{"id":1064,"date":"2022-03-13T09:55:00","date_gmt":"2022-03-13T07:55:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/yavuzalogan.com\/?p=1064"},"modified":"2022-03-13T09:55:00","modified_gmt":"2022-03-13T07:55:00","slug":"turkiye-ne-yapacak","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/yavuzalogan.com\/?p=1064","title":{"rendered":"T\u00dcRK\u0130YE NE YAPACAK?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Yavuz Alogan<\/p>\n\n\n\n

         Rusya\u2019n\u0131n sava\u015f\u0131 Saray\u2019\u0131n \u00e7\u00f6km\u00fc\u015f omuzlar\u0131na \u00e7ok kritik bir reel politik y\u00fck b\u0131rakt\u0131.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

         Bunu Tanr\u0131\u2019n\u0131n ikinci b\u00fcy\u00fck l\u00fctfu olarak g\u00f6rmek gerekir. Birincisi, 15 Temmuz darbe giri\u015fimiydi. Saray, l\u00fctfu ba\u015far\u0131yla de\u011ferlendirdi; \u00fclkeyi kararnamelerle y\u00f6netilmeye al\u0131\u015ft\u0131rd\u0131, T\u00fcrk Ordusu\u2019nu budad\u0131 ve kendisine ba\u011flad\u0131, giderek \u00fclkenin b\u00fct\u00fcn ekonomik varl\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 elinde toplad\u0131.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

         \u0130kinci l\u00fctuf sayesinde, s\u0131cak paraya tahvil edebilece\u011fi \u00e7ok de\u011ferli bir d\u0131\u015f politika kart\u0131 elde etti. Bu kart, hem T\u00fcrkiye \u201cAnonim \u015eirketi\u201dni Rus oligarklar\u0131n \u201coff-shore\u201d adas\u0131na d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcrebilir; hem de Saray\u2019\u0131n k\u0131sa d\u00f6nemde ABD ve AB\u2019den asker\u00ee ve ekonomik imk\u00e2n elde etmesini, hatta bir se\u00e7im daha kazanarak iktidarda kalmas\u0131n\u0131 sa\u011flayabilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

         Saray\u2019\u0131n y\u0131ld\u0131z\u0131 birden parlad\u0131.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Daha \u00fc\u00e7 hafta \u00f6nce NATO bizi ciddiye alm\u0131yor, toplant\u0131lara \u00e7a\u011f\u0131rm\u0131yor gibi \u015fik\u00e2yetler y\u00fckselirken, NATO Genel Sekreteri\u2019nin \u201cErdo\u011fan\u2019la g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmek i\u00e7in sab\u0131rs\u0131zlan\u0131yorum,\u201d diye ko\u015fturdu\u011funu g\u00f6rd\u00fck.  Biden\u2019la g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fen Reis, 40 yeni u\u00e7ak istedi ve F-16 modernizasyonu talebinin \u201cen k\u0131sa s\u00fcrede neticeye ula\u015ft\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131\u201dn\u0131 talep etti. Beyaz Saray g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeyi \u201cyap\u0131c\u0131\u201d buldu\u011funu a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131. Ayn\u0131 anda \u0130srail ve Ermenistan\u2019a el uzat\u0131ld\u0131. Nazarbayev\u2019in Antalya\u2019da g\u00f6r\u00fcnmesi fakat Putin\u2019le \u201cittifak\u201d anla\u015fmas\u0131 yapan Aliyev\u2019in g\u00f6r\u00fcnmemesi dikkati \u00e7ekti.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Saray, Montr\u00f6\u2019y\u00fc tam zaman\u0131nda, Karadeniz\u2019in kuzeyi \u0131s\u0131nmaya ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 anda devreye soktu. Rusya ve ABD taraflar\u0131 neredeyse e\u015fzamanl\u0131 olarak bu hamleyi olumlu buldu. Bereket, \u0130stanbul Kanal\u0131\u2019ndan s\u00f6z etmedi. Uyard\u0131lar herhalde, \u201c\u015fimdi s\u0131ras\u0131 de\u011fil,\u201d diye\u2026  <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Say\u0131n Reis, Antalya Diplomasi Forumu\u2019nda bir \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc d\u00fcnya lideri gibi konu\u015ftu, 1945\u2019te olu\u015fturulan BM konvansiyonunun d\u00fcnyan\u0131n ihtiya\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131lamaktan uzak oldu\u011funu belirtti. \u201c\u00c7at\u0131\u015fan taraflardan biri veto hakk\u0131na sahip daimi \u00fcyesi olunca G\u00fcvenlik Konseyi\u2019nin icbar edici rol\u00fc bo\u015fa \u00e7\u0131km\u0131\u015f, sistem iflas bayra\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7ekmi\u015ftir\u201d s\u00f6z\u00fc do\u011fruydu.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Fakat bunlar yetmez\u2026<\/p>\n\n\n\n

