{"id":1329,"date":"2023-02-24T09:35:00","date_gmt":"2023-02-24T07:35:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/yavuzalogan.com\/?p=1329"},"modified":"2023-02-24T09:35:00","modified_gmt":"2023-02-24T07:35:00","slug":"munih-konferansi-ve-cinin-bildirisi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/yavuzalogan.com\/?p=1329","title":{"rendered":"M\u00dcN\u0130H KONFERANSI VE \u00c7\u0130N\u2019\u0130N B\u0130LD\u0130R\u0130S\u0130"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Yavuz Alogan<\/p>\n\n\n\n

         \u00dc\u00e7 g\u00fcn s\u00fcren M\u00fcnih G\u00fcvenlik Konferans\u0131 (17-19. 02. 2023)  Ukrayna-Rusya sava\u015f\u0131n\u0131n g\u00f6lgesinde ba\u015flad\u0131 ve bitti. Bat\u0131l\u0131 d\u0131\u015f politika yorumcular\u0131 sonucu belirsizlik olarak de\u011ferlendirdiler. Taktik d\u00fczeyde bask\u0131y\u0131 art\u0131rma kararl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 vurgulan\u0131rken, stratejik hedef belirsizli\u011fini korudu.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

        Kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar Ukrayna\u2019ya asker\u00ee ve her t\u00fcrl\u00fc yard\u0131m\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcreceklerini beyan ettiler, saflar\u0131 s\u0131kla\u015ft\u0131rd\u0131lar fakat nihai hedefi tan\u0131mlamad\u0131lar. M\u00fccadele ba\u015far\u0131yla sona ermeli noktas\u0131nda birle\u015ftiler fakat ne kadar ileri gidilece\u011fi konusunda karars\u0131z kald\u0131lar. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

        Macron, baz\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n (herhalde ABD\u2019yi kastediyor) Rusya\u2019y\u0131 ezmek gibi bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnceleri oldu\u011funu, Fransa\u2019n\u0131n bu tutumu benimsemedi\u011fini; Scholz ise en \u00f6nemli hedeflerinin NATO\u2019nun Rusya\u2019yla do\u011frudan \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6nlemek oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

        Macron inand\u0131r\u0131c\u0131 olmak gerekti\u011fini, Scholz ise  s\u00fcreci mant\u0131kl\u0131 bir tutumla y\u00fcr\u00fctmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 belirtti.   Konu\u015fmalardan Bat\u0131\u2019n\u0131n yeterince inand\u0131r\u0131c\u0131 ve mant\u0131kl\u0131 olamad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve i\u015fbirli\u011finin zay\u0131f kald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 anl\u0131yoruz. Mesela Scholz, Leopard tanklar\u0131n\u0131n g\u00f6nderilmesi i\u00e7in Almanya\u2019ya bask\u0131 yap\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 fakat m\u00fcttefiklerin ellerindeki tanklar\u0131 g\u00f6nderme konusunu a\u011f\u0131rdan ald\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131   s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

        D\u0131\u015fi\u015flerinden sorumlu Politb\u00fcro \u00fcyesi Vang-yi Konferans\u2019ta bar\u0131\u015f, kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131kl\u0131 yard\u0131mla\u015fma ve toplumsal kalk\u0131nman\u0131n \u00f6nemini vurgulayarak, \u00c7in\u2019in Ukrayna sorununda arabuluculuk rol\u00fcne haz\u0131r oldu\u011funu g\u00f6sterdi. Rusya\u2019yla asker\u00ee\/stratejik ittifak kurdu\u011fu anda III. D\u00fcnya Sava\u015f\u0131\u2019n\u0131n \u00e7\u0131kaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 bilen ve bundan \u00f6zellikle ka\u00e7\u0131nmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan \u00c7in\u2019in, sab\u0131rla s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc dolayl\u0131 tutumuna arabuluculuk rol\u00fcn\u00fc ekleyebilece\u011fini anl\u0131yoruz.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Konferans\u2019ta yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 konu\u015fmada Vang-yi, BM \u015eart\u0131\u2019n\u0131n ama\u00e7 ve ilkelerine d\u00f6nmek gerekti\u011fini belirterek \u201ctoplumsal kalk\u0131nman\u0131n kilit rol\u00fcne hepimiz \u00f6nem vermeliyiz\u201d dedi; \u00c7in ile Avrupa\u2019n\u0131n yapaca\u011f\u0131 ortak tercihlerin d\u00fcnyan\u0131n gidi\u015fat\u0131n\u0131 belirleyece\u011fini s\u00f6yleyerek, Avrupa\u2019ya  ABD\u2019den \u201cstratejik \u00f6zerklik\u201d telkininde bulundu. \u00d6zetle, \u00c7in\u2019in Avrupa\u2019y\u0131 ABD\u2019den kurtararak kendisiyle i\u015fbirli\u011fi yapmaya zorlad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131, ikna etmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 anl\u0131yoruz.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

