{"id":1763,"date":"2025-02-23T09:40:54","date_gmt":"2025-02-23T07:40:54","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/yavuzalogan.com\/?p=1763"},"modified":"2025-02-23T09:40:54","modified_gmt":"2025-02-23T07:40:54","slug":"amerikan-testeresi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/yavuzalogan.com\/?p=1763","title":{"rendered":"AMER\u0130KAN TESTERES\u0130"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
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Yavuz Alogan<\/p>\n\n\n\n

         Eskiden i\u00e7 ve d\u0131\u015f her olay, \u00fczerinde tarihsel\/ideolojik bir etiketle gelirdi. Bu etiket sayesinde, s\u00f6z gelimi Vietnam sava\u015f\u0131n\u0131, 12 Mart muht\u0131ras\u0131n\u0131, S\u00fcvey\u015f krizini, Arap-\u0130srail sava\u015flar\u0131n\u0131, Bandung Konferans\u0131\u2019n\u0131, Salt Antla\u015fmalar\u0131\u2019n\u0131 ve daha pek \u00e7ok \u015feyi yerle\u015ftirmek, \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcmlemek ve anlamak kolay olurdu. G\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fczde olaylar tarihsel\/ideolojik etiketleri \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131lm\u0131\u015f olarak geliyor. Olaylarda mant\u0131k arayan zihin neyi nas\u0131l s\u0131n\u0131fland\u0131r\u0131p kaydedece\u011fini bilemiyor<\/p>\n\n\n\n

         Asl\u0131nda tarih kopu\u015flar\u0131 ve s\u00fcreklilikleri kaydeder. Her kopu\u015fta insanl\u0131k afallar, sonra yeniden akl\u0131n\u0131 ba\u015f\u0131na toplay\u0131p s\u00fcreklilik aray\u0131\u015f\u0131na girer.  Karl Marx\u2019a g\u00f6re tarih, ancak bir b\u00fct\u00fcn olarak ele al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcmlenebilir: \u201cTarih, her biri kendinden \u00f6nce gelen ku\u015faklar taraf\u0131ndan kendisine aktar\u0131lm\u0131\u015f olan malzemeyi, sermayeyi, \u00fcretici g\u00fc\u00e7leri kullanan farkl\u0131 ku\u015faklar\u0131n art arda geli\u015finden ba\u015fka bir \u015fey de\u011fildir.\u201d Her ku\u015fak geleneksel faaliyeti de\u011fi\u015fen ko\u015fullarda s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcr ve farkl\u0131 bir faaliyetle eski ko\u015fullar\u0131 de\u011fi\u015ftirir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

         Kesinti ne kadar \u00e2ni ve beklenmedik olursa, insanl\u0131\u011f\u0131n ya\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131 afallama o kadar b\u00fcy\u00fck olur. Ge\u00e7mi\u015ften aktar\u0131lan malzemenin (kurumlar, ideolojiler, ilkeler) ans\u0131z\u0131n i\u015flevsiz kald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131, sermayenin sanalla\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131, teknolojinin eme\u011fi ikame etmesiyle birlikte insan\u0131n fiili \u00fcretim s\u00fcrecinden d\u0131\u015flanmaya y\u00fcz tuttu\u011funu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnelim. Bu kopu\u015ftan nas\u0131l bir s\u00fcreklili\u011fe ge\u00e7ilecek?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

         Tarih\u00e7i Eric Hobsbawm, yak\u0131n d\u00f6nemde \u00fc\u00e7 kopu\u015f oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yler (2000\u2019de): I. D\u00fcnya Sava\u015f\u0131 sonras\u0131nda, II. D\u00fcnya Sava\u015f\u0131 s\u0131ras\u0131nda ve sonras\u0131nda, nihayet Sovyetler Birli\u011fi\u2019nin \u00e7\u00f6k\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnden sonra.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

         Hobsbawm bu kopu\u015flar\u0131 k\u0131yaslar ve uzun vadede en b\u00fcy\u00fck etkiyi \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc kopu\u015fun yarataca\u011f\u0131 sonucuna var\u0131r.  Daha \u015fimdiden (2000\u2019lerin ba\u015f\u0131) kapitalizmin ve emperyalist ya\u011fmac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n engellerden kurtuldu\u011funu s\u00f6yler.  Kopu\u015fun iki kurban\u0131, \u201csosyal refah devleti\u201d ve g\u00fcvenliktir. Bug\u00fcnden bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda Hobsbawm\u2019\u0131n hakl\u0131 \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

