{"id":1176,"date":"2022-09-09T09:58:40","date_gmt":"2022-09-09T07:58:40","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/yavuzalogan.com\/?p=1176"},"modified":"2022-09-09T09:58:40","modified_gmt":"2022-09-09T07:58:40","slug":"rus-kisi-avrupaya-yayilirken","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/yavuzalogan.com\/?p=1176","title":{"rendered":"RUS KI\u015eI AVRUPA\u2019YA YAYILIRKEN"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Yavuz Alogan<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Avrupa\u2019y\u0131 a\u011f gibi saran enerji nakil hatlar\u0131 Sovyetler Birli\u011fi\u2019nin da\u011f\u0131lmas\u0131ndan sonra in\u015fa edildi. Yeltsin d\u00f6neminde ba\u015flayan ya\u011fmac\u0131 \u00f6zelle\u015ftirmeye son veren Putin, k\u0131sa s\u00fcre i\u00e7inde, \u00f6zellikle iktidar\u0131n\u0131 peki\u015ftirdi\u011fi 2012\u2019den sonra, Rusya\u2019y\u0131 enerji ihracat\u0131nda tekel konumuna getirmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Avrupa\u2019n\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fck b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc  ve kom\u015fu \u00fclkeleri kapsayan neredeyse kusursuz bir enerji nakil sistemi kurdu ve 1990\u2019lardan itibaren enerji talebi artan Asya piyasalar\u0131na a\u00e7\u0131lma stratejisi geli\u015ftirdi.  <\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u0130lk kez 2003\u2019te haz\u0131rlanan, son h\u00e2lini 2020\u2019de alan  \u201cRus Enerji Stratejisi\u201d ba\u015fl\u0131kl\u0131 belgeyle Putin y\u00f6netimi, yeni boru hatlar\u0131 in\u015fa ederek Avrupa \u00fclkelerine enerji ihracat\u0131n\u0131 \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc bir \u00fclkeye gerek kalmadan s\u00fcrd\u00fcrmeyi; Ortaasya\u2019daki petrol ve do\u011fal gaz kaynaklar\u0131n\u0131n  kendi denetimi d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda  alternatif boru hatlar\u0131yla  d\u00fcnya piyasalar\u0131na a\u00e7\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6nlemeyi; Gazprom\u2019un Avrupa pazar\u0131ndaki enerji da\u011f\u0131t\u0131m \u015firketlerini  ve \/ ya da yabanc\u0131 do\u011fal gaz \u00fcreticilerinin hisse senetlerini sat\u0131n alarak \u00fclkelerin do\u011fal gaz politikalar\u0131n\u0131 etkilemeyi hedefledi (ayr\u0131nt\u0131lar i\u00e7in bkz. \u00c7. \u015eahin, K. Nuriyev, TUDAD Ekim 2021,4\/4, 49-76).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Aleksandr Dugin bu iktisadi altyap\u0131n\u0131n jeopoliti\u011fini anlat\u0131rken  Ortodoks ha\u00e7\u0131n\u0131 and\u0131ran bir ittifak ve n\u00fcfuz alanlar\u0131 politikas\u0131 \u00f6neriyordu. Ha\u00e7\u0131n yatay kolu Berlin\u2019den Tokyo\u2019ya uzan\u0131rken, dikey kolu Sibirya\u2019dan  g\u00fcneydeki Yunanistan, T\u00fcrkiye, Suriye, Irak ve \u0130ran gibi \u201cb\u00f6lgesel devletler\u201de  uzanacakt\u0131 (Dugin, Rus Jeopoli\u011fi<\/em>, K\u00fcre 2005, s. 191).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Apokaliptik (k\u0131yamet\u00e7i) Ortodoks H\u0131ristiyan mistisizminin savunucusu, bug\u00fcnk\u00fc Rusya\u2019y\u0131 Kartaca\u2019ya (Atlantik) kar\u015f\u0131  \u201c\u00dc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc Roma\u201d olarak tan\u0131mlayan Aleksandr Dugin bu ittifak sisteminde \u00c7in\u2019e yer vermiyor,  \u201cMoskova-Pekin Mihveri sa\u011flam de\u011fil, \u015fartl\u0131d\u0131r, tarihen tesad\u00fcfidir,\u201d diyordu (agy, s. 345).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hibrit sava\u015f y\u00f6ntemlerini temel alan  Gerasimov Doktrini yerine klasik i\u015fgal takti\u011fini benimseyen Rusya\u2019n\u0131n Ukrayna\u2019da ba\u015flatt\u0131\u011f\u0131 konvansiyonel harbin tam bir \u00e7\u0131kmaza girmesi, ittifak ha\u00e7\u0131n\u0131n Berlin ve Japonya kollar\u0131n\u0131 k\u0131rd\u0131; Ortodoks Yunanistan\u2019\u0131n ABD taraf\u0131ndan neredeyse i\u015fgal edilmesiyle birlikte g\u00fcneyde T\u00fcrkiye, Suriye ve \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n \u00f6nemi artt\u0131; \u00c7in\u2019le Bat\u0131\u2019ya kar\u015f\u0131 politik, ekonomik, k\u0131smen de asker\u00ee i\u015fbirli\u011finin \u015fartlar\u0131 olu\u015ftu.