{"id":1580,"date":"2024-03-10T10:42:07","date_gmt":"2024-03-10T08:42:07","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/yavuzalogan.com\/?p=1580"},"modified":"2024-03-11T07:40:21","modified_gmt":"2024-03-11T05:40:21","slug":"oluleri-saymak","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/yavuzalogan.com\/?p=1580","title":{"rendered":"\u00d6L\u00dcLER\u0130 SAYMAK"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"768\" height=\"556\" src=\"http:\/\/yavuzalogan.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/nucleareurope-1-768x556-1.webp\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1581\" srcset=\"http:\/\/yavuzalogan.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/nucleareurope-1-768x556-1.webp 768w, http:\/\/yavuzalogan.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/nucleareurope-1-768x556-1-414x300.webp 414w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 767px) 89vw, (max-width: 1000px) 54vw, (max-width: 1071px) 543px, 580px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Yavuz Alogan<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; Sava\u015fta \u00f6lenlerin say\u0131s\u0131 sava\u015fan \u00fclkelerin ba\u015far\u0131 ve fedak\u00e2rl\u0131k \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fctlerinden biri, belki de en \u00f6nemlisidir. Taraflar\u0131n bar\u0131\u015f masas\u0131nda elini g\u00fc\u00e7lendirir ya da zay\u0131flat\u0131r. \u00c7at\u0131\u015fmada \u00f6len askerler \u201cmartir\u201d ya da \u201c\u015fehit\u201d say\u0131l\u0131rken, di\u011ferleri \u201csivil zayiat\u201d olarak kayda ge\u00e7er.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Lawrence Freedman, <em>Sava\u015f\u0131n Gelece\u011fi<\/em>\u2019nde (Say 2017)&nbsp; sava\u015flar\u0131n \u00f6l\u00e7e\u011fine ili\u015fkin en basit&nbsp; \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fc biriminin \u00f6l\u00fc say\u0131s\u0131 oldu\u011funu belirtir. Say\u0131lar halka moral vermek i\u00e7in k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclt\u00fclebilir ya da \u00f6fke yaratmak i\u00e7in abart\u0131labilir; \u201csoylu bir dava u\u011fruna \u00f6lmeye haz\u0131r olanlar\u0131n cesaretini ya da aptalca bir asker\u00ee maceran\u0131n y\u00fck\u00fcn\u00fc ayd\u0131nlatmak i\u00e7in kullan\u0131labilir\u201d (s.172).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>G\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fczde Zelenskiy, Rusya-Ukrayna sava\u015f\u0131nda 31 bin askerin \u00f6ld\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc s\u00f6yleyerek say\u0131y\u0131 k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclt\u00fcrken, Sergey \u015eoygu&nbsp; -belki abartarak-&nbsp; Ukrayna kay\u0131plar\u0131 i\u00e7in \u201c444 bin kadar\u201d demektedir (<em>Sputnik<\/em> 27. 02.24).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; N\u00fckleer sava\u015f \u00e7a\u011f\u0131n\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131lmas\u0131yla birlikte \u00f6l\u00fc say\u0131s\u0131 \u201c\u00f6l\u00e7\u00fct\u201d olmaktan \u00e7\u0131km\u0131\u015f, \u00f6l\u00fcleri saymak zorla\u015fm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. &nbsp;Hiro\u015fima ve Nagasaki\u2019de &nbsp;6-9 A\u011fustos 1945\u2019te, patlama an\u0131nda ve sonras\u0131nda \u00e7o\u011fu sivil 500 bin ki\u015fi \u00f6ld\u00fc. Uzun y\u0131llara yay\u0131lan, neredeyse g\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcze kadar uzanan \u00f6l\u00fcmlerin say\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 tam olarak hesaplamak bile m\u00fcmk\u00fcn olmad\u0131.