        Bu arada \u00c7in,    ABD\u2019yi tecrit \u00e7abas\u0131n\u0131n bir par\u00e7as\u0131 olarak, iki g\u00fcn \u00f6nce (21. 02. 2023) Zinhua\u2019da (resmi Yeni \u00c7in Haber Ajans\u0131) \u201cABD Hegemonyas\u0131 ve Yaratt\u0131\u011f\u0131 Tehlikeler\u201d (US Hegemony and Its Perils) ba\u015fl\u0131kl\u0131 bir rapor yay\u0131mlad\u0131. Rapordan \u00e7ok bildiriyi and\u0131ran metnin amac\u0131 giri\u015f b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcnde \u015fu c\u00fcmleyle a\u00e7\u0131klan\u0131yor: \u201cBu rapor,  konuya ili\u015fkin olgular\u0131 sunarak, ABD\u2019nin siyas\u00ee, asker\u00ee, ekonomik, mali, teknolojik ve k\u00fclt\u00fcrel alanlarda k\u00f6t\u00fcye kulland\u0131\u011f\u0131  hegemonyay\u0131 te\u015fhir etmeyi ve ABD uygulamalar\u0131n\u0131n d\u00fcnya bar\u0131\u015f\u0131na ve istikrar\u0131na  ve b\u00fct\u00fcn halklar\u0131n refah\u0131na y\u00f6nelik tehlikelerine daha geni\u015f bir uluslararas\u0131 alanda dikkatleri \u00e7ekmeyi ama\u00e7lamaktad\u0131r.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

        Bildiri, ger\u00e7ekten de Amerikan imparatorlu\u011funun 19.y\u00fczy\u0131ldan ba\u015flayarak sergiledi\u011fi b\u00fct\u00fcn k\u00f6t\u00fcl\u00fcklerin m\u00fckemmel bir \u00f6zetini sunuyor. ABD\u2019deki b\u00fct\u00fcn yay\u0131n organlar\u0131na ve d\u00fcnya medyas\u0131na g\u00f6nderilen metinde, CIA\u2019n\u0131n d\u00fczenledi\u011fi asker\u00ee darbelerden 2003 y\u0131l\u0131nda ba\u015flatt\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u201crenkli devrimler\u201de, uluslararas\u0131 kurallarda uygulad\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00e7ifte standarttan uluslararas\u0131 silahs\u0131zlanma antla\u015fmalar\u0131ndan \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131na, ABD\u2019nin  IMF ve D\u00fcnya Bankas\u0131 arac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131yla kurdu\u011fu ekonomik hegemonyadan tekelcilik ve bask\u0131yla kurdu\u011fu teknolojik hegemonyaya ve tv-Hollywood film end\u00fcstrisi, facebook, twitter, Netflix vs arac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131yla s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc k\u00fclt\u00fcrel hegemonyaya kadar (\u201cyan\u0131lt\u0131c\u0131 bilgileri \u00f6teki \u00fclkelere sald\u0131rmak i\u00e7in bir m\u0131zrak gibi kullan\u0131yor ve bunun etraf\u0131nda bir end\u00fcstriyel zincir olu\u015fturmu\u015f bulunuyor\u201d)  akla gelebilecek her konuya  de\u011finiliyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

