{"id":1439,"date":"2023-07-28T09:30:12","date_gmt":"2023-07-28T07:30:12","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/yavuzalogan.com\/?p=1439"},"modified":"2023-07-28T09:30:12","modified_gmt":"2023-07-28T07:30:12","slug":"degisim","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/yavuzalogan.com\/?p=1439","title":{"rendered":"DE\u011e\u0130\u015e\u0130M"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
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Yavuz Alogan<\/p>\n\n\n\n

        Muhalifiyle yanda\u015f\u0131yla b\u00fct\u00fcn medya CHP\u2019deki de\u011fi\u015fim tart\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131yla me\u015fgul. Her gece ekranlarda beliren kadrolu yorumcular CHP\u2019nin nas\u0131l de\u011fi\u015febilece\u011fini, se\u00e7imlerde a\u011f\u0131r yara alarak i\u00e7ine kapanan muhalefetin yerel se\u00e7im \u00f6ncesinde yeniden tertiplenmek i\u00e7in  ne yapmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini b\u0131kt\u0131r\u0131c\u0131 bir muhabbetle saatlerce tart\u0131\u015f\u0131yor. Herhangi bir muhalefet partisinin en marjinal mensubunun \u00e7\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131l\u0131 bir demeci ya da eylemi b\u00fcy\u00fck dalgalanmalara, saatlerce s\u00fcren yorumlara yol a\u00e7\u0131yor.   Medya, de\u011fi\u015fimi tart\u0131\u015f\u0131yor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

        Bu arada T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin kaderini belirleyecek b\u00fcy\u00fck de\u011fi\u015fim jeopolitik alanda, \u00f6zellikle Karadeniz\u2019de \u015fekilleniyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

        Vilnius\u2019taki NATO zirvesinde Say\u0131n Saray\u2019\u0131n sergiledi\u011fi h\u0131zl\u0131 d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f ve tam teslimiyetin ard\u0131ndan, NATO\u2019nun Montr\u00f6 Bo\u011fazlar S\u00f6zle\u015fmesi\u2019nin arkas\u0131ndan dolanarak Karadeniz\u2019e \u00e7\u0131kma taleplerine Saray y\u00f6netiminin nas\u0131l tepki g\u00f6sterece\u011fi bilinmiyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

        2008\u2019de AKP h\u00fck\u00fcmeti direnmi\u015fti. G\u00fcrcistan krizi s\u0131ras\u0131nda Montr\u00f6\u2019n\u00fcn 18. Maddesinin izin verdi\u011fi limiti a\u015fan tonajdaki  iki ABD hastane gemisinin Karadeniz\u2019e \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131na  (Kremlin\u2019in Montr\u00f6 uyar\u0131s\u0131 \u00fczerine) izin vermemi\u015fti.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

        Bunun \u00f6ncesinde ve sonras\u0131nda, a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 olarak T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin inisiyatifiyle Karadeniz\u2019e k\u0131y\u0131s\u0131 olan \u00fclkeler aras\u0131nda ekonomik ve k\u0131smen asker\u00ee i\u015fbirli\u011fi \u00f6rg\u00fctleri kurulmu\u015ftu.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

T\u00fcrkiye, Yunanistan, Arnavutluk, Bulgaristan, Romanya, Moldova, Ukrayna, Rusya Federasyonu, Azerbaycan, Ermenistan, G\u00fcrcistan, S\u0131rbistan, Karada\u011f aras\u0131nda, \u0130stanbul Deklarasyonu\u2019yla 1992\u2019de kurulan Karadeniz Ekonomik \u0130\u015fbirli\u011fi Te\u015fkilat\u0131; yine T\u00fcrkiye, Bulgaristan, G\u00fcrcistan, Romanya, Ukrayna,  Rusya Federasyonu aras\u0131nda, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin \u00f6nc\u00fcl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcnde 2001\u2019de  kurulan Karadeniz Deniz \u0130\u015fbirli\u011fi G\u00f6rev Grubu (Blackseafor); NATO\u2019nun, Akdeniz\u2019de yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 asker\u00ee tatbikat\u0131 (Etkin \u00c7aba\/Active Endeavour) Karadeniz\u2019e do\u011fru geni\u015fletme giri\u015fimini engellemek i\u00e7in 2004\u2019te Karadeniz Uyumu Harek\u00e2t\u0131 (KUH); yine 2011\u2019de Bakanlar Kurulu Karar\u0131\u2019yla Karadeniz\u2019e Sahildar Devletlerin S\u0131n\u0131r\/Sahil G\u00fcvenlik Makamlar\u0131 Aras\u0131ndaki \u0130\u015fbirli\u011fi Anla\u015fmas\u0131\u2026.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