&nbsp; &nbsp;Patlama \u00e2n\u0131nda \u00f6lenler \u015fansl\u0131 say\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; N\u00fckleer silah sahibi taraflar ilk kez 1958\u2019de bir araya geldiler. Durumun vahametini fark etmi\u015flerdi. Be\u015f NATO ve be\u015f Var\u015fova temsilcisi Cenevre\u2019de s\u00fcrpriz sald\u0131r\u0131y\u0131, yanl\u0131\u015f anlama ya da kazay\u0131 \u00f6nleyecek \u00f6nlemleri g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcler. Hi\u00e7bir konuda anla\u015famadan da\u011f\u0131ld\u0131lar. 1941 y\u0131l\u0131na tak\u0131lm\u0131\u015flard\u0131. ABD,&nbsp; Pearl Harbor gibi, Sovyetler Birli\u011fi ise Do\u011fu Almanya \u00fczerinden Barbarossa benzeri bir s\u00fcrpriz sald\u0131r\u0131 bekliyordu.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; \u201cN\u00fckleer Silahlar\u0131n S\u0131n\u0131rland\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 G\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeleri\u201d (SALT I) 1969\u2019da Helsinki\u2019de ba\u015flad\u0131. SBKP Genel Sekreteri Leonid Brejnev 1971\u2019de,&nbsp; partinin 24. Kongresinde uluslararas\u0131 g\u00fcvenlik \u00e7a\u011fr\u0131s\u0131nda bulundu. 1979\u2019da&nbsp; Brejnev ve Carter Viyana\u2019da Salt II Antla\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131 imzalad\u0131. N\u00fckleer silahlar\u0131n \u00fcretimini azaltmaya karar vermi\u015flerdi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; Bu s\u00fcre\u00e7 ABD taraf\u0131ndan bozuldu.&nbsp; 1982 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n Haziran ay\u0131nda \u0130ngiltere\u2019ye giden ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Ronald Reagan, Westminster\u2019da \u0130ngiliz milletvekillerine hitap etti. Otuz y\u0131ld\u0131r Balt\u0131k k\u0131y\u0131s\u0131ndaki Stettin\u2019den Karadeniz k\u0131y\u0131s\u0131ndaki Varna\u2019ya kadar hi\u00e7bir \u00fclkede se\u00e7im yap\u0131lmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirttikten sonra, \u201c\u00f6zg\u00fcrl\u00fck i\u00e7in ha\u00e7l\u0131 seferi\u201d \u00e7a\u011fr\u0131s\u0131nda bulundu.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>G\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fczde NATO\u2019nun Rusya\u2019ya kar\u015f\u0131 mevzilendi\u011fi hat kuzeye, g\u00fcneye ve do\u011fuya do\u011fru&nbsp; geni\u015flemi\u015f olarak ayn\u0131d\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; Reagan\u2019\u0131 cesaretlendiren geli\u015fme, ABD\u2019nin \u0130sl\u00e2mc\u0131 direni\u015f\u00e7ilere verdi\u011fi omuzdan ate\u015flenebilen karadan havaya f\u00fcze sistemleri sayesinde Afganistan\u2019daki Sovyet ordusunun zorlanmaya ba\u015flam\u0131\u015f olmas\u0131yd\u0131. Basit bir silah K\u0131z\u0131l Ordu\u2019nun Afganistan sahas\u0131nda hava h\u00e2kimiyetini yok etmi\u015fti. Tarih\u00e7i Jeremy Black, <em>D\u00fcnya Tarihinde Asker\u00ee Strateji<\/em> ba\u015fl\u0131kl\u0131 kitab\u0131nda, o s\u0131rada \u201cAmerikan asker\u00ee stratejisi artan bir \u015fekilde n\u00fckleere yak\u0131n bir sava\u015f\u0131n kazan\u0131labilece\u011fine dair bir g\u00fcven \u00fczerinde yo\u011funla\u015fmaktayd\u0131\u201d diyerek, Ha\u00e7l\u0131 Seferi\u2019nin n\u00fckleer silah boyutuna i\u015faret eder (Tima\u015f Tarih 2021, s. 359).