{"id":1425,"date":"2023-07-14T08:42:30","date_gmt":"2023-07-14T06:42:30","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/yavuzalogan.com\/?p=1425"},"modified":"2023-07-14T08:42:30","modified_gmt":"2023-07-14T06:42:30","slug":"nato-zirvesi-ve-yeni-donem","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/yavuzalogan.com\/?p=1425","title":{"rendered":"&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;NATO Z\u0130RVES\u0130 VE YEN\u0130 D\u00d6NEM"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"729\" height=\"434\" src=\"http:\/\/yavuzalogan.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/729x434-nato-zirvesinin-kahramani-turk-cumhurbaskani-dunya-baskan-erdogani-konusuyor-vilniusun-mutlak-galibi-1689228087634.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1426\" srcset=\"http:\/\/yavuzalogan.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/729x434-nato-zirvesinin-kahramani-turk-cumhurbaskani-dunya-baskan-erdogani-konusuyor-vilniusun-mutlak-galibi-1689228087634.jpg 729w, http:\/\/yavuzalogan.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/729x434-nato-zirvesinin-kahramani-turk-cumhurbaskani-dunya-baskan-erdogani-konusuyor-vilniusun-mutlak-galibi-1689228087634-500x298.jpg 500w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 729px) 100vw, 729px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Yavuz Alogan<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>NATO ve AB gibi bat\u0131l\u0131 \u00f6rg\u00fctler kendi i\u00e7 sorunlar\u0131n\u0131 zamana b\u0131rak\u0131p olgunla\u015ft\u0131rd\u0131ktan sonra kapsama\/d\u00e2hil etme (kooptasyon) y\u00f6ntemiyle \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcyorlar. Ukrayna\u2019y\u0131 NATO \u00fcyesi yapam\u0131yorlar -aksi h\u00e2lde topyek\u00fbn sava\u015fa girecekler- fakat kurban se\u00e7ilen bu zavall\u0131 \u00fclkeyi ortak karar alabilecekleri bir komisyonla NATO\u2019ya \u201cyakla\u015ft\u0131r\u0131yor\u201dlar.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Stoltenberg, \u0130sve\u00e7 ve Finlandiya\u2019n\u0131n NATO\u2019ya kat\u0131l\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 sa\u011flamak i\u00e7in Say\u0131n Reis\u2019in etraf\u0131nda pervane oldu, s\u0131k s\u0131k Saray\u2019da boy g\u00f6sterdi, ABD ile pazarl\u0131k ortam\u0131n\u0131 pedagojik bir hassasiyetle haz\u0131rlad\u0131. Pazarl\u0131k vakti geldi\u011finde Biden, Reis\u2019in cesaretini, diplomasi yetene\u011fini ve liderli\u011fini \u00f6vd\u00fc. B\u00f6ylece \u201cyeni bir d\u00f6nem\u201d ba\u015flad\u0131. Sonucun olumlu olmas\u0131na Saray mahdumuyla ilgili k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck bir yolsuzluk dosyas\u0131n\u0131n <em>Reuters<\/em>\u2019te ucundan g\u00f6sterilmesi de tesir etmi\u015f olabilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Bat\u0131l\u0131 y\u00f6neticilerin do\u011fulu despotik liderlerin \u201cdavran\u0131\u015f psikolojisi\u201d hakk\u0131nda uzman g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnden yararland\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 san\u0131yorum.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Bir keresinde emekli bir korgeneral, Bat\u0131l\u0131 heyetlerle yap\u0131lan m\u00fczakerelere \u00f6nceden \u00e7al\u0131\u015farak, en kararl\u0131 tutumla girdiklerini, her defas\u0131nda \u201c\u00fczerine limon s\u0131k\u0131lm\u0131\u015f helva kal\u0131b\u0131\u201d gibi \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 bir tv program\u0131nda s\u00f6ylemi\u015fti.