         Fakat Hobsbawm  her \u015feye ra\u011fmen Avrupa-Atlantik d\u00fcnyas\u0131n\u0131n her zamanki gibi iktisad\u00ee\/siyas\u00ee krizleri a\u015farak kendi i\u00e7inde  bir t\u00fcr istikrar\/s\u00fcreklilik sa\u011flayabilece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcr. Esas sorun alan\u0131 olarak do\u011fuyu i\u015faret eder: \u201cD\u00fcnyan\u0131n, Romanya\u2019dan ba\u015flay\u0131p \u00c7in\u2019e kadar uzanan k\u0131sm\u0131n\u0131n siyasi yazg\u0131s\u0131 dramatik bir belirsizlik i\u00e7inde kalacak.\u201d <\/p>\n\n\n\n

         Birle\u015fmi\u015f Milletler\u2019in i\u015flevini kaybetti\u011fini, AB\u2019nin akordunun bozuldu\u011funu, NATO\u2019nun da\u011f\u0131lmaya y\u00fcz tuttu\u011funu, b\u00f6ylece \u201cdramatik belirsizlik\u201din Avrupa-Atlantik d\u00fcnyas\u0131n\u0131 par\u00e7alad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 dikkate al\u0131rsak, Hobsbawm\u2019\u0131n bu konuda yan\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yleyebiliriz. \u201cDramatik belirsizlik\u201d Avrupa-Atlantik b\u00f6lgesini de i\u00e7ine alarak b\u00fct\u00fcn d\u00fcnyay\u0131 kaplam\u0131\u015f durumda.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

         Ge\u00e7mi\u015fin \u0131\u015f\u0131\u011f\u0131 bug\u00fcn\u00fc fazla ayd\u0131nlatmasa da analoji  (tarihsel olaylarla benze\u015ftirme) yapmak durumunday\u0131z. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

         Ulusal ve uluslararas\u0131 kurallara ve yasalara uyarak emperyalist rekabeti s\u00fcrd\u00fcremeyece\u011fini anlayan Amerikan \u201cM\u00fcesses Nizam\u201d\u0131, kurallara dayal\u0131 d\u00fcnya d\u00fczenini, yenisini kurmak i\u00e7in kontroll\u00fc bir kaos stratejisiyle y\u0131kmak amac\u0131yla \u201cdelidir ne yapsa yeridir\u201d diyerek Trump\u2019\u0131 ortaya sald\u0131.  Weimar anayasas\u0131yla (1918) Versay Antla\u015fmas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (1919) getirdi\u011fi k\u0131s\u0131tlamalar\u0131 a\u015famayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131, a\u015famad\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00fcrece de toplumsal istikrar\u0131n sa\u011flanamayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 anlayan Alman burjuvazisi de Hitler\u2019e raz\u0131 olmu\u015ftu (1933).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

         Trump\u2019\u0131n el uzatmas\u0131yla Putin\u2019in y\u00fcz y\u00fcze kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 ikilem, Stalin\u2019in Molotov-Ribbentrop Pakt\u0131\u2019na (1939) raz\u0131 olurken y\u00fcz y\u00fcze kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 ikilemin yan\u0131nda devede kulak gibidir.  \u00c7ar\u2019\u0131n yetkilerine sahip Putin\u2019in kendi kellesini muhafaza ederek Rus emperyal jeopoliti\u011fini s\u00fcrd\u00fcrmekten ba\u015fka kayg\u0131s\u0131 yokken, Stalin jeopolitik u\u011fruna Komintern\u2019i (Lenin\u2019in III. Enternasyonali) feda etme yoluna girdi\u011fini biliyordu.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

         Trump\u2019\u0131n MAGA (Amerika\u2019y\u0131 yeniden b\u00fcy\u00fck yap) stratejisinin sadece ABD\u2019yle ilgili olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 anl\u0131yoruz. Trump\u2019la birlikte ulusal egemenlik, devletlerin kendi topraklar\u0131 \u00fczerindeki egemenli\u011fi tart\u0131\u015fmaya a\u00e7\u0131ld\u0131.  Ben Gr\u00f6nland\u2019\u0131, Kanada\u2019y\u0131 al\u0131yorsam, sen de Ukrayna\u2019y\u0131, hatta Kaliningrad\u2019la yeniden birle\u015ferek Estonya\u2019y\u0131 alabilirsin ya da ben T\u00fcrk Bo\u011fazlar\u0131\u2019n\u0131 kontrol edeyim, sen de Trabzon\u2019da \u00fcs kurup evliye-i sel\u00e2se\u2019nin Kars ve Ardahan b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc al\u0131ver diyebilir mesela. Adam devletlerin egemenli\u011fini tan\u0131m\u0131yor, sadece kuvvete ve kuvvetlilerin birli\u011fine inan\u0131yor. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