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; Nitekim Westminster konu\u015fmas\u0131ndan bir y\u0131l sonra Reagan, 23 Mart 1983\u2019te, ABD\u2019nin \u201cY\u0131ld\u0131z Sava\u015flar\u0131\u201d denilen Stratejik Savunma \u0130nisiyatifi\u2019ni (SDI) ba\u015flatt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ilan etti. Uzaya konu\u015fland\u0131r\u0131lacak silahlarla Sovyet uydular\u0131 ve f\u00fczeleri imha edilecekti. Guam\u2019dan ate\u015flenen bir Amerikan roketi sahte n\u00fckleer ba\u015fl\u0131k ta\u015f\u0131yan bir f\u00fczeyi vurdu. Ancak bu giri\u015fimin Sovyetler Birli\u011fi\u2019ni m\u00fczakereye \u00e7ekmek i\u00e7in yap\u0131lan bir bl\u00f6f oldu\u011fu s\u00f6ylendi. &nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>O s\u0131rada ABD a\u00e7\u0131k denizlerde devriye gezen n\u00fckleer denizalt\u0131lardan ba\u015flay\u0131p \u00fclke topraklar\u0131na do\u011fru halkalar h\u00e2linde daralan bir savunma hatt\u0131, Rusya ise Kaliningrad\u2019dan Orta Asya\u2019ya kadar bir erken uyar\u0131 ve mukabele sistemi \u00fczerinde \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yordu.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; G\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fczde Roscosmos Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Yuri Borisov\u2019un a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131\u011f\u0131, Rusya ve \u00c7in\u2019in uzayda ortak ara\u015ft\u0131rmalar yapmak i\u00e7in 2021\u2019de imzalad\u0131klar\u0131 mutabakat zapt\u0131 uyar\u0131nca Ay\u2019da n\u00fckleer santral in\u015fa etme planlar\u0131n\u0131n (<em>haberrus.ru\/info<\/em>, 06. 03. 24) bl\u00f6f olup olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 hen\u00fcz belli de\u011fil.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; Sovyetler Birli\u011fi 1991\u2019de i\u00e7e do\u011fru \u00e7\u00f6kerek, tek kur\u015fun atmadan stratejik olarak yenildi. Putin, y\u0131llar sonra bu olay\u0131 \u201cyirminci y\u00fczy\u0131l\u0131n en b\u00fcy\u00fck jeopolitik felaketi\u201d olarak tan\u0131mlayacakt\u0131.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; NATO\u2019nun geni\u015flemesine kar\u015f\u0131 Rusya ileriden savunma hatlar\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in Ukrayna\u2019ya sald\u0131rd\u0131. Gerasimov Doktrini\u2019yle geli\u015ftirilen \u201chibrit sava\u015f\u201d y\u00f6ntemini terk ederek klasik sava\u015f y\u00f6ntemleriyle (havadan destekli z\u0131rhl\u0131 birlik harek\u00e2t\u0131) Ukrayna\u2019y\u0131 i\u015fgal etmeyi denedi fakat ba\u015faramad\u0131.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>T\u00fcrk ve yabanc\u0131 asker\u00ee uzmanlar i\u015fgal stratejisinin yanl\u0131\u015f oldu\u011funu, Rus askeriyesinin a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131k (s\u0131klet) merkezi olu\u015fturamad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131, lojistik\/ikmal sorunlar\u0131 ya\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131, Kiev\u2019den \u00e7ekili\u015f s\u0131ras\u0131nda &nbsp;olu\u015fan \u201csava\u015f\u0131n doyma noktas\u0131\u201dnda ordunun karars\u0131z kald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131, Odessa\u2019y\u0131 alarak Karadeniz\u2019i Ukrayna\u2019ya kapatamad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 de\u011ferlendirdiler.