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Vilnius\u2019ta da ayn\u0131 \u015fey oldu. Elbette bu durum, Say\u0131n Saray\u2019\u0131n keferenin ezberini bozdu\u011funu, Bat\u0131 d\u00fcnyas\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7alkalad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131, zat-\u0131 \u015fahane\u2019nin d\u00fcnya lideri olarak takdir toplad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 yanda\u015f bas\u0131n\u0131n balland\u0131rarak anlatmas\u0131na engel olmad\u0131.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Bat\u0131 tarz\u0131 esneklik Rusya\u2019da yok. \u00c7ar hazretleri do\u011frudan \u201cSeni Avrupa\u2019n\u0131n enerji merkezi yapaca\u011f\u0131m\u201d dedi mesela, Say\u0131n Reis\u2019in se\u00e7im harcamalar\u0131na katk\u0131 olarak bor\u00e7lar\u0131 erteledi. Fakat farkl\u0131 bir \u201cdavran\u0131\u015f terapisi\u201d uygulayarak \u015eubat 2020\u2019de 36 askerimizi \u0130dlib\u2019de \u015fehit etmekten geri durmam\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Yeni d\u00f6nemin bundan sonraki hamlesi muhtemelen Karadeniz\u2019e k\u0131y\u0131s\u0131 olan NATO \u00fclkelerinin ABD ve \u0130ngiltere\u2019nin asker\u00ee katk\u0131s\u0131yla ortak bir g\u00f6rev g\u00fcc\u00fc olu\u015fturarak Rusya\u2019y\u0131 g\u00fcneyden \u00e7evrelemesi, &nbsp;K\u0131r\u0131m Yar\u0131madas\u0131 ve Sivastopol deniz \u00fcss\u00fc \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 kurmas\u0131 olacak. \u0130sve\u00e7 ve Finlandiya\u2019n\u0131n NATO\u2019ya d\u00e2hil edilmesi, Balt\u0131k Denizi\u2019ni Rusya\u2019ya kapatt\u0131. Ana karayla ba\u011flant\u0131s\u0131 olmayan Rus asker\u00ee \u00fcss\u00fc Kaliningrad denizden de ku\u015fat\u0131ld\u0131. NATO, \u00e7emberi Karadeniz\u2019le tamamlad\u0131ktan sonra Ukrayna\u2019daki a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131k merkezini daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc silahlarla takviye ederek sava\u015f\u0131 t\u0131rmand\u0131racak, Rusya\u2019y\u0131 y\u0131pratmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrecek.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>1991\u2019de ideolojisi iflas etti\u011fi i\u00e7in jeopolitik olarak yenilen Rusya\u2019n\u0131n 33 y\u0131l sonra Ukrayna\u2019ya sald\u0131rmas\u0131n\u0131n iki sebebi vard\u0131: \u0130leriden savunma hatlar\u0131n\u0131 yeniden kurabilece\u011fi bir s\u00fcreci ba\u015flatarak NATO\u2019nun geni\u015flemesini durdurmak ve yeniden bir s\u00fcper g\u00fc\u00e7 oldu\u011funu kan\u0131tlayarak Avrupa sahnesinde siyas\u00ee varl\u0131k g\u00f6stermek.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u0130kisini de ba\u015faramad\u0131.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Sava\u015f\u0131n daha derin sebebi ise Putin oligar\u015fisinin Rusya\u2019n\u0131n i\u00e7 sorunlar\u0131ndan \u201cileriye ka\u00e7\u0131\u015f\u201d arzusudur. Demografik bozulman\u0131n, s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir olmayan devlet modelinin (\u00c7ar\u2019\u0131n ve eski KP Genel Sekreteri\u2019nin yetkilerine sahip tek adam y\u00f6netimi) yaratt\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcms\u00fcz sorunlar\u0131 asker\u00ee zaferle a\u015fmay\u0131 tasarlayan, i\u00e7ten i\u00e7e \u00e7\u00fcr\u00fcyen \u00f6rg\u00fcts\u00fcz ve pasif toplumsal yap\u0131y\u0131 harekete ge\u00e7irmek isteyen Kremlin\u2019deki sivil b\u00fcrokratlar, asker\u00ee uzmanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 dikkate almadan \u00fclkeyi batakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n i\u00e7ine soktular ve NATO\u2019nun g\u00fc\u00e7lenmesine, yeniden \u00f6rg\u00fctlenerek daha da geni\u015flemesine yol a\u00e7t\u0131lar.