T\u00fcrkiye, ABD\u2019nin PKK-YPG\u2019yi h\u0131zla silahs\u0131zland\u0131rmas\u0131n\u0131, AB\u2019nin PKK-HDP\u2019ye verdi\u011fi deste\u011fi kesmesini sa\u011flayacak \u00f6nlemler almal\u0131; Sevilla Haritas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n g\u00fcndemden \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131n\u0131 sa\u011flamal\u0131; ve Do\u011fu Akdeniz\u2019deki enerji kaynaklar\u0131na ve enerji iletim hatlar\u0131na e\u015fit  kat\u0131l\u0131m i\u00e7in elindeki b\u00fct\u00fcn kozlar\u0131 hemen \u015fimdi kullanmal\u0131d\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Saray, tarihin bir l\u00fctfu olarak yakalad\u0131\u011f\u0131 bu avantajl\u0131 konumu Ukrayna krizinin ileriki a\u015famalar\u0131nda netice alacak \u015fekilde s\u00fcrd\u00fcrebilecek mi?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Soru budur.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

D\u00fcnyaya mutabakat, bar\u0131\u015f ve uzla\u015fma tavsiye eden Saray, kendi \u00fclkesinde Cumhuriyet Devrimi\u2019nin sa\u011flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 tarih\u00ee mutabakat\u0131 bozmaya, yurtta\u015flar\u0131n yar\u0131dan fazlas\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6rmezden gelmeye, \u00fclkeyi siyas\u00ee \u0130slam temelinde kutupla\u015ft\u0131rarak \u201ci\u00e7 cepheyi\u201d b\u00f6lmeye devam etti\u011fi s\u00fcrece, bu soruya olumlu yan\u0131t verilemez.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sava\u015f\u0131n yay\u0131lmas\u0131, ilk evrede Balkanlar\u0131 ve Kafkaslar\u0131 vurmas\u0131 h\u00e2linde ABD-NATO\u2019nun \u0130ttifak\u2019\u0131n ikinci b\u00fcy\u00fck ordusundan talepleri olacak; yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n uygulanmas\u0131, Montr\u00f6 S\u00f6zle\u015fmesi ve Karadeniz\u2019in g\u00fcvenli\u011fi bug\u00fcnk\u00fcnden \u00e7ok farkl\u0131 bir \u00f6nem kazanacak, Bat\u0131\u2019n\u0131n bask\u0131lar\u0131 artacakt\u0131r.  <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Yeni 1 Mart (2003) tezkerelerinin TBMM\u2019ye gelece\u011fi, Deniz Baykal gibi adamlar\u0131n ve eski CHP\u2019nin, sokaklara \u00e7\u0131k\u0131p antiemperyalist miting yapacak bask\u0131 gruplar\u0131n\u0131n, sendikalar\u0131n ve sol partilerin olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 (olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131!) ko\u015fullarda, yeni 1 Mart tezkerelerinin bu kez kabul edilece\u011fi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclmelidir.  Millet \u0130ttifak\u0131\u2019n\u0131n, varl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 bor\u00e7lu oldu\u011fu sisteme sadakatle hizmet ederek, Saray\u2019\u0131 var g\u00fcc\u00fcyle NATO-AB politikalar\u0131na ve asker\u00ee stratejisine do\u011fru itece\u011fi de \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclmelidir. Siyas\u00ee rekabet Bat\u0131\u2019ya yaranma yar\u0131\u015f\u0131na d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015fecektir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Demek ki Devlet\u2019in karar mekanizmalar\u0131n\u0131n kooptasyonu, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin b\u00fct\u00fcn asker\u00ee ve diplomatik birikimini kapsayacak \u015fekilde geni\u015fletilmesi gerekir. NATO\u2019dan ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z bir tehdit de\u011ferlendirmesini i\u00e7eren bir g\u00fcvenlik doktrini olu\u015fturulmal\u0131; bunun i\u00e7in 15 Temmuz darbe giri\u015fiminden sonra T\u00fcrk Ordusu\u2019ndan al\u0131nan b\u00fct\u00fcn kurum ve imk\u00e2nlar iade edilerek b\u00fct\u00fcn asker\u00ee kuvvetlerin komuta birli\u011fi sa\u011flanmal\u0131, Sivil Savunma yeniden \u00f6rg\u00fctlenmeli, vahim g\u00fcvenlik sorunu yaratan g\u00f6\u00e7menlerin tamam\u0131 memleketlerine iade edilmelidir.  