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Bu arada, sava\u015f sahas\u0131nda normal olmayan say\u0131da Rus generalinin \u00f6lmesi (8 ve 11 rakamlar\u0131 veriliyor), yani cephe kararg\u00e2hlar\u0131n\u0131n imha edilmesi, komuta kademesinin vurulmas\u0131na yol a\u00e7acak \u015fekilde yerini belli etti\u011fini, ba\u015fka deyi\u015fle Rus ordusunun sahrada \u00f6rt\u00fcl\u00fc elektronik haberle\u015fme yapamad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ortaya koydu. Ba\u015fta amiral gemisi Moskova olmak \u00fczere&nbsp; 20\u2019den fazla Rus gemisinin karadan at\u0131lan f\u00fczelerle imha edilmesi de erken uyar\u0131 ve mukabele sistemlerinin yeterli olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6sterdi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; Rusya geri \u00e7ekildi. &nbsp;Putin, Ukrayna\u2019n\u0131n en geli\u015fmi\u015f y\u00fczde 15\u2019ini, Donetsk, Luhansk, Zaporejya ve Herson b\u00f6lgelerini ilhak etti\u011fini, bu hatta duraca\u011f\u0131n\u0131, daha ileri gitmeyece\u011fini, bu b\u00f6lgelere yap\u0131lacak her t\u00fcrl\u00fc sald\u0131r\u0131ya \u201ctopyek\u00fbn anavatan savunmas\u0131\u201dyla kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k verilece\u011fini ilan etti. \u0130lhak\u0131 me\u015frula\u015ft\u0131rmak i\u00e7in referandumlar yap\u0131ld\u0131. K\u0131sm\u00ee seferberlik ilan edilerek b\u00f6lge tahkim edildi. Ukrayna ordusunun bu b\u00f6lgeyi ve K\u0131r\u0131m\u2019\u0131 geri almaya y\u00f6nelik g\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcze kadar s\u00fcren b\u00fct\u00fcn sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131 duvara at\u0131lm\u0131\u015f yumurtalar gibi k\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131. Ukrayna\u2019da Rus tahkimat\u0131n\u0131 k\u0131rmak i\u00e7in gerekli konvansiyonel asker\u00ee g\u00fcc\u00fcn tertiplenemeyece\u011fi anla\u015f\u0131ld\u0131. Rusya sald\u0131r\u0131 konumundan savunma ve tahkimat konumuna ge\u00e7mi\u015fti.&nbsp; Bu durum \u201cRusya sava\u015f\u0131 kazand\u0131\u201d \u015feklinde erken yorumlara yol a\u00e7t\u0131.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 Asl\u0131nda konvansiyonel \u00e7at\u0131\u015fman\u0131n sonuna gelinmi\u015f ve cephe kilitlenmi\u015fti. Bu noktada \u00a0bar\u0131\u015f ancak,\u00a0 Ruslar\u0131n ifadesiyle, \u201cBat\u0131\u2019n\u0131n yeni b\u00f6lgesel ger\u00e7ekleri kabul etmesi\u201dyle (Zaharova, 2023), yani Rus ilhak\u0131n\u0131n me\u015fru\u00a0 kabul edilmesiyle ya da Rusya\u2019n\u0131n K\u0131r\u0131m d\u00e2hil ilhak etti\u011fi b\u00f6lgeleri Ukrayna\u2019ya iadesiyle sa\u011flanabilir. Bu olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00fcrece NATO\u2019nun ve Rusya\u2019n\u0131n elindeki b\u00fct\u00fcn y\u0131k\u0131c\u0131 silahlar sava\u015f taktiklerini belirleyecek ve s\u00fcre\u00e7 ka\u00e7\u0131n\u0131lmaz bi\u00e7imde n\u00fckleer \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmaya do\u011fru evrilecektir. 1990\u2019larda ABD D\u0131\u015fi\u015fleri Bakan\u0131 Madeleine Albright\u2019\u0131n \u015fu tarih\u00ee s\u00f6z\u00fcn\u00fc hat\u0131rlayal\u0131m: \u201cBunca silah\u0131 kullanmayacaksak niye \u00fcrettik?