f\u0131r bask\u0131 ko\u015fullar\u0131 olmad\u0131k\u00e7a, b\u00f6yle bir yap\u0131n\u0131n orta vadede geni\u015f bir muhalefet cephesi \u00fcretmemesi m\u00fcmk\u00fcn g\u00f6r\u00fcnm\u00fcyor. \u00d6nemli olan bu cephenin hangi rengi ta\u015f\u0131yaca\u011f\u0131d\u0131r: h\u00e2ki mi, ye\u015fil mi, mavi mi, yoksa alacal\u0131 bulacal\u0131 m\u0131? Hi\u00e7 mi k\u0131z\u0131l\u0131 olmayacak? RED<\/em>, 26.09.2011<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Yavuz Alogan Stratejik D\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnce Enstit\u00fcs\u00fc\u2019n\u00fcn yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 son anket halk\u0131m\u0131z\u0131n % 42\u2019sinin, izlenmekte olan d\u0131\u015f siyaseti olumlu buldu\u011funu ve bug\u00fcn se\u00e7im olsa AKP\u2019nin oylar\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131raca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 (% 54,7) ortaya koydu. Bu arada Standart & Poors T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin kredi notunu y\u00fckseltti; dolar d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc borsa \u015fahland\u0131. Plaza ekonomistleri bu b\u00fcy\u00fck tarihi olay\u0131 \u201ci\u015fte budur!\u201d diyerek selamlad\u0131larsa da, hemen ard\u0131ndan \u201cEuro … <\/p>\n