{"id":1696,"date":"2024-10-20T10:15:34","date_gmt":"2024-10-20T08:15:34","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/yavuzalogan.com\/?p=1696"},"modified":"2024-10-20T10:19:30","modified_gmt":"2024-10-20T08:19:30","slug":"sonuclar-ve-olasiliklar-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/yavuzalogan.com\/?p=1696","title":{"rendered":"SONU\u00c7LAR VE OLASILIKLAR"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Yavuz Alogan<\/p>\n\n\n\n

         Yak\u0131n d\u00f6nemin tarihsel tecr\u00fcbesi siyas\u00ee \u0130slam\u2019\u0131n Devlet y\u00f6netme, \u0130slam\u00ee bir demokrasi ya da diktat\u00f6rl\u00fck kurma kapasitesinden yoksun oldu\u011funu kan\u0131tlad\u0131.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u0130ran\u2019\u0131 ayr\u0131 tutmak gerekir. Oradaki iktidar\u0131n s\u0131n\u0131fsal bir temeli (Bazar\u00eeler) ve \u0130mamlar\u2019\u0131n v\u00e2risi olma iddias\u0131ndaki din adamlar\u0131n\u0131n diktat\u00f6rl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcne me\u015fruiyet sa\u011flayan bir t\u00fcr devlet teorisi (Velayet-i Fakih) vard\u0131.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de \u0130slamc\u0131lar yirmi y\u0131l iktidarda kald\u0131lar, Devlet\u2019in b\u00fct\u00fcn kurumlar\u0131n\u0131 y\u0131kt\u0131lar fakat yenisini kuramad\u0131lar. \u00c7\u0131karlar\u0131n\u0131 temsil ettikleri s\u0131n\u0131f bizzat yaratt\u0131klar\u0131 cemaat\u00e7i l\u00fcmpen burjuvaziden ibaret.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0AKP\u2019nin bunca zaman iktidarda kalmas\u0131n\u0131n iki sebebi var.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Birincisi, ekonomi alan\u0131nda neoliberal kapitalizmi abart\u0131l\u0131, s\u0131n\u0131rs\u0131z ve \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcs\u00fcz bi\u00e7imde uygulayarak k\u00fcresel merkezlerin deste\u011fine s\u00fcreklilik kazand\u0131rmas\u0131; ikincisi ise, cemaat ve tarikat \u015febekelerine aktar\u0131lan devlet kaynaklar\u0131yla n\u00fcfusun en alt kesimlerini kapsayan geni\u015f bir yard\u0131mla\u015fma a\u011f\u0131 \u00f6rg\u00fctlemesi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u00d6zal ve Dervi\u015f\u2019in a\u00e7t\u0131\u011f\u0131 neoliberalizm yolunda ilerlediler, M\u00fcsl\u00fcman Karde\u015fler\u2019in b\u00fct\u00fcn Ortado\u011fu\u2019da uygulad\u0131\u011f\u0131\u00a0\u00a0 \u00f6rg\u00fctlenme y\u00f6ntemiyle g\u00fc\u00e7lendiler. \u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

B\u00f6ylece Saray, d\u0131\u015f politik deste\u011fin ve s\u0131cak para ak\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n s\u00fcreklili\u011fini ve kendisine oy veren se\u00e7men kitlesinin konsolidasyonunu (peki\u015fmesini) sa\u011flad\u0131.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ula\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131 gereken ayr\u0131 bir \u0130sl\u00e2m medeniyetinin varl\u0131\u011f\u0131na ili\u015fkin iddialar ve din\u00ee s\u00f6ylem, Saray\u2019\u0131n \u00fclke kaynaklar\u0131n\u0131 ya\u011fmalatmas\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6zlerden saklamak ve kendi i\u00e7 cephesini sa\u011flam tutmak i\u00e7in halka dayatt\u0131\u011f\u0131 ideolojik bir propagandadan ibaret.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

         AKP\u2019nin bunca zaman iktidarda kalmas\u0131n\u0131n bu iki sebebi ters etki yaratarak ortadan kalk\u0131yor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

