{"id":1192,"date":"2022-09-23T10:57:39","date_gmt":"2022-09-23T08:57:39","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/yavuzalogan.com\/?p=1192"},"modified":"2022-09-23T10:57:39","modified_gmt":"2022-09-23T08:57:39","slug":"rusyanin-seferberligi-avrupanin-acmazi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/yavuzalogan.com\/?p=1192","title":{"rendered":"RUSYA\u2019NIN SEFERBERL\u0130\u011e\u0130, AVRUPA\u2019NIN A\u00c7MAZI"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
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Yavuz Alogan<\/p>\n\n\n\n

        Putin k\u0131sm\u00ee seferberlik ilan etti\u011fi konu\u015fmas\u0131nda Rusya\u2019n\u0131n bat\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rlar\u0131n\u0131 i\u015faretledi. Donetsk, Luhansk, Zaporejya ve Herson b\u00f6lgelerini ilhak edece\u011fini, orada duraca\u011f\u0131n\u0131, daha ileri gitmeyece\u011fini ilan etti. Ukrayna\u2019n\u0131n en geli\u015fmi\u015f y\u00fczde 15\u2019i Rusya\u2019n\u0131n olacak, buraya yap\u0131lacak her sald\u0131r\u0131ya topyek\u00fbn anavatan savunmas\u0131yla kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k verilecek.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

        Bu b\u00f6lgelerde ya\u015fayan Ukrayna ahalisinin sava\u015f\u0131n ba\u015flang\u0131c\u0131nda topluca g\u00f6\u00e7 etti\u011fi dikkate al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda geni\u015f bir alan\u0131n asker\u00eele\u015ftirildi\u011fi anla\u015f\u0131l\u0131yor. Nitekim Putin, konu\u015fmas\u0131nda b\u00f6lgede sava\u015fanlara \u201cRus askeri stat\u00fcs\u00fc\u201d verilece\u011fini a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131. Va\u015fington, Br\u00fcksel ve Londra\u2019n\u0131n, \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131 Rus topraklar\u0131na ta\u015f\u0131mas\u0131 i\u00e7in Kiev\u2019e talimat verdi\u011fini s\u00f6yledi ve bunun ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmesi h\u00e2linde n\u00fckleer silah kullanaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ima etti: \u201cBu bir bl\u00f6f de\u011fildir.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

B\u00f6ylece Putin, Ukrayna ordusunun ilerleme ve sava\u015f\u0131 Rusya\u2019n\u0131n i\u00e7 b\u00f6lgelerine ta\u015f\u0131ma kabiliyetine sahip oldu\u011funu kabul etmi\u015f oldu.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Putin\u2019in a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131yla toplamda Kremlin ilhak\u00e7\u0131, sald\u0131rgan ve tehditk\u00e2r bir g\u00f6r\u00fcnt\u00fc verdi. Propaganda sava\u015f\u0131nda mevzi kaybetti ve Bat\u0131\u2019n\u0131n  psikolojik \u00fcst\u00fcnl\u00fc\u011f\u00fc biraz daha artt\u0131. Sava\u015f\u0131n \u201chibrit\u201d \u00f6zelliklerini kaybederek konvansiyonel y\u00f6ntemlerle s\u00fcrece\u011fini ve n\u00fckleer sava\u015fa do\u011fru tehlikeli bi\u00e7imde t\u0131rmanaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 anl\u0131yoruz. Zira Bat\u0131\u2019n\u0131n Ukrayna\u2019n\u0131n do\u011fusunu Rusya\u2019ya b\u0131rakmas\u0131n\u0131, n\u00fcfus yap\u0131s\u0131 de\u011fi\u015fen  Donetsk ve Luhansk\u2019ta 23-27 Eyl\u00fcl\u2019de yap\u0131lacak referandumun \u015fimdiden belli olan sonucunu kabul etmesini gerektiren asker\u00ee ve politik bir sebep yok.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bat\u0131l\u0131 \u00fclkeler Putin\u2019in s\u00f6zlerini hakl\u0131 olarak \u201cba\u015far\u0131s\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131n kabul\u00fc,\u201d \u201czay\u0131fl\u0131\u011f\u0131n itiraf\u0131,\u201d \u201cpanik belirtisi\u201d olarak de\u011ferlendirdiler.  \u00c7in \u201cdolayl\u0131 tutum\u201d bilgeli\u011fini bozmad\u0131. D\u0131\u015fi\u015fleri Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00f6zc\u00fcs\u00fc Vang, \u201c\u0130lgili taraflar\u0131 diyalog ve isti\u015fare yoluyla ate\u015fkesi ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirmeye ve m\u00fcmk\u00fcn olan en k\u0131sa s\u00fcrede t\u00fcm taraflar\u0131n me\u015fru g\u00fcvenlik endi\u015felerini giderecek bir \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm bulmaya \u00e7a\u011f\u0131r\u0131yoruz,\u201d dedi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sava\u015f\u0131n bu yeni evresi esas olarak ve kesinlikle Rusya i\u00e7 cephesini test edecektir. Rus halk\u0131n\u0131n n\u00fckleer sava\u015f\u0131 g\u00f6ze al\u0131p almayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131, paradan ba\u015fka  kayg\u0131s\u0131 olmayan bele\u015f\u00e7i ahlaks\u0131z oligarklar\u0131n sava\u015f y\u00fcz\u00fcnden servet kayb\u0131na raz\u0131 olup olmayacaklar\u0131n\u0131, kendi i\u00e7inde tasfiyeye u\u011frad\u0131\u011f\u0131 anla\u015f\u0131lan Rus ordusunun sava\u015f\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131nda s\u00f6z ge\u00e7iremedi\u011fi Kremlin\u2019deki hayalperestlere sonuna kadar itaat edip etmeyece\u011fini, insanl\u0131\u011f\u0131n en y\u00fcksek k\u00fclt\u00fcr\u00fcn\u00fcn yarat\u0131c\u0131s\u0131 olan derin Rusya\u2019n\u0131n tarihin u\u011fultusuna kulak vererek felaketin e\u015fi\u011finden d\u00f6n\u00fcp d\u00f6nmeyece\u011fini g\u00f6rece\u011fiz.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