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cDaha tehlikeli bir d\u00fcnya i\u00e7in daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir NATO\u201d slogan\u0131n\u0131 yaratan, Putin\u2019in Ortodoks Rus \u00c7arl\u0131\u011f\u0131\u2019n\u0131 ihya etme hevesinden ba\u015fka bir \u015fey de\u011fildir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Kremlin, ba\u015flang\u0131\u00e7ta ordusu bile olmayan Ukrayna\u2019y\u0131 i\u015fgal edemedi. Ele ge\u00e7irdi\u011fi yerleri (Donetsk, Luhansk, Zaporejye, Herson) yeni s\u0131n\u0131r hatt\u0131 olarak kabul ettiremedi (sava\u015f o hatta s\u00fcr\u00fcyor).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>M\u00fchimmat \u00fcretme kapasitesinin s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 oldu\u011fu anla\u015f\u0131ld\u0131. A\u015f\u0131r\u0131 y\u0131k\u0131c\u0131 geli\u015fmi\u015f f\u00fczelerini muazzam sivil kay\u0131plar\u0131 g\u00f6ze alarak dar alanda kullanamad\u0131. N\u00fckleer sava\u015f tehdidi inand\u0131r\u0131c\u0131 olmad\u0131.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>En \u00f6nemlisi \u201cfa\u015fizme kar\u015f\u0131 m\u00fccadele\u201d temas\u0131na ra\u011fmen, II. D\u00fcnya Sava\u015f\u0131\u2019ndaki Stalin gibi bir \u201cAnavatan Savunmas\u0131\u201d yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131na kendi halk\u0131n\u0131 ikna edemedi. \u00dc\u00e7 y\u00fcz bin asker alaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ilan etti\u011fi anda askerlik \u00e7a\u011f\u0131ndaki n\u00fcfusun nas\u0131l ka\u00e7\u0131\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 b\u00fct\u00fcn d\u00fcnya g\u00f6rd\u00fc. \u00d6n&nbsp; hatlarda&nbsp; paral\u0131 askerleri, cezaevinden \u00e7\u0131kard\u0131\u011f\u0131 mahk\u00fbmlar\u0131, \u00c7e\u00e7enleri kulland\u0131.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Rus ordusunun d\u00fczenli\/nizami bir \u201cmill\u00ee ordu\u201d olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131, emir komuta mekanizmas\u0131n\u0131n sava\u015f s\u0131ras\u0131nda bozuldu\u011fu, \u00fczerinde d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fclm\u00fc\u015f bir harp doktrinine sahip olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 anla\u015f\u0131ld\u0131 (Gerasimov\u2019un \u201cyumu\u015fak g\u00fc\u00e7\u201de a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131k veren hibrit sava\u015f doktrinini sava\u015f\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131nda terk etti, sonra tekrar buna d\u00f6nmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131). Putin\u2019in, isyan edip Rus genelkurmay\u0131n\u0131 teslim almak \u00fczere (!) &nbsp;Moskova\u2019ya do\u011fru y\u00fcr\u00fcy\u00fc\u015fe ge\u00e7en silahl\u0131 oligark Prigojin\u2019i \u00f6nce \u201chain\u201d ilan edip sonra Kremlin\u2019de a\u011f\u0131rlamas\u0131 (anla\u015fmas\u0131!) bile tek ba\u015f\u0131na muazzam bir zaaft\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Sovyet halk\u0131n\u0131n kanla irfanla 70 senede yaratt\u0131\u011f\u0131 b\u00fct\u00fcn maddi de\u011ferleri ya\u011fmalayan, d\u00fcnyan\u0131n en bo\u015f bele\u015f\u00e7i, vicdans\u0131z ve a\u00e7g\u00f6zl\u00fc