B\u00fct\u00fcn bu giri\u015fimlerde T\u00fcrkiye, Montr\u00f6\u2019y\u00fc hassasiyetle dikkate ald\u0131, g\u00f6zetti; Karadeniz\u2019e k\u0131y\u0131s\u0131 olan \u00fclkelerin ABD ve \u0130ngiliz asker\u00ee g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc NATO \u015femsiyesi alt\u0131nda b\u00f6lgeye sokmama niyetini canl\u0131 tuttu. Ba\u015fka deyi\u015fle,  So\u011fuk Sava\u015f d\u00f6nemi d\u00e2hil T\u00fcrkiye, Karadeniz\u2019de NATO tatbikatlar\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6nlemeyi ama\u00e7lad\u0131, sonraki d\u00f6nemde k\u0131y\u0131da\u015f devletlerle birlikte hareket etmeye \u00f6zen g\u00f6sterdi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bu s\u00fcre\u00e7, Amiral Cem G\u00fcrdeniz\u2019in \u201cFrans\u0131z \u0130htilali s\u0131ras\u0131nda bile bir gecede bu kadar \u00e7ok say\u0131da amiral tutuklanmad\u0131\u201d s\u00f6zleriyle tan\u0131mlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 olaya, FET\u00d6\u2019n\u00fcn T\u00fcrk Ordusu\u2019na y\u00f6nelik netice alan sald\u0131r\u0131s\u0131na kadar s\u00fcrd\u00fc.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

De\u011fi\u015fim bundan sonra ba\u015flad\u0131, giderek h\u0131z kazand\u0131.  NATO\u2019nun Montr\u00f6\u2019n\u00fcn arkas\u0131ndan dolanarak Karadeniz\u2019e girme \u00e7abalar\u0131, ABD kaynakl\u0131 c\u00fcretk\u00e2r ve k\u00fcstah bir tutumla art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6sterdi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

ABD\u2019nin Stratejik ve Uluslararas\u0131 Ara\u015ft\u0131rmalar Merkezi\u2019nin (CSIS) \u015eubat 2023 tarihli \u201cKaradeniz b\u00f6lgesi i\u00e7in yeni bir ABD stratejisine do\u011fru\u201d ba\u015fl\u0131kl\u0131 rapor\/analizi, \u201cThe Inhospitable Sea,\u201d yani konuk sevmez, misafir kabul etmez deniz ba\u015fl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ta\u015f\u0131yor ve  Montr\u00f6\u2019y\u00fc hedef almadan, \u00e7evresinden dolanarak, sadece Montr\u00f6\u2019n\u00fcn izin verdi\u011fi \u201cd\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcml\u00fc deniz mevzilenmeleri ve devriyelerine,\u201d buna ek olarak NATO kara ve hava sahalar\u0131nda ortak operasyonlara a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131k verilmesini,  bu ortak operasyonlar sayesinde \u201cdurumsal fark\u0131ndal\u0131k\u201d yarat\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bu yumu\u015fak ve kademeli t\u0131rmand\u0131rma \u00f6nerisi, Tah\u0131l Koridoru kriziyle birlikte ge\u00e7erlili\u011fini kaybetti. \u201cNATO konvoylar\u0131 Ukrayna tah\u0131l\u0131n\u0131 koruyabilir\u201d (NATO\u2019nun eski Avrupa Y\u00fcksek M\u00fcttefik Komutan\u0131 Amiral Stavridis) a\u015famas\u0131na ge\u00e7ildi. Karadeniz\u2019de Rusya\u2019y\u0131 d\u0131\u015flayan yeni tah\u0131l koridorlar\u0131 a\u00e7ma giri\u015fimleri ba\u015flad\u0131. Rusya Odessa\u2019daki tah\u0131l silolar\u0131n\u0131 vurarak kararl\u0131l\u0131k g\u00f6sterisinde bulundu.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

B\u00fcy\u00fck bir de\u011fi\u015fim oldu. Ukrayna sava\u015f\u0131n\u0131n Karadeniz \u00fczerinden T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye yay\u0131lmas\u0131 yak\u0131n tehlike olarak ufukta belirdi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

NATO\u2019nun sava\u015fa \u015fimdiki gibi \u00f6rt\u00fcl\u00fc m\u00fcdahalesinin devam\u0131 fakat bir noktadan sonra a\u00e7\u0131ktan girmesi durumunda, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin ordusu ve insan g\u00fcc\u00fcyle birlikte ikinci bir Ukrayna olarak sefer-g\u00f6rev emrine maruz kalaca\u011f\u0131, emrivakiler ve provokasyonlarla sava\u015fa do\u011fru itilece\u011fi a\u00e7\u0131k\u00e7a g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