        Bu arada \u0130sve\u00e7 gazetesi Nya Dagbladet<\/em> RAND Corporation\u2019a ait oldu\u011funu iddia etti\u011fi, 25 Ocak 2022 tarihli gizli bir raporun \u00f6zetini (executive summary) yay\u0131mlad\u0131. Bat\u0131 medyas\u0131 raporu g\u00f6rmezden geldi. RAND bir a\u00e7\u0131klama yaparak raporun \u201csahte\u201d oldu\u011funu iddia etti.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

        Sahte midir yoksa s\u0131zd\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f m\u0131d\u0131r, bilemeyiz. Fakat \u00fc\u00e7 sayfal\u0131k metin Ukrayna sava\u015f\u0131n\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131ndan itibaren ABD\u2019nin hareket tarz\u0131n\u0131 ger\u00e7e\u011fe en yak\u0131n bi\u00e7imde \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

        Rapordan Amerikal\u0131 stratejistlerin Rusya\u2019ya uygulanan yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n AB \u00fclkelerinde yarataca\u011f\u0131 sorunlar\u0131 Ukrayna krizinin t\u0131rmanmas\u0131ndan \u00f6nce analiz ettiklerini \u00f6\u011freniyoruz.   Rapor, Va\u015fington\u2019un  Avrupa \u00fclkelerinin ekonomilerini tahrip etmek i\u00e7in  Ukrayna\u2019n\u0131n sald\u0131rgan d\u0131\u015f politikas\u0131n\u0131 te\u015fvik ederek Rusya Federasyonu\u2019nu bilin\u00e7li olarak \u201c\u00f6zel asker\u00ee harek\u00e2t\u201da zorlad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131  g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

        \u201cAlmanya\u2019y\u0131 zay\u0131flatmak, ABD\u2019yi g\u00fc\u00e7lendirmek\u201d  ba\u015fl\u0131\u011f\u0131 alt\u0131nda, Amerikan ekonomisinin, \u201c\u00f6zellikle bankac\u0131l\u0131k sistemi\u201dnin  s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilmesi i\u00e7in  d\u0131\u015fardan kaynak aktar\u0131m\u0131n\u0131n \u201cacil bir ihtiya\u00e7\u201d oldu\u011fu belirtiliyor.  Bu ihtiyac\u0131 \u201cancak AB ve NATO taahh\u00fctlerine ba\u011fl\u0131 Avrupa \u00fclkeleri, bizim i\u00e7in \u00f6nemli asker\u00ee ve siyas\u00ee maliyetler olmadan  kar\u015f\u0131layabilir,\u201d deniyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

        Almanya\u2019n\u0131n \u00f6nceleri  bir engel olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc anla\u015f\u0131l\u0131yor. Brexit\u2019in Almanya\u2019ya artan bir ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131k sa\u011flad\u0131\u011f\u0131, ABD\u2019nin bu y\u00fczden AB h\u00fck\u00fcmetlerinin kararlar\u0131n\u0131 etkilemekte zorland\u0131\u011f\u0131 (Merkel d\u00f6neminde) kaydediliyor. Esas hedefin Almanya ile Rusya, yan\u0131 s\u0131ra Fransa aras\u0131ndaki, ABD\u2019ye y\u00f6nelik en b\u00fcy\u00fck ekonomik ve politik tehdit olarak g\u00f6r\u00fclen i\u015fbirli\u011fini engellemek oldu\u011fu, ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmesi h\u00e2linde bu i\u015fbirli\u011finin AB\u2019yi  sadece ekonomik de\u011fil ayn\u0131 zamanda politik bir rakibe d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcrece\u011fi belirtiliyor. ABD\u2019nin d\u00fcmen suyundan ayr\u0131larak Rusya\u2019yla yak\u0131nla\u015fan ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z bir AB\u2019nin rekabetinden korkuyorlar.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