          Birincisi, Reagan-Thatcher d\u00f6neminde h\u0131zlanan ve yay\u0131lan, kamusal olan her \u015feyin \u00f6zelle\u015ftirilerek piyasaya aktar\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 neoliberal kapitalist d\u00f6nem, devletin ekonomide giderek a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131k kazanaca\u011f\u0131 bir s\u00fcrece evriliyor. Bu s\u00fcre\u00e7 pandeminin gerektirdi\u011fi \u00f6nlemlerle ba\u015flad\u0131, Bat\u0131-\u00c7in rekabetinin, silahlanman\u0131n ve b\u00f6lgesel sava\u015flar\u0131n yaratt\u0131\u011f\u0131 ortamda h\u0131zlan\u0131yor. D\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm\u00fcn y\u00f6n\u00fc serbest piyasa vah\u015fetinden planl\u0131 devlet m\u00fcdahalesine do\u011frudur.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Saray Devleti\u2019nin bu d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcme ayak uyduracak zihniyeti, kadrolar\u0131, kurumlar\u0131 ve kaynaklar\u0131 yok. Gizli IMF program\u0131n\u0131 uygulayarak \u00fclkeyi bor\u00e7land\u0131rmaya, ya\u011fmalatmaya, halk\u0131 yoksulla\u015ft\u0131rmaya, toplumsal buhran\u0131\/yozla\u015fmay\u0131 art\u0131rmaya devam edecek. \u0130ktisat\u00e7\u0131lar T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de klasik tan\u0131ma uygun bir iktisadi kriz olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131, sorunun devlet eliyle a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 servet transferinden, gelir da\u011f\u0131l\u0131m\u0131n\u0131n a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 derecede bozulmas\u0131ndan, k\u00f6t\u00fc y\u00f6netimden kaynakland\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 defalarca s\u00f6ylediler. \u0130ktisadi kriz de\u011fil, toplumsal bir bir buhran, bunal\u0131m var dediler.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Saray rejimi \u015fimdilik i\u00e7e do\u011fru ger\u00e7ekle\u015fen sosyal patlaman\u0131n (intihar, cinayet, \u00e7etele\u015fme, sokak \u015fiddeti) zamanla kendisine y\u00f6nelmesini \u00f6nleyecek, tam olarak biat etmi\u015f, adanm\u0131\u015f, sonuna kadar g\u00fcvenebilece\u011fi bask\u0131 mekanizmalar\u0131na da sahip de\u011fil.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

         \u0130kincisi, AKP se\u00e7meni d\u00e2hil halk kitleleri ger\u00e7e\u011fi g\u00f6rd\u00fc. Siyas\u00ee iktidar\u0131n eylemi ile s\u00f6yleminin farkl\u0131 oldu\u011funu, \u00fclkeyi y\u00f6netemedi\u011fini, politikac\u0131lar\u0131n ikiy\u00fczl\u00fc ve parag\u00f6z, tarikat ve cemaatlerin zengin ve bencil oldu\u011funu, dayan\u0131\u015fma a\u011flar\u0131yla oy ticareti yap\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131, toplumun dinle aldat\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ku\u015fkuya yer b\u0131rakmayacak \u015fekilde anlad\u0131lar.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

G\u00fcnl\u00fck hayat\u0131n i\u00e7inde insanlar rejimin yaratt\u0131\u011f\u0131 anominin (geleneksel de\u011ferlerin ve toplumsal ba\u011flar\u0131n \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fclmesi) ve derin yozla\u015fman\u0131n hedefi olduklar\u0131n\u0131, topluca tepki g\u00f6stermedikleri s\u00fcrece ya\u015fanan rezilli\u011fin orta\u011f\u0131 olacaklar\u0131n\u0131 da g\u00f6rd\u00fcler. Saray rejimi s\u00fcrd\u00fck\u00e7e her g\u00fcn yeni bir rezalete, korkun\u00e7 bir olaya uyanacaklar\u0131n\u0131 anlad\u0131lar, yar\u0131n\u0131n bug\u00fcnden daha k\u00f6t\u00fc olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 hissettiler, tepkilerini yerel se\u00e7imlerde k\u0131smen g\u00f6sterdiler. G\u00f6rd\u00fckleri, anlad\u0131klar\u0131 hakikati ya kabullenecekler ya da isyan edecekler.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