1912-1913\u2019te ya\u015fanan ve tarihimize Balkan Facias\u0131 olarak ge\u00e7en olaylardan ders al\u0131narak, T\u00fcrk Ordusu tarikat ve cemaatlerden h\u0131zl\u0131 ve sistematik bi\u00e7imde ar\u0131nd\u0131r\u0131lmal\u0131d\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Mill\u00ee Mutabakat, Toplum S\u00f6zle\u015fmesi ve Kurucu Meclis fikri her \u015fart alt\u0131nda \u0131srarla savunulmal\u0131d\u0131r. \u015eu son yirmi y\u0131l T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin kimli\u011fini belirsizle\u015ftirdi. Biz kimiz? Millet miyiz \u00fcmmet miyiz, T\u00fcrk m\u00fcy\u00fcz T\u00fcrkiyeli miyiz, Mecelle mi Medeni Kanun mu, sosyal devlet mi sadaka devleti mi, mill\u00ee misak m\u0131 anonim \u015firket mi; demokrasi ne demektir, hukuk devleti nas\u0131l olunur? Bu temel sorular\u0131 ancak anayasa yapma yetkisine sahip se\u00e7ilmi\u015f bir Kurucu Meclis karara ba\u011flayabilir.  <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Yap\u0131sal de\u011fi\u015fiklikler olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 taktirde Saray\u2019\u0131n ileriki a\u015famalarda zorlanmas\u0131, g\u00fczel \u0130ngilizce konu\u015fmaktan ba\u015fka marifeti olmayan Saray memurlar\u0131n\u0131n, her analizi yanl\u0131\u015f \u00e7\u0131kan ya da fantezi d\u00fczeyinde kalan hukuk ve ekonomi dan\u0131\u015fmanlar\u0131n\u0131n vahim bir beka sorunu yaratmas\u0131 ka\u00e7\u0131n\u0131lmaz g\u00f6r\u00fcnmektedir. D\u0131\u015f politikay\u0131 t\u00fcccar pazarl\u0131\u011f\u0131yla s\u00fcrd\u00fcren tek adam y\u00f6netimi, d\u00fcnya sava\u015f\u0131 ko\u015fullar\u0131nda, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin g\u00fcvenli\u011fini tek karar verici olarak sa\u011flayamaz.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u015eu g\u00fcne\u015fli ve so\u011fuk pazar g\u00fcn\u00fcnde herkese ya\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u015fehirde sivil savunma \u00f6rg\u00fct\u00fcn\u00fcn, hava sald\u0131r\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 haber veren siren sisteminin ve s\u0131\u011f\u0131naklar\u0131n varl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 sorgulamas\u0131n\u0131, ge\u00e7imlik tar\u0131m imk\u00e2nlar\u0131n\u0131 ara\u015ft\u0131rmas\u0131n\u0131 tavsiye ederim.  Veryans\u0131n<\/em>, 13. 03. 2022<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Yavuz Alogan          Rusya\u2019n\u0131n sava\u015f\u0131 Saray\u2019\u0131n \u00e7\u00f6km\u00fc\u015f omuzlar\u0131na \u00e7ok kritik bir reel politik y\u00fck b\u0131rakt\u0131.          Bunu Tanr\u0131\u2019n\u0131n ikinci b\u00fcy\u00fck l\u00fctfu olarak g\u00f6rmek gerekir. Birincisi, 15 Temmuz darbe giri\u015fimiydi. Saray, l\u00fctfu ba\u015far\u0131yla de\u011ferlendirdi; \u00fclkeyi kararnamelerle y\u00f6netilmeye al\u0131\u015ft\u0131rd\u0131, T\u00fcrk Ordusu\u2019nu budad\u0131 ve kendisine ba\u011flad\u0131, giderek \u00fclkenin b\u00fct\u00fcn ekonomik varl\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 elinde toplad\u0131.          \u0130kinci l\u00fctuf sayesinde, s\u0131cak … <\/p>\n

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