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Tam bu noktada Rusya 31 sayfal\u0131k bir \u201cinsan\u00ee politika\u201d (humanitarian policy) metni olu\u015fturdu. Putin\u2019in iki g\u00fcn \u00f6nce onaylad\u0131\u011f\u0131 bu metinde \u201cRus d\u00fcnyas\u0131\u201d kavram\u0131 san\u0131r\u0131m ilk kez resm\u00ee olarak dile getirildi.  Metinde, Rusya \u201cRus d\u00fcnyas\u0131n\u0131n geleneklerini ve ideallerini korumal\u0131, s\u00fcrd\u00fcrmeli ve ilerletmelidir,\u201d deniyor (Reuters<\/em>, 05. 09. 22). Hen\u00fcz tamam\u0131  terc\u00fcme edilmeyen dok\u00fcmana ili\u015fkin yabanc\u0131 haber ajanslar\u0131n\u0131n yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 al\u0131nt\u0131lardan \u201cRus d\u00fcnyas\u0131\u201d kavram\u0131n\u0131n  biri dar, di\u011feri geni\u015f olmak \u00fczere iki anlamda kullan\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 anl\u0131yoruz.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Dar anlamda   Rusya\u2019n\u0131n 2008\u2019de ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zla\u015ft\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131 Abhazya, Osetya ile Donetsk ve Luhansk Halk Cumhuriyetleri kastediliyor. Geni\u015f anlamda Rus d\u00fcnyas\u0131n\u0131n ise Bat\u0131 Slavlar\u0131n\u0131 (Polonya, \u00c7ek Cumhuriyeti, Slovakya),  Do\u011fu Slavlar\u0131n\u0131 (Rusya, Belarus, Ukrayna), G\u00fcney Slavlar\u0131n\u0131 (H\u0131rvatistan, Bosna ve Hersek, S\u0131rbistan, Bulgaristan, Kuzey Makedonya, Karada\u011f, Slovenya) kapsad\u0131\u011f\u0131 anla\u015f\u0131l\u0131yor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

1991\u2019de Sovyetler Birli\u011fi\u2019nin \u00e7\u00f6k\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyle birlikte ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ilan eden \u00fclkelerde, yakla\u015f\u0131k 25 milyon etnik Rus ya\u015f\u0131yor. Yap\u0131s\u0131 ve Ortodoks Rus \u00c7arl\u0131\u011f\u0131 benzeri bir emperyal devlete d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015fme arzusu dikkate al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, Putin oligar\u015fisinin  bu etnik Ruslar\u0131 g\u00f6\u00e7 ve fetih yoluyla birle\u015ftirmek istemesi do\u011fald\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

1930\u2019lar\u0131n d\u00fcnyas\u0131nda Almanya, Versay Antla\u015fmas\u0131\u2019yla kendisini ba\u015fka \u00fclkelerin s\u0131n\u0131rlar\u0131 i\u00e7inde bulan milyonlarca Germen\u2019i birle\u015ftirmek istemi\u015f ve  panzer birlikleri Polonya s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131n\u0131 ge\u00e7inceye kadar (1939)  \u0130ngiltere bu iste\u011fi me\u015fru kabul etmi\u015f, Fransa ise \u00e7aresiz kalm\u0131\u015ft\u0131.  O d\u00f6nemdeki da\u011f\u0131lm\u0131\u015f Germenler\u2019in aksine g\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fczde etnik Ruslar\u0131n anavatanla birle\u015fme ya da i\u015fgal yoluyla entegre olma arzusu duyduklar\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steren bir belirti yok. Mesela Letonya\u2019da n\u00fcfusun % 40\u2019\u0131n\u0131n anadili olan Rus\u00e7a\u2019y\u0131 yasaklamak i\u00e7in  \u00e7okdillili\u011fe kar\u015f\u0131 y\u00fcr\u00fct\u00fclen kampanya \u201cRus d\u00fcnyas\u0131\u201dnda b\u00fcy\u00fck bir tepkiye yol a\u00e7mad\u0131. \u201cRus d\u00fcnyas\u0131\u201d iste\u011fini Belarus d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda me\u015fru kabul eden bir devlet de yok. Kald\u0131 ki Rusya sava\u015f kaybederek, galip devletlerin dayatmas\u0131yla de\u011fil \u201cBelovej Antla\u015fmas\u0131\u201dyla (1991), kendi insiyatifiyle da\u011f\u0131lma karar\u0131 ald\u0131 ve eski  Sovyet Bloku BM nezdinde kabul g\u00f6ren  egemen devletlere b\u00f6l\u00fcnd\u00fc.