        Bunu \u00f6nlemek i\u00e7in \u00f6ncelikle Almanya\u2019n\u0131n Rus gaz\u0131n\u0131 reddetmesi gerekiyor. Raporda bunun tek yolunun  \u201cher iki taraf\u0131 Ukrayna\u2019da asker\u00ee \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmaya \u00e7ekmek\u201d oldu\u011fu belirtiliyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

        \u00d6zetle Rus gaz\u0131 kesildi\u011finde Alman ekonomisini, yan\u0131 s\u0131ra bir b\u00fct\u00fcn olarak AB\u2019yi tahrip edecek \u201csistematik bir kriz\u201din ba\u015flayaca\u011f\u0131, Avrupa \u00fclkelerinin sava\u015f\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrmeye mecbur kalacaklar\u0131, Ukrayna\u2019daki \u201cs\u00fcrekli eylemlerimiz\u201din ve  Ukrayna ordusunun  Donetsk \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 kurmas\u0131n\u0131n  Rusya\u2019y\u0131 asker\u00ee kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 t\u0131rmand\u0131rmaya zorlayaca\u011f\u0131, b\u00f6ylece Rusya\u2019n\u0131n sald\u0131rgan taraf olarak g\u00f6r\u00fclece\u011fi ve yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n artarak uygulanaca\u011f\u0131 \u00f6ne s\u00fcr\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

        Bu geli\u015fmeler nedeniyle Avrupa ekonomisi \u201cka\u00e7\u0131n\u0131lmaz bi\u00e7imde \u00e7\u00f6kecek\u201d ve ba\u015fka imk\u00e2nlar\u0131n yan\u0131 s\u0131ra  9 milyar dolarl\u0131k bir kaynak ABD\u2019ye akacak ve Avrupa\u2019daki e\u011fitimli gen\u00e7 n\u00fcfus g\u00f6\u00e7e zorlanacak.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

        Hen\u00fcz ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmeyen son tahmini bir yana b\u0131rak\u0131rsak, \u015fu ana kadar AB-Ukrayna-Rusya sahas\u0131nda \u201csahte\u201d ya da \u201cs\u0131zd\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f\u201d raporun \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclerinin ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti\u011fi, AB ekonomisinin zorlanmaya ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve Avrupa \u00fclkelerinin \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmaya giderek daha fazla angaje olduklar\u0131, Rusya\u2019n\u0131n da daha sald\u0131rgan g\u00f6r\u00fcnd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131kt\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

        Raporda ye\u015fillerin ve \u201cAvrupa ideolojileri\u201dnin fanatik olmasalar da a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 dogmatik  ve  tuza\u011fa \u00e7ekilmeye m\u00fcsait oldu\u011fu \u00f6zellikle belirtiliyor.  Almanya D\u0131\u015fi\u015fleri Bakan\u0131 Baerbock ile ekonomik i\u015fler ve iklim bakan\u0131 Habeck\u2019in ki\u015fisel \u00f6zellikleri ve  profesyonellikten yoksun olu\u015flar\u0131 nedeniyle hatalar\u0131n\u0131 zaman\u0131nda g\u00f6rerek politika de\u011fi\u015ftiremeyecekleri, yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 kat\u0131 ve kararl\u0131 bir tutumla destekleyerek \u201csava\u015f partisi\u201dne d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015fecekleri belirtiliyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

        Rapor sahte olsa da olmasa da, ABD\u2019nin Rusya\u2019y\u0131 k\u0131\u015fk\u0131rtarak \u00e7\u0131kard\u0131\u011f\u0131 krizden yararlanmaya, krizin maliyetini Avrupa \u00fclkelerine y\u00fcklemeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131, bu \u00fclkelerin \u00e7aps\u0131z liderlerini tam bir a\u00e7maza s\u00fcr\u00fckledi\u011fi   a\u00e7\u0131k\u00e7a g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. ABD\u2019nin sinsi sald\u0131rganl\u0131\u011f\u0131, Rusya\u2019n\u0131n tela\u015f\u0131 ve Avrupal\u0131 liderlerin basiretsizli\u011fi insanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 n\u00fckleer sava\u015fa s\u00fcr\u00fckl\u00fcyor. Veryans\u0131n<\/em>, 23. 09. 2022   <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Yavuz Alogan         Putin k\u0131sm\u00ee seferberlik ilan etti\u011fi konu\u015fmas\u0131nda Rusya\u2019n\u0131n bat\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rlar\u0131n\u0131 i\u015faretledi. Donetsk, Luhansk, Zaporejya ve Herson b\u00f6lgelerini ilhak edece\u011fini, orada duraca\u011f\u0131n\u0131, daha ileri gitmeyece\u011fini ilan etti. Ukrayna\u2019n\u0131n en geli\u015fmi\u015f y\u00fczde 15\u2019i Rusya\u2019n\u0131n olacak, buraya yap\u0131lacak her sald\u0131r\u0131ya topyek\u00fbn anavatan savunmas\u0131yla kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k verilecek.         Bu b\u00f6lgelerde ya\u015fayan Ukrayna ahalisinin sava\u015f\u0131n ba\u015flang\u0131c\u0131nda topluca g\u00f6\u00e7 etti\u011fi … <\/p>\n

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