B\u00fct\u00fcn bunlardan T\u00fcrkiye\u2019yi y\u00f6netenlerin, Y\u00fcce Meclis\u2019teki siyasi parti ba\u015fkanlar\u0131 ve milletvekillerinin, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki aylar,  haftalar, hatta g\u00fcnler i\u00e7inde Montr\u00f6 hassasiyeti konusunda b\u00fcy\u00fck ve hayati bir s\u0131nav vereceklerini anl\u0131yoruz.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bu s\u0131nava siyas\u00ee toplumun yeterince haz\u0131rlanmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00e7ok a\u00e7\u0131k. 4 Nisan 2021\u2019de 104 Amiral\u2019in Montr\u00f6\u2019n\u00fcn \u00f6nemine dikkati \u00e7ektikleri a\u00e7\u0131klamaya siyas\u00ee parti ba\u015fkanlar\u0131n\u0131n g\u00f6sterdi\u011fi tepki, imzac\u0131 amirallerin g\u00f6zalt\u0131na al\u0131nmalar\u0131, elektronik prangaya vurulmalar\u0131 hassasiyetin yeterli olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6sterdi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

A\u00e7\u0131klama\u2019dan k\u0131sa s\u00fcre \u00f6nce TBMM Ba\u015fkan\u0131 \u015eentop, Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131\u2019n\u0131n Montr\u00f6\u2019y\u00fc feshetmesinin \u201cteknik olarak m\u00fcmk\u00fcn\u201d oldu\u011funu s\u00f6ylemi\u015fti.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 ise Montr\u00f6\u2019y\u00fc pazarl\u0131k konusu yapabilece\u011fini ima ederek \u015f\u00f6yle dedi: \u201cDaha iyisi i\u00e7in imk\u00e2n bulana kadar Montr\u00f6\u2019ye ba\u011fl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyoruz\u201d (BBC<\/em>, 06.04. 2021).  Biz unutmu\u015f olsak da bu s\u00f6z d\u00fcnyaya verilmi\u015f \u00e7ok \u00f6nemli bir mesaj de\u011feri ta\u015f\u0131yor.  T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin ekonomik bak\u0131mdan s\u0131k\u0131\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u015fu s\u0131ralarda bu mesaj\u0131n, Tah\u0131l Koridoru krizinin yaratt\u0131\u011f\u0131 tehlikeli ko\u015fullarda de\u011ferlendirilece\u011fini anl\u0131yoruz.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Son anda Saray\u2019\u0131n ve siyas\u00ee toplumun uyanmas\u0131n\u0131, pazarl\u0131k\u00e7\u0131 t\u00fcccar akl\u0131n\u0131n yerini Devlet akl\u0131na b\u0131rakmas\u0131n\u0131 ancak temenni edebiliriz.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin jeopolitik de\u011fi\u015fimi, yaratt\u0131\u011f\u0131 yak\u0131n tehlike nedeniyle b\u00fct\u00fcn de\u011fi\u015fimlerden daha \u00f6nemli. Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla CHP\u2019de de\u011fi\u015fim nas\u0131l olacak, Piro k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck bir Alevi partisiyle yoluna devam m\u0131 edecek, yoksa Muharrem lokmas\u0131 da\u011f\u0131tan \u0130mamo\u011flu\u2019yla her \u015fey \u00e7ok g\u00fczel mi olacak gibi  \u201cde\u011fi\u015fim\u201d konular\u0131n\u0131n yan\u0131 s\u0131ra, \u201cbiz bilmeyiz, anlamay\u0131z\u201d demeden jeopolitik sorunla ilgilenmek g\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcz\u00fcn en \u00f6nemli yurtta\u015fl\u0131k g\u00f6revidir.  <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Amerikal\u0131lar Karadeniz\u2019de \u201cdurum fark\u0131ndal\u0131\u011f\u0131\u201d yaratmak i\u00e7in a\u00e7\u0131k raporlar yay\u0131nlay\u0131p bin dereden su getirirken, bizim de Montr\u00f6 konusunda mill\u00ee bir fark\u0131ndal\u0131k yaratmam\u0131z gerekir. Ekonomik kriz gelir ge\u00e7er; fakat Rusya \u00f6rne\u011finin tarihsel olarak g\u00f6sterdi\u011fi gibi, jeopolitik felaketin telafisi yoktur. Veryans\u0131n<\/em>, 28. 07. 2023  <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Yavuz Alogan         Muhalifiyle yanda\u015f\u0131yla b\u00fct\u00fcn medya CHP\u2019deki de\u011fi\u015fim tart\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131yla me\u015fgul. Her gece ekranlarda beliren kadrolu yorumcular CHP\u2019nin nas\u0131l de\u011fi\u015febilece\u011fini, se\u00e7imlerde a\u011f\u0131r yara alarak i\u00e7ine kapanan muhalefetin yerel se\u00e7im \u00f6ncesinde yeniden tertiplenmek i\u00e7in  ne yapmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini b\u0131kt\u0131r\u0131c\u0131 bir muhabbetle saatlerce tart\u0131\u015f\u0131yor. Herhangi bir muhalefet partisinin en marjinal mensubunun \u00e7\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131l\u0131 bir demeci ya da eylemi b\u00fcy\u00fck … <\/p>\n

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