{"id":1055,"date":"2022-03-04T10:11:24","date_gmt":"2022-03-04T08:11:24","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/yavuzalogan.com\/?p=1055"},"modified":"2022-03-04T10:11:24","modified_gmt":"2022-03-04T08:11:24","slug":"emperyalist-paylasim-savasi-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/yavuzalogan.com\/?p=1055","title":{"rendered":"EMPERYAL\u0130ST PAYLA\u015eIM SAVA\u015eI"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Yavuz Alogan<\/p>\n\n\n\n

         ABD ile Sovyetler Birli\u011fi aras\u0131nda n\u00fckleer silahlarla ilgili ilk anla\u015fma denemesi 1958\u2019de yap\u0131ld\u0131. Toplant\u0131n\u0131n uzun bir ismi vard\u0131: \u201cS\u00fcrpriz sald\u0131r\u0131y\u0131 \u00f6nlemeye yard\u0131mc\u0131 olabilecek olas\u0131 \u00f6nlemleri inceleme ve bu konuda h\u00fck\u00fcmetlere rapor haz\u0131rlama ama\u00e7l\u0131 uzmanlar konferans\u0131.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

         Toplant\u0131 sonu\u00e7suz kald\u0131. G\u00fcndemler \u00e7ok farkl\u0131yd\u0131.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

         O s\u0131rada ABD n\u00fckleer silahlarla yap\u0131lacak yeni bir Pearl Harbor bask\u0131n\u0131ndan korkuyordu. Sovyetler Birli\u011fi ise NATO\u2019nun Bat\u0131 Almanya\u2019y\u0131 n\u00fckleer silahlarla donatarak ba\u015flataca\u011f\u0131 yeni bir Barbarossa Harek\u00e2t\u0131\u2019ndan \u00e7ekiniyordu.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

         O d\u00f6nemden g\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcze kadar, 1963\u2019te Beyaz Saray ile Kremlin aras\u0131nda yap\u0131lan \u201ck\u0131rm\u0131z\u0131 telefon\u201d anla\u015fmas\u0131ndan, 1979\u2019da Brejnev ile Carter aras\u0131nda imzalanan SALT-II antla\u015fmas\u0131na kadar pek \u00e7ok antla\u015fma, anla\u015fma, s\u00f6zle\u015fme, protokol denendi, say\u0131s\u0131z kitap yaz\u0131ld\u0131, konferanslar d\u00fczenlendi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

         Sovyetler Birli\u011fi\u2019nin \u00e7\u00f6k\u00fc\u015f\u00fc, Var\u015fova Pakt\u0131\u2019n\u0131n da\u011f\u0131lmas\u0131 ve NATO\u2019nun Rusya\u2019y\u0131 ku\u015fatacak \u015fekilde geni\u015flemesiyle birlikte n\u00fckleer silahlar\u0131 \u00f6nleme giri\u015fimleri sona erdi ve silahlanma yar\u0131\u015f\u0131 d\u00fcnyay\u0131 kaplayan kapitalizmle birlikte dizginlerinden bo\u015falarak muazzam bir geli\u015fme kaydetti.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

         \u0130ki olay, ABD-NATO ile Rusya\u2019y\u0131 Avrupa\u2019da   kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya getirdi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

         Birincisi, Medvedev\u2019in Rusya\u2019yla kara ba\u011flant\u0131s\u0131 olmayan Kaliningrad (orta menzilli) f\u00fcze \u00fcss\u00fcn\u00fc 2011\u2019de t\u00f6renle hizmete a\u00e7mas\u0131; ikincisi ise, ABD\u2019nin  1987\u2019de Sovyetler Birli\u011fi’yle imzalad\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve bug\u00fcnk\u00fc