\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; N\u00fckleer sava\u015f konusunda Rusya\u2019n\u0131n sesi daha y\u00fcksek \u00e7\u0131kmakla birlikte, NATO\u2019nun s\u00fcreklilik, planlama\/geli\u015ftirme ve cephane stoku bak\u0131m\u0131ndan daha haz\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 oldu\u011funu, Rusya\u2019n\u0131n ise muazzam bir k\u0131r\u0131lma (kesinti) ya\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131, on-on be\u015f senelik bir duraklamadan sonra n\u00fckleer cephaneli\u011fini yeniledi\u011fini anl\u0131yoruz. (Tarihsel s\u00fcreklili\u011fi inceleyen \u00f6nemli bir makale i\u00e7in bkz. &nbsp;Prof. Michel Chossudovsky, \u201c \u2018Preemptive Nuclear War\u2019: The Historic Battle for Peace and Democracy. A Third World War Threatens the Future of Humanity,\u201d <em>GlobalResearch<\/em>, 02. 03. 24).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; Chossudovsky, gizlili\u011fi kald\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f belgelerden hareketle, ABD\u2019nin&nbsp; 15 Eyl\u00fcl 1945\u2019ten itibaren Sovyetler Birli\u011fi\u2019nin 66 kentini 204 atom bombas\u0131yla vurmay\u0131 planlad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 (WWIII Blueprint) belirtmektedir. &nbsp;N\u00fckleer silah \u00fcretiminin k\u00e2r odakl\u0131 oldu\u011funu anlatan Chossudovsky, Obama d\u00f6neminde ba\u015flat\u0131lan 1,3 trilyon dolarl\u0131k n\u00fckleer silah program\u0131na ba\u011fl\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc mali \u00e7\u0131karlar oldu\u011funu belirtmektedir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Biden y\u00f6netimi 2022\u2019de Rusya\u2019ya kar\u015f\u0131 \u201cn\u00fckleer ilk vuru\u015f\u201d olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6z ard\u0131 etmeyen bir \u201cN\u00fckleer Deklarasyon Politikas\u0131\u201d (NPR) ilan etmi\u015ftir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>ABD Kongresi Ara\u015ft\u0131rma Servisi&#8217;ne g\u00f6re:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;NPR [2022], potansiyel d\u00fc\u015fmanlar\u0131n n\u00fckleer silah kullanmas\u0131n\u0131 i\u00e7ermeyen durumlarda da ABD\u2019nin n\u00fckleer silah kullanabilece\u011fini \u00f6ne s\u00fcrmektedir.\u201d NPR, taktik n\u00fckleer silahlar\u0131n konvansiyonel silahlar olarak kategorize edilmesini i\u00e7eren bir entegrasyonu, \u2018konvansiyonel ve n\u00fckleer planlaman\u0131n daha fazla entegrasyonu\u2019nu \u00f6nermektedir; bu silahlar konvansiyonel sava\u015f sahas\u0131nda (kendini savunma arac\u0131 olarak) \u00f6nleyici ama\u00e7la kullan\u0131labilecektir (agy).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Chossudovsky, makalesinde, \u201cJoe Biden y\u00f6netiminde, s\u00f6zde bar\u0131\u015f\u0131 ve ulusal g\u00fcvenli\u011fi vergi m\u00fckellefleri pahas\u0131na koruman\u0131n bir yolu olarak n\u00fckleer silahlara ayr\u0131lan kamu fonlar\u0131n\u0131n 2030 y\u0131l\u0131na kadar 2 trilyona \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131lmas\u0131 planlan\u0131yor,\u201d demekte ve saf\u00e7a sormaktad\u0131r: 2 trilyon dolarla ka\u00e7 tane okul ve hastane finanse edebilirdiniz?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Rusya ile NATO aras\u0131nda bir n\u00fckleer sava\u015f 1962&nbsp; K\u00fcba Krizi\u2019nden \u00e7ok daha olas\u0131d\u0131r.&nbsp; Bu sava\u015f\u0131 \u00f6nleyecek uluslararas\u0131 bir kurulu\u015f, sadakat g\u00f6sterilen ba\u011flay\u0131c\u0131 bir antla\u015fma\/anla\u015fma bulunmamaktad\u0131r. Haziran 2023\u2019te biri Cumhuriyet\u00e7i, di\u011feri Demokrat&nbsp; iki senat\u00f6r\u00fcn (Graham ve Blumenthal), Rusya&#8217;n\u0131n Ukrayna&#8217;ya d\u00fczenleyece\u011fi olas\u0131 n\u00fckleer sald\u0131r\u0131n\u0131n NATO&#8217;ya y\u00f6nelik bir sald\u0131r\u0131 olarak kabul edilmesini \u00f6ng\u00f6ren bir tasar\u0131 sunmas\u0131 (<em>Sputnik<\/em>, 23. 