zengin kesimini olu\u015fturan oligarklar\u0131n, yan\u0131 s\u0131ra asker sivil Rus devlet b\u00fcrokrasisinin sonuna kadar Putin\u2019i desteklemesi beklenemez. Ve nihayet, tarihsel olarak ayaklanma gelene\u011fi olan k\u00fclt\u00fcrl\u00fc Rus halk\u0131n\u0131n da b\u00f6yle bir iktidara n\u00fckleer sava\u015f tehdidi alt\u0131nda uzun s\u00fcre katlanmas\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fclemez. B\u00fct\u00fcn potansiyel i\u00e7 g\u00fc\u00e7lerin Nisan 2024\u2019te yap\u0131lacak ba\u015fkanl\u0131k se\u00e7imleri \u00f6ncesinde, s\u0131ras\u0131nda ve sonras\u0131nda etkin olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 tahmin edebiliriz.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Sava\u015f\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcp i\u00e7 sorunlarla bo\u011fu\u015farak sonunda par\u00e7alan\u0131p Moskova (1263) ve Nijni-Novgorod (1341) Knezliklerinin tarihi s\u0131n\u0131rlar\u0131na do\u011fru k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclmek ya da n\u00fckleer sava\u015f denemesinde bulunmak gibi iki se\u00e7enekle s\u0131n\u0131rlanan Rusya, Putin\u2019in \u201ctarihin en b\u00fcy\u00fck jeopolitik felaketi\u201d dedi\u011fi 1991 Belojev Anla\u015fmas\u0131\u2019ndan \u00e7ok daha vahim bir sonuca do\u011fru s\u00fcr\u00fckleniyor. &nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u00d6zetle Rusya, uzun tarihinin pek \u00e7ok d\u00f6neminde g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc gibi, asker\u00ee, ekonomik ve toplumsal g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fcn \u00e7ok \u00f6tesindeki hedeflere ula\u015fmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131. K\u00fcresel d\u00fczeyde Beyaz Rusya\u2019n\u0131n mecburi, \u00c7HC\u2019nin ise manevi deste\u011fi d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda sa\u011flam bir ittifak olu\u015fturamad\u0131.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Pragmatist ve hedef odakl\u0131 \u00c7in, Ukrayna sava\u015f\u0131nda Rusya\u2019ya asla a\u00e7\u0131ktan asker\u00ee destek vermeyecek, sonu\u00e7tan yararlanmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015facakt\u0131r. \u00c7in sab\u0131rl\u0131 tutumundan asla vazge\u00e7mez, ABD\u2019nin k\u0131\u015fk\u0131rtmalar\u0131na ra\u011fmen &nbsp;Ukrayna sava\u015f\u0131 devam ederken Tayvan\u2019\u0131 i\u015fgal etmek gibi bir hata yapmaz. Rusya\u2019n\u0131n gerileme s\u00fcrecinin bir a\u015famas\u0131nda ABD\u2019yle yak\u0131nla\u015fmas\u0131 bile m\u00fcmk\u00fcnd\u00fcr. Bunu ideolojik bak\u0131mdan \u00e7ok elveri\u015fsiz ko\u015fullarda, 1972\u2019de yapmaktan \u00e7ekinmemi\u015fti. \u015eimdi hi\u00e7 \u00e7ekinmez. Hep belirtildi\u011fi gibi, Rusya\u2019n\u0131n arazisi geni\u015f, kaynaklar\u0131 bol fakat n\u00fcfusu azd\u0131r; \u00c7in\u2019in ise arazisi dar, kaynaklar\u0131 k\u0131t ve n\u00fcfusu fazlad\u0131r. B\u00f6yle durumlar biti\u015fik \u00fclkelerde jeopolitik sonu\u00e7lar yarat\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Tekrar T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye d\u00f6necek olursak\u2026 Hani Vilnius zirvesinden \u00f6nce NATO A\u00e7\u0131k Mukabele G\u00fcc\u00fc, \u00fc\u00e7 kademeli asker\u00ee konfig\u00fcrasyona ge\u00e7ilmesi i\u00e7in tavsiye karar\u0131 ald\u0131 ya (10 g\u00fcn i\u00e7inde 100 000, 30 g\u00fcn i\u00e7inde 200 000,&nbsp; 180 g\u00fcn i\u00e7inde 500 000 asker cepheye s\u00fcr\u00fclebilecek!), bizim i\u015fte o g\u00fcce verecek tek bir askerimiz, Karadeniz\u2019de Rusya\u2019y\u0131 tehdit edecek tek bir sava\u015f gemimiz olamaz ve olmamal\u0131d\u0131r. Ukrayna sava\u015f\u0131n\u0131n Karadeniz \u00fczerinden T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye yay\u0131lmas\u0131 ya da T\u00fcrk Ordusu\u2019nun NATO emrinde Rusya\u2019ya, hatta \u0130ran\u2019a kar\u015f\u0131 kullan\u0131lmas\u0131 \u00f6nlenmelidir. NATO\u2019nun ikinci Ukrayna\u2019s\u0131 olmay\u0131z.