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Rusya\u2019n\u0131n 1991 \u00f6ncesi ileriden savunma hatlar\u0131n\u0131 yeniden kurmak, \u201cs\u00fcper g\u00fc\u00e7\u201d stat\u00fcs\u00fcn\u00fc yeniden kazanmak, bunu da yeni bir  \u201cRus d\u00fcnyas\u0131\u201d  olu\u015fturarak, etnik Ruslar\u0131 birle\u015ftirerek yapmak istedi\u011fi anla\u015f\u0131l\u0131yor. \u0130ttifak siyasetinin tek k\u0131stas\u0131 NATO ve ABD kar\u015f\u0131tl\u0131\u011f\u0131d\u0131r. Mesela T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin denge politikas\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fck\u00e7e bizim  \u015feriat kanunlar\u0131yla y\u00f6netilmemiz, hatta burada hilafetin ilan\u0131 bile Rusya\u2019y\u0131 zerre kadar etkilemez, hatta i\u015fine gelir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Rusya\u2019n\u0131n \u201cinsan\u00ee politika\u201ds\u0131 s\u00fcrekli sava\u015f demektir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ukrayna Sava\u015f\u0131 \u015fu ana kadar Rusya\u2019n\u0131n bu sava\u015f\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrmek i\u00e7in elinde enerji silah\u0131 ve geli\u015ftirmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 k\u0131talararas\u0131 a\u011f\u0131r termon\u00fckleer f\u00fczeler (RS-28 Sarmat  gibi) d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda bir imk\u00e2n olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ortaya koydu.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Putin\u2019in ge\u00e7en \u00e7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc (07.09. 22) Vladivostok Ekonomi Forumu\u2019nda yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 konu\u015fma bu iki koza bir \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fcs\u00fcn\u00fcn, yapay bir tah\u0131l k\u0131tl\u0131\u011f\u0131 yaratma imk\u00e2n\u0131n\u0131n eklenebilece\u011fini g\u00f6sterdi. Putin, konu\u015fmas\u0131nda, \u201cAra durak olan T\u00fcrkiye’yi saymazsak Ukrayna’dan ihra\u00e7 edilen tah\u0131l\u0131n neredeyse tamam\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck gelirli \u00fclkelere de\u011fil, Avrupa Birli\u011fi’ne sevk ediliyor\u201d dedikten sonra, \u00fcr\u00fcnlerin var\u0131\u015f noktalar\u0131n\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rlamay\u0131 Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 Tayyip Erdo\u011fan ile g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi. \u015eanghay \u0130\u015fbirli\u011fi \u00d6rg\u00fct\u00fc\u2019n\u00fcn \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki hafta \u00d6zbekistan\u2019da yapaca\u011f\u0131 zirvede bu konunun da ele al\u0131naca\u011f\u0131 anla\u015f\u0131l\u0131yor (Bloomberg, 07. 09.22).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Moskova, Napoleon ve Hitler ordular\u0131n\u0131 peri\u015fan eden General K\u0131\u015f\u2019\u0131, k\u0131sm\u00ee a\u00e7l\u0131\u011f\u0131 da yan\u0131na ekleyerek Avrupa\u2019n\u0131n \u00fczerine salmaya haz\u0131rlan\u0131yor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bu hamlenin ABD\u2019nin tek kutuplu d\u00fcnya siyasetine entegre olarak inan\u0131lmaz bir ahmakl\u0131kla Dostoyevski\u2019den Anna Netrebko\u2019ya kadar Rus d\u00fc\u015fmanl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 k\u00f6r\u00fckleyen Avrupal\u0131 liderleri b\u00fcy\u00fck isyanlar ve kitle hareketleriyle bunaltaca\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131kt\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Daha \u015fimdiden Almanya, Fransa, \u0130talya, \u0130spanya, Hollanda, Bel\u00e7ika ve \u00c7ek Cumhuriyeti\u2019nde akaryak\u0131t,  g\u0131da ve yem fiyatlar\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f\u0131 protesto eden y\u00fcz binlerce insan sokaklara d\u00f6k\u00fcld\u00fc. Stuttgard\u2019ta Tar\u0131m Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 trakt\u00f6rlerle ku\u015fat\u0131l\u0131rken, Bel\u00e7ika\u2019da \u00e7ift\u00e7iler Belediye binas\u0131n\u0131 bast\u0131lar; \u0130talya ve \u0130sko\u00e7ya\u2019da halk sokaklarda toplanarak elektrik faturalar\u0131n\u0131 yakmaya, \u00c7ekler AB politikalar\u0131n\u0131 protesto eden mitingler yapmaya ba\u015flad\u0131lar. \u0130ngiltere\u2019de g\u00f6stericiler \u201cRefah\u0131 de\u011fil sava\u015f\u0131 kesin!