        \u00c7in\u2019in Ku\u015fak Yol giri\u015fiminden; d\u00fcnya \u00e7ap\u0131nda karayollar\u0131, demiryollar\u0131, limanlar, enerji santralleri, be\u015finci nesil a\u011flar (5G) ve fiber kablo a\u011flar\u0131yla Asya\u2019dan ba\u015flayarak 139 \u00fclkeyi kapsayan \u015febekenin nihai amac\u0131na metinde do\u011fal olarak de\u011finilmiyor. Yine \u00c7in\u2019deki gelir da\u011f\u0131l\u0131m\u0131n\u0131n  Avrupa \u00fclkelerinden, hatta ABD\u2019den bile  k\u00f6t\u00fc oldu\u011fundan, \u00c7in \u0130nternet G\u00fcvenlik Seddi\u2019nin \u00c7in halk\u0131n\u0131 d\u0131\u015f d\u00fcnyadan tamamen yal\u0131tarak kapal\u0131, g\u00fcd\u00fcml\u00fc ve elbette yan\u0131lt\u0131c\u0131 bilgi ortam\u0131 yaratt\u0131\u011f\u0131ndan da s\u00f6z edilmiyor. Sorsan\u0131z, d\u00fcnya halklar\u0131n\u0131n refah\u0131, mutlulu\u011fu ve yabanc\u0131 \u00fclkelerin toplumsal kalk\u0131nmas\u0131 i\u00e7in sermaye ihra\u00e7 ettiklerini s\u00f6yleyeceklerdir.  <\/p>\n\n\n\n

        Metinde \u00e7a\u011fda\u015f y\u00f6neticilerden sadece S\u00fcleyman Soylu\u2019nun ad\u0131n\u0131n ge\u00e7mesi, i\u00e7i\u015fleri bakan\u0131m\u0131z\u0131n Eyl\u00fcl 2022\u2019de sarfetti\u011fi ABD kar\u015f\u0131t\u0131 s\u00f6zlere yer verilmesi \u00f6zel bir dikkati gerektiriyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bu k\u00f6\u015fede pek \u00e7ok kez Rusya\u2019n\u0131n tarihsel olarak T\u00fcrkiye\u2019yi kendi emperyal alan\u0131ndaki \u201cb\u00f6lgesel devlet\u201dlerden biri olarak g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc, Putin oligar\u015fisinin Saray Rejimi\u2019nin \u00fclkemizi \u201cgeleneksel yap\u0131\u201ds\u0131na (siyas\u00ee \u0130slam) d\u00f6nd\u00fcrme \u00e7abas\u0131n\u0131 ve Bat\u0131\u2019dan kopma e\u011filimini destekledi\u011fini; \u00c7in\u2019in de zaman zaman ba\u015fvurdu\u011fu ABD kar\u015f\u0131t\u0131 s\u00f6ylem y\u00fcz\u00fcnden mevcut siyas\u00ee iktidara yak\u0131n durdu\u011funu yazd\u0131\u011f\u0131m i\u00e7in bu konuya ayr\u0131ca girmiyorum. \u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki se\u00e7imlerde her iki devletin de AKP\u2019nin se\u00e7im zaferi i\u00e7in \u00e7al\u0131\u015faca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ayr\u0131ca belirtmeye gerek yok. T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin \u015feriatla y\u00f6netilme ihtimalinde kendi d\u0131\u015f politikalar\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan bir imk\u00e2n g\u00f6r\u00fcyorlar.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

               Tekrar metne d\u00f6necek olursak, sonu\u00e7 b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcnde \u00c7in, ABD\u2019yi cidd\u00ee bir vicdan muhasebesine (soul-searching) davet ediyor, bug\u00fcne kadar yapt\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 ele\u015ftirel bir tutumla g\u00f6zden ge\u00e7irmesini, kibir ve \u00f6nyarg\u0131lardan ar\u0131narak hegemonik, h\u00fckmedici, zorlay\u0131c\u0131 uygulamalardan vazge\u00e7mesini tavsiye ediyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

        ABD\u2019nin bu tavsiyeye ne kadar uyaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131, Avrupa\u2019n\u0131n Almanya-Fransa \u00e7evresinde yeni bir mihver olu\u015fturarak ABD\u2019den \u201cstratejik \u00f6zerklik\u201d yolunda ad\u0131m at\u0131p atamayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 zamanla g\u00f6rece\u011fiz.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