06. 23) ABD\u2019deki siyas\u00ee ortam\u0131n genel yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 ortaya koymaktad\u0131r.&nbsp; Saddam\u2019\u0131n \u201ccehennem topu\u201dna ya da n\u00fckleer silahlara sahip oldu\u011fu iddias\u0131 gibi, Rusya\u2019n\u0131n Ukrayna\u2019da n\u00fckleer silah kulland\u0131\u011f\u0131 kolayca iddia edilebilir. &nbsp;ABD ba\u015fkanl\u0131k se\u00e7imleri n\u00fckleer sava\u015f tehlikesini ortadan kald\u0131rmaz. Ba\u015fkan, son tahlilde silah \u00fcreticilerinin ve petro-kimya tr\u00f6stlerinin, Establishment\u2019\u0131n s\u00f6zc\u00fcs\u00fc durumundad\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>K\u0131sa d\u00f6nemde Pentagon\u2019daki neoconlar\u0131n ve\/ya da Kremlin\u2019de Putin \u00e7evresinin i\u00e7eriden tasfiyesi, uzun d\u00f6nemde ise ilk ac\u0131 tecr\u00fcbelerle, say\u0131lamayacak kadar \u00e7ok say\u0131da \u00f6l\u00fc kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda d\u00fcnya halklar\u0131n\u0131n kendi devletlerine itaatsizli\u011fi kap\u0131daki n\u00fckleer felaketin gezegeni yok etmesini \u00f6nleyebilir. Gazze katliam\u0131n\u0131n \u0130srail d\u00e2hil b\u00fct\u00fcn \u00fclkelerde kitlesel olarak protesto edilmesi bu y\u00f6nde umut vermektedir. &nbsp;Geli\u015fmi\u015f kapitalist \u00fclkelerin uluslararas\u0131 sava\u015f\u0131n\u0131 (emperyalist sava\u015f\u0131) i\u00e7 sava\u015fa d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcrme takti\u011fi tam 110 y\u0131l sonra yeniden g\u00fcndemdedir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Bu konuda en ahmak\u00e7a tutum, n\u00fckleer t\u0131rmanmay\u0131 futbol ma\u00e7\u0131 seyircisi gibi taraf tutarak izlemektir. \u0130nsanl\u0131k tehlikededir. Chossudovsky\u2019nin dedi\u011fi gibi, \u201cD\u00fcnya tarihinin en cidd\u00ee kriz kav\u015fa\u011f\u0131nday\u0131z.\u201d Taktik olanlardan balistik olanlara do\u011fru n\u00fckleer silahlar patlamaya ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, hi\u00e7bir devlet \u00f6l\u00fclerini sayamayacak, yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131yla \u00f6v\u00fcnemeyecek, zafer kazand\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 iddia edemeyecek.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>N\u00fckleer felaketin ilk ad\u0131m\u0131 \u015fu \u015fiirdeki kadar basit ve ahmak\u00e7a olacak: \u201cBir yerlerde zavall\u0131 bir adam\u2026 Muhtemelen bir radar ekran\u0131na bak\u0131yor ve orada bir \u015fey g\u00f6r\u00fcyordu \/Bir saniyenin binde biri kadar teredd\u00fct etmesi h\u00e2linde \/\u00dclkesinin haritadan silinece\u011fini biliyordu, bu y\u00fczden\u2026 Bu y\u00fczden, bir d\u00fc\u011fmeye bast\u0131 \/Ve d\u00fcnya \u00e7\u0131ld\u0131rd\u0131\u2026\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Be\u015ftepe Saray\u0131\u2019n\u0131n Bat\u0131\u2019n\u0131n ekonomik ve siyas\u00ee \u015fantaj\u0131 alt\u0131nda denge politikas\u0131n\u0131 terk ederek ABD\/\u0130ngiltere\u2019nin belirledi\u011fi &nbsp;Rusya\u2019yla sava\u015f stratejisine ba\u011flanmas\u0131, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin \u015fimdiden n\u00fckleer sald\u0131r\u0131 hedefi olmas\u0131na yol a\u00e7m\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Rus D\u0131\u015fi\u015fleri Bakan\u0131 Sergey Lavrov, NATO \u00fclkelerinin t\u00fcm n\u00fckleer silahlar\u0131n\u0131 \u201cortak n\u00fckleer cephanelik\u201d olarak g\u00f6rd\u00fcklerini ilan etti (<em>Sputnik<\/em>, 30. 