\u201d diye slogan att\u0131lar. \u0130ngiltere ve Fransa\u2019da sendikalar greve \u00e7\u0131kmaya haz\u0131rlan\u0131yor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bu hareketlerle birlikte d\u00fcnya halklar\u0131n\u0131n neoliberal iktisat politikalar\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131  refah devleti aray\u0131\u015f\u0131, NATO, Rusya ve \u00c7in\u2019in niyetlerinden ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z olarak yeni  ve \u00e7ok daha zorlay\u0131c\u0131 bir evreye ula\u015facakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Putin, \u201cT\u00fcketicilerin talebini payla\u015f\u0131yoruz,\u201d dedi.  Ambargo kesildi\u011fi anda Kuzey Ak\u0131m 2\u2019nin faaliyete ge\u00e7ebilece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi. Tehdit etmekten de geri durmad\u0131: \u201cE\u011fer s\u00f6zle\u015fmelerimize ve \u00e7\u0131karlar\u0131m\u0131za ayk\u0131r\u0131 olursa petrol, do\u011fal gaz veya k\u00f6m\u00fcr, hi\u00e7bir \u015fey g\u00f6ndermeyiz. Bat\u0131 bize \u015fartlar\u0131n\u0131 dikte edebilecek konumda de\u011fil, mant\u0131kl\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcns\u00fcnler\u201d (AA<\/em>. 07. 09. 22).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

AB \u00fclkelerini y\u00f6netenler ve y\u00f6netecek olanlar kitle hareketinin g\u00f6sterdi\u011fi \u00f6l\u00fcm kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda s\u0131tmaya raz\u0131 olarak orta vadede NATO stratejisinden vazge\u00e7ebilir, u\u00e7uk ka\u00e7\u0131k Ortodoks \u0130mparatorluk kurma niyetlerinden vazge\u00e7mi\u015f bir Putin sonras\u0131 Rusya\u2019yla birlikte, \u00c7in\u2019in de r\u0131zas\u0131yla, yeni bir uluslararas\u0131 d\u00fczenin yolunu a\u00e7mak zorunda kalabilirler. En iyimser senaryo budur. Veryans\u0131n<\/em>, 09. 09.2022<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Yavuz Alogan Avrupa\u2019y\u0131 a\u011f gibi saran enerji nakil hatlar\u0131 Sovyetler Birli\u011fi\u2019nin da\u011f\u0131lmas\u0131ndan sonra in\u015fa edildi. Yeltsin d\u00f6neminde ba\u015flayan ya\u011fmac\u0131 \u00f6zelle\u015ftirmeye son veren Putin, k\u0131sa s\u00fcre i\u00e7inde, \u00f6zellikle iktidar\u0131n\u0131 peki\u015ftirdi\u011fi 2012\u2019den sonra, Rusya\u2019y\u0131 enerji ihracat\u0131nda tekel konumuna getirmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Avrupa\u2019n\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fck b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc  ve kom\u015fu \u00fclkeleri kapsayan neredeyse kusursuz bir enerji nakil sistemi kurdu ve 1990\u2019lardan itibaren … <\/p>\n

Continue reading “RUS KI\u015eI AVRUPA\u2019YA YAYILIRKEN”<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1176","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/yavuzalogan.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1176","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/yavuzalogan.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/yavuzalogan.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/yavuzalogan.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/yavuzalogan.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=1176"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"http:\/\/yavuzalogan.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1176\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1179,"href":"http:\/\/yavuzalogan.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1176\/revisions\/1179"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/yavuzalogan.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=1176"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/yavuzalogan.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=1176"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/yavuzalogan.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=1176"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}