         \u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki bar\u0131\u015f\u0131n (olacaksa e\u011fer) Yalta (1945) de\u011fil, Vestfalya (1648) bar\u0131\u015f\u0131 olmas\u0131 daha muhtemel. Yalta imzalan\u0131rken sava\u015f neredeyse bitmi\u015f, s\u0131ra n\u00fcfuz alanlar\u0131n\u0131n payla\u015f\u0131m\u0131na ve yeni d\u00fcnya d\u00fczeninin kurulmas\u0131na (BM) gelmi\u015fti. G\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fczde sava\u015f(lar) yeni ba\u015fl\u0131yor, BM d\u00fczeni kedisinden \u00f6nceki Milletler Cemiyeti gibi \u00e7\u00f6k\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

         Vestfalya ise devletlerin egemenli\u011fini, e\u015fitli\u011fini, birbirinin i\u00e7i\u015flerine kar\u0131\u015fmama ilkesini getirmi\u015fti. Tekno-sermaye fa\u015fizminin 300 y\u0131l sonra ortadan kald\u0131rmak istedi\u011fi \u015fey tam da budur.  Umar\u0131z yeni bir Vestfalya Sistemi i\u00e7in 30 y\u0131l sava\u015fmak gerekmez.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

         Arjantin\u2019in hiperaktif ba\u015fkan\u0131 Milei\u2019nin Elon Musk\u2019a hediye etti\u011fi alt\u0131n testerenin simgesel anlam\u0131 \u00e7ok b\u00fcy\u00fck. Musk onunla b\u00fcrokrasiyi par\u00e7alayacakm\u0131\u015f (Max Weber mezar\u0131nda ters d\u00f6nm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcr). Tekno-sermaye fa\u015fizmi ulusal ve uluslararas\u0131 hukukla birlikte Devlet b\u00fcrokrasisini, \u00f6n\u00fcndeki en b\u00fcy\u00fck engel olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcyor. Dijital kapitalizm \u00e7a\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ba\u015flat\u0131rken ge\u00e7mi\u015ften gelen b\u00fct\u00fcn \u00fcstyap\u0131 kurumlar\u0131n\u0131 s\u0131rt\u0131ndan atmak istiyor. Neoliberalizm Devlet\u2019i piyasan\u0131n hizmetine soktu. Bunlar, do\u011frudan tekno-burjuvazinin, en b\u00fcy\u00fck zenginlerin y\u00f6netimini Devlet olarak yap\u0131land\u0131rmak istiyorlar ve buna ger\u00e7ek demokrasi diyorlar.  Avrupa\u2019daki neo-Nazilere d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnce \u00f6zg\u00fcrl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc demokrasinin icab\u0131 sayan bir ABD y\u00f6netimi kopu\u015fun derinli\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

         Berlin Duvar\u0131\u2019n\u0131n y\u0131k\u0131l\u0131\u015f\u0131ndan (1989)  sonra  b\u00fct\u00fcn bir jeostratejik k\u00fclliyat; Halford MacKinder\u2019in \u201ckalpg\u00e2h-heartland- teorisi\u201d (Do\u011fu Avrupa\u2019y\u0131 alan kalpg\u00e2ha, kalpg\u00e2h\u0131 alan D\u00fcnya Adas\u0131\u2019na, D\u00fcnya Adas\u0131\u2019n\u0131 alan d\u00fcnyaya h\u00fckmeder), Nicholas Spykman\u2019in \u201ckenar ku\u015fak -rimland-  teorisi\u201d (kenar ku\u015fa\u011f\u0131 kontrol eden Avrasya\u2019y\u0131, Avrasya\u2019y\u0131 y\u00f6neten d\u00fcnyay\u0131 kontrol eder) ve Karl Haushofer\u2019in  \u201cHayat Alan\u0131 -Lebensraum- teorisi\u201d (devletlerin kendi halklar\u0131na alan a\u00e7ma ve kaynak sa\u011flama hak ve sorumlulu\u011fu vard\u0131r)  tozlu raflardan indirildi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