        AB ve ABD\u2019nin kendi halklar\u0131n\u0131 Rusya ve \u00c7in\u2019e kar\u015f\u0131 sava\u015fa ikna etmeleri zor g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. M\u00fcnih\u2019te Bar\u0131\u015f konferans\u0131 s\u00fcrerken binlerce Alman  kent meydan\u0131nda toplanarak  Ukrayna-Rusya sava\u015f\u0131n\u0131 protesto etti. \u201cDo\u011fu Cephesine Alman tanklar\u0131n\u0131n g\u00f6nderilmesine hay\u0131r\u201d gibi II. D\u00fcnya Sava\u015f\u0131\u2019n\u0131 hat\u0131rlatan pankartlar a\u00e7\u0131ld\u0131. Bir pankartta \u201cBiden, cehenneme kadar yolun var,\u201d yaz\u0131l\u0131yd\u0131.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

        Bu arada kendi \u00f6zel kanal\u0131nda bir konu\u015fma yapan Trump \u201cIII. D\u00fcnya Sava\u015f\u0131 hi\u00e7 bu kadar yak\u0131n olmam\u0131\u015ft\u0131,\u201d diye s\u00f6ze ba\u015flad\u0131, Pentagon ve D\u0131\u015fi\u015fleri Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131\u2019ndaki b\u00fct\u00fcn sava\u015f k\u0131\u015fk\u0131rt\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n ve k\u00fcreselcilerin bu kurumlardan temizlenmesi gerekti\u011fini s\u00f6yledi. San\u0131r\u0131m ilk kez bir ABD ba\u015fkan\u0131 b\u00f6yle \u015feyler s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor. Bu s\u00f6zlerin elbette ABD\u2019de kitlesel kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 olacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

        Sonu\u00e7 olarak b\u00fcy\u00fck devletler aras\u0131nda s\u00fcren k\u00fcresel hegemonya m\u00fccadelesinde yeni ittifak aray\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n ve y\u0131\u011f\u0131nak yapma faaliyetlerinin s\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc, taraf \u00fclkelerde sava\u015f kar\u015f\u0131t\u0131 kitlesel eylemlerin y\u00fckselece\u011fini s\u00f6ylemek yanl\u0131\u015f olmaz. Rusya\u2019n\u0131n Mart ay\u0131nda ba\u015flataca\u011f\u0131 anla\u015f\u0131lan \u201cBahar Tarruzu\u201d yeni bak\u0131\u015f a\u00e7\u0131lar\u0131 olu\u015fturacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

 En u\u00e7 iki durumdan birinde Rusya\u2019n\u0131n yeni s\u0131n\u0131r hatt\u0131 (Donetsk, Luhansk, Zaporejye, Herson) kabul edilerek ve K\u0131r\u0131m Rusya\u2019ya b\u0131rak\u0131larak bar\u0131\u015f yap\u0131l\u0131r; di\u011ferinde ise sava\u015f ilk anda Belarus ve Polonya\u2019y\u0131  i\u00e7ine \u00e7ekerek, n\u00fckleer sava\u015f felaketine do\u011fru yay\u0131l\u0131r. \u00c7in kendisine asker\u00ee olarak sald\u0131r\u0131lmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00fcrece zamana oynayarak dolayl\u0131 tutumunu s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcr.   Veryans\u0131n<\/em>, 24. 02. 2023  <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Yavuz Alogan          \u00dc\u00e7 g\u00fcn s\u00fcren M\u00fcnih G\u00fcvenlik Konferans\u0131 (17-19. 02. 2023)  Ukrayna-Rusya sava\u015f\u0131n\u0131n g\u00f6lgesinde ba\u015flad\u0131 ve bitti. Bat\u0131l\u0131 d\u0131\u015f politika yorumcular\u0131 sonucu belirsizlik olarak de\u011ferlendirdiler. Taktik d\u00fczeyde bask\u0131y\u0131 art\u0131rma kararl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 vurgulan\u0131rken, stratejik hedef belirsizli\u011fini korudu.         Kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar Ukrayna\u2019ya asker\u00ee ve her t\u00fcrl\u00fc yard\u0131m\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcreceklerini beyan ettiler, saflar\u0131 s\u0131kla\u015ft\u0131rd\u0131lar fakat nihai hedefi tan\u0131mlamad\u0131lar. M\u00fccadele ba\u015far\u0131yla … <\/p>\n

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