En genelde din\u00ee s\u00f6ylemin siyas\u00ee (siyas\u00ee!) etkisini kaybetmekte oldu\u011funu, tarikat ve cemaatlerin ho\u015fnutsuz halk kitlelerinden soyutlanarak tecrit olduklar\u0131n\u0131, AKP\u2019nin dayan\u0131\u015fma a\u011flar\u0131n\u0131n par\u00e7aland\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 anl\u0131yoruz.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

         Alt\u0131l\u0131 Masa deneyimi toplam muhalefetin \u00f6rg\u00fcts\u00fczl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc ve \u00e7aps\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131, ana muhalefet partisinin -terimi mazur g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcz l\u00fctfen!- politik enayili\u011fini, \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcs\u00fczl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc kan\u0131tlad\u0131. Hi\u00e7bir \u015fey yapmasa, hatta muhalefet bile etmese kendili\u011finden ilk se\u00e7imlerde iktidar olaca\u011f\u0131na dair bir yan\u0131lg\u0131ya kap\u0131lan CHP, se\u00e7imleri kazand\u0131ktan sonra Saray rejimini normalle\u015ftirmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Temel sorunlarda a\u00e7\u0131k tav\u0131r almaktan ka\u00e7\u0131narak, s\u0131\u011f polemiklere girerek zaman kazanmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yor. \u00dc\u00e7 ba\u015fl\u0131 parti kendi i\u00e7inde iktidar m\u00fccadelesi veriyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u015eunu unutmamak gerekir: Saray Rejimi \u00fclkeyi buhrandan \u00e7\u0131karamayacak kadar zay\u0131f fakat siyas\u00ee toplumu manip\u00fcle edecek kadar g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc. Kaybedece\u011fini anlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 se\u00e7imi erteleyecek mekanizmalara sahip. \u0130\u00e7 siyasette geni\u015f bir manevra alan\u0131 var. Say\u0131n Reis\u2019in \u201cBiz bitti demeden hi\u00e7bir \u015fey bitmez\u201d s\u00f6z\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131k bir niyet beyan\u0131d\u0131r. Saray iktidarda kalmaya mahk\u00fbm ve mecbur, \u00e7ekildi\u011fi anda s\u0131n\u0131fsal ve politik ortaklar\u0131yla birlikte b\u00fcy\u00fck bir felakete u\u011frayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 biliyor. \u0130ktidarda kalmak i\u00e7in her \u015feyi yapabilir. Bir hanedanl\u0131k kurabilecek mi? Kendisinden sonra ailesine, muazzam servetine ne olacak? Temel kayg\u0131lar\u0131 bunlar\u2026<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bu y\u00fczden \u201ci\u00e7 cephe\u201d s\u00f6ylemiyle kendisine \u00a0bir t\u00fcr geni\u015f cephe kurarak iktidar\u0131n\u0131 sa\u011flama almaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yor. Acayip derecede \u00f6zg\u00fcrl\u00fck\u00e7\u00fc anayasa, \u201c\u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm s\u00fcreci\u201d olacak m\u0131 olmayacak m\u0131, muazzam d\u0131\u015f tehditler (\u0130srail sald\u0131racak, sava\u015f kap\u0131m\u0131zda vs) gibi konularla g\u00fcndemi de\u011fi\u015ftirmeye, kafalar\u0131 kar\u0131\u015ft\u0131rmaya, siyas\u00ee toplumun enerjisini gereksiz tart\u0131\u015fmalarla t\u00fcketmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yor. MHP\u2019yi \u00f6ne s\u00fcrerek CHP-DEM\u2019i kendi liderli\u011fi alt\u0131na hizaya sokmak, tavizler ve tehditlerle Meclis\u2019teki siyas\u00ee partileri kendisine ortak etmek ve bir Saray Anayasas\u0131\u2019yla iktidar\u0131n\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrmek gibi umutsuz bir \u00e7aba i\u00e7inde.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bu \u015fartlarda Anayasa\u2019n\u0131n ilk d\u00f6rt maddesi ne olur, \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm s\u00fcreci olur mu olmaz m\u0131, \u0130srail bize sald\u0131r\u0131r m\u0131 diye tart\u0131\u015fman\u0131n, dikkat da\u011f\u0131tman\u0131n ya da ayn\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fte olanlar\u0131 ikna etmeye (!!!) \u00e7al\u0131\u015fman\u0131n anlam\u0131 olsa da faydas\u0131 yok. Bunlar sahte ve y\u00f6nlendirici g\u00fcndemler.\u00a0 Fazla anlam y\u00fcklemek, arkas\u0131nda derin planlar aramak yersiz. AKP\u2019nin anayasa diye bir derdi hi\u00e7 olmad\u0131. D\u00fcnyaya kafa tutuyormu\u015f gibi yaparken, Atlantik cephesinin jeopolitik dayatmalar\u0131na harfiyen uydu.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