01. 24). Kremlin s\u00f6zc\u00fcs\u00fc Zaharova, ABD\u2019nin n\u00fckleer silah yerle\u015ftirdi\u011fi ve yerle\u015ftirece\u011fi \u00fclkelerin Rusya ile \u201cNATO aras\u0131nda do\u011frudan asker\u00ee \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma senaryosunun belirledi\u011fi me\u015fru hedefler olaca\u011f\u0131\u201dn\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131 (<em>Sputnik<\/em>, 06. 03. 24). Sadece Avrupa \u00fclkelerinden de\u011fil, bizden, \u0130ncirlik ve K\u00fcrecik\u2019ten s\u00f6z ediyorlar.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>B\u00fct\u00fcn belirtiler T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin n\u00fckleer sava\u015f\u0131n ilk hedeflerinden biri olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor.&nbsp; <em>Veryans\u0131n<\/em>, 10. 03. 2024<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Yavuz Alogan &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; Sava\u015fta \u00f6lenlerin say\u0131s\u0131 sava\u015fan \u00fclkelerin ba\u015far\u0131 ve fedak\u00e2rl\u0131k \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fctlerinden biri, belki de en \u00f6nemlisidir. Taraflar\u0131n bar\u0131\u015f masas\u0131nda elini g\u00fc\u00e7lendirir ya da zay\u0131flat\u0131r. \u00c7at\u0131\u015fmada \u00f6len askerler \u201cmartir\u201d ya da \u201c\u015fehit\u201d say\u0131l\u0131rken, di\u011ferleri \u201csivil zayiat\u201d olarak kayda ge\u00e7er. Lawrence Freedman, Sava\u015f\u0131n Gelece\u011fi\u2019nde (Say 2017)&nbsp; sava\u015flar\u0131n \u00f6l\u00e7e\u011fine ili\u015fkin en basit&nbsp; \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fc biriminin \u00f6l\u00fc say\u0131s\u0131 oldu\u011funu &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"http:\/\/yavuzalogan.com\/?p=1580\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;\u00d6L\u00dcLER\u0130 SAYMAK&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1580","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/yavuzalogan.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1580","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/yavuzalogan.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/yavuzalogan.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/yavuzalogan.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/yavuzalogan.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=1580"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"http:\/\/yavuzalogan.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1580\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1584,"href":"http:\/\/yavuzalogan.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1580\/revisions\/1584"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/yavuzalogan.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=1580"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/yavuzalogan.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=1580"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/yavuzalogan.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=1580"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}