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>T\u00fcrkiye, olanca Devlet akl\u0131n\u0131 kullanarak tarafs\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve \u00e7ok y\u00f6nl\u00fc i\u015fbirli\u011fi anlay\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrmeli, &nbsp;b\u00f6l\u00fcnm\u00fc\u015f \u201ci\u00e7 cephe\u201dyi birle\u015ftirerek yeniden kurmal\u0131 ve tahkim etmelidir. Saray akl\u0131 k\u0131sa d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc\u011f\u00fcnde muhta\u00e7 olaca\u011f\u0131m\u0131z kudret yak\u0131n tarihimizde mevcuttur. T\u00fcrkiye her b\u00fcy\u00fck krizde ulusal birli\u011fini sa\u011flam\u0131\u015f ve korumu\u015ftur. &nbsp;<em>Veryans\u0131n<\/em>, 14. 07. 2023 &nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Yavuz Alogan NATO ve AB gibi bat\u0131l\u0131 \u00f6rg\u00fctler kendi i\u00e7 sorunlar\u0131n\u0131 zamana b\u0131rak\u0131p olgunla\u015ft\u0131rd\u0131ktan sonra kapsama\/d\u00e2hil etme (kooptasyon) y\u00f6ntemiyle \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcyorlar. Ukrayna\u2019y\u0131 NATO \u00fcyesi yapam\u0131yorlar -aksi h\u00e2lde topyek\u00fbn sava\u015fa girecekler- fakat kurban se\u00e7ilen bu zavall\u0131 \u00fclkeyi ortak karar alabilecekleri bir komisyonla NATO\u2019ya \u201cyakla\u015ft\u0131r\u0131yor\u201dlar. Stoltenberg, \u0130sve\u00e7 ve Finlandiya\u2019n\u0131n NATO\u2019ya kat\u0131l\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 sa\u011flamak i\u00e7in Say\u0131n Reis\u2019in etraf\u0131nda pervane oldu, &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"http:\/\/yavuzalogan.com\/?p=1425\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8221;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;NATO Z\u0130RVES\u0130 VE YEN\u0130 D\u00d6NEM&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1425","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/yavuzalogan.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1425","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/yavuzalogan.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/yavuzalogan.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/yavuzalogan.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/yavuzalogan.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=1425"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"http:\/\/yavuzalogan.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1425\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1427,"href":"http:\/\/yavuzalogan.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1425\/revisions\/1427"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/yavuzalogan.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=1425"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/yavuzalogan.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=1425"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/yavuzalogan.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=1425"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}