S\u0131n\u0131rlar\u0131n d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda d\u00fczenli ordu kurarak ABD ve \u0130srail\u2019in vekil g\u00fcc\u00fc olmu\u015f, d\u0131\u015fsalla\u015fm\u0131\u015f PKK\u2019yle neyi \u00e7\u00f6zeceksin? \u0130mral\u0131 emir verecek, ABD\u2019nin kara ordusu silah b\u0131rak\u0131p terhis ve teslim olacak. \u00d6yle mi?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ger\u00e7ekten korktuklar\u0131 tek bir \u015fey var: sosyal patlama, Haziran Ayaklanmas\u0131 benzeri bir isyan dalgas\u0131. Hesap g\u00fcn\u00fc! \u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Saray\u2019\u0131n bunca y\u0131l iktidarda kalmas\u0131n\u0131n iki sebebi bu yaz\u0131n\u0131n giri\u015finde \u00f6ne s\u00fcr\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc gibi ortadan kalkt\u0131. Saray Rejimi zaman\u0131n\u0131 doldurdu, alt\u0131 bo\u015f. \u0130ktidar \u00e7evrelerinde, hatta Saray\u2019\u0131n i\u00e7inde bile s\u00f6ylem birli\u011fi yok. \u015ea\u015fk\u0131nl\u0131k ve \u00e7aresizlik var. Muhalefetin korkakl\u0131\u011f\u0131, acizli\u011fi, yan\u0131lsamalar\u0131 ve elbette d\u0131\u015f destek sayesinde ayakta duruyor, \u00f6mr\u00fcn\u00fc uzatmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yor.\u00a0 Tart\u0131\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131 ve d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fclmesi gereken soru \u015fudur: siyas\u00ee iktidar makam\u0131 nas\u0131l bo\u015falacak, oray\u0131 kimler, hangi programla dolduracaklar? \u00a0Toplum S\u00f6zle\u015fmesi nas\u0131l yap\u0131lacak? yalogan@gmail.com<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Yavuz Alogan          Yak\u0131n d\u00f6nemin tarihsel tecr\u00fcbesi siyas\u00ee \u0130slam\u2019\u0131n Devlet y\u00f6netme, \u0130slam\u00ee bir demokrasi ya da diktat\u00f6rl\u00fck kurma kapasitesinden yoksun oldu\u011funu kan\u0131tlad\u0131. \u0130ran\u2019\u0131 ayr\u0131 tutmak gerekir. Oradaki iktidar\u0131n s\u0131n\u0131fsal bir temeli (Bazar\u00eeler) ve \u0130mamlar\u2019\u0131n v\u00e2risi olma iddias\u0131ndaki din adamlar\u0131n\u0131n diktat\u00f6rl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcne me\u015fruiyet sa\u011flayan bir t\u00fcr devlet teorisi (Velayet-i Fakih) vard\u0131. T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de \u0130slamc\u0131lar yirmi y\u0131l iktidarda kald\u0131lar, … <\/p>\n

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