         \u015eimdiki durumu veri almak \u015fart\u0131yla bu teoriler a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan d\u00fcnyaya bakarsak; kalpg\u00e2h\u0131n k\u0131sa vadede Rusya\u2019da kalabilece\u011fini, zamanla  Bat\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcnde Avrupa Rusyas\u0131 ile  \u00c7in y\u00f6n\u00fcnde Do\u011fu Rusyas\u0131 aras\u0131nda b\u00f6l\u00fcnebilece\u011fini;  ABD\u2019nin, kenar ku\u015fak (Avrupa, Ortado\u011fu, G\u00fcneydo\u011fu Asya) \u00fczerindeki h\u00e2kimiyetini g\u00fc\u00e7lendirmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131rken \u00c7in\u2019in anla\u015fmaya haz\u0131r tutumunu de\u011ferlendirebilece\u011fini; ve b\u00fct\u00fcn d\u00fcnya devletlerinin Nazi yay\u0131lmac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n ak\u0131l hocas\u0131 Haushofer\u2019in \u201cHayat Alan\u0131\u201d teorisini benimseyece\u011fini s\u00f6yleyerek spek\u00fclasyon yapabiliriz. Her spek\u00fclasyon beraberinde y\u00fczlerce soru getirecektir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

         Kapitalizmin dijitalle\u015fmesi, yapay zek\u00e2n\u0131n strateji alan\u0131na aktar\u0131lmas\u0131 ve yeni silah teknolojilerinin (biyoteknoloji d\u00e2hil) geli\u015ferek sava\u015f vas\u0131talar\u0131n\u0131 insans\u0131zla\u015ft\u0131rmas\u0131yla birlikte, jeostratejik teorilerin yerini teknostratejik teorilerin alaca\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fclmektedir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

         Armageddon\u2019un (en b\u00fcy\u00fck son kutsal sava\u015f) ard\u0131ndan Mesih\u2019in g\u00f6klerden Kud\u00fcs\u2019e inece\u011fi gibi sa\u00e7ma H\u0131ristiyan-evangelist inan\u00e7lar\u0131n arkas\u0131nda Yankee emperyalizminin, olu\u015fmu\u015f ya da olu\u015fmakta olan mant\u0131kl\u0131 bir h\u00e2kimiyet\/dengeleme stratejisi izleyece\u011fini, \u00c7in\u2019in ve ABD\u2019nin y\u00f6r\u00fcngesine girmedi\u011fi taktirde    Rusya\u2019n\u0131n da mutlaka bir savunma strateji geli\u015ftirece\u011fini, \u00e7evre \u00fclkelerde konvansiyonel sava\u015flar\u0131n, her yerde ve merkez \u00fclkelerde her t\u00fcrl\u00fc hibrit sava\u015f\u0131n s\u00fcrece\u011fini tahmin edebiliriz. G\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc, zay\u0131f\u0131 ezecek. Tepki olarak ulus-devlet d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcncesi, milliyet\u00e7ilik ve mikro milliyet\u00e7i ak\u0131mlar g\u00fc\u00e7lenecek (\u201csa\u011f\u0131n y\u00fckseli\u015fi\u201d denilen \u015fey!).  Emperyalizme ancak ulusal arenada mill\u00ee siyasetlerle kar\u015f\u0131 durulabilecek.    Veryans\u0131n<\/em>, 23. 02. 2025<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Yavuz Alogan          Eskiden i\u00e7 ve d\u0131\u015f her olay, \u00fczerinde tarihsel\/ideolojik bir etiketle gelirdi. Bu etiket sayesinde, s\u00f6z gelimi Vietnam sava\u015f\u0131n\u0131, 12 Mart muht\u0131ras\u0131n\u0131, S\u00fcvey\u015f krizini, Arap-\u0130srail sava\u015flar\u0131n\u0131, Bandung Konferans\u0131\u2019n\u0131, Salt Antla\u015fmalar\u0131\u2019n\u0131 ve daha pek \u00e7ok \u015feyi yerle\u015ftirmek, \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcmlemek ve anlamak kolay olurdu. G\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fczde olaylar tarihsel\/ideolojik etiketleri \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131lm\u0131\u015f olarak geliyor. Olaylarda mant\u0131k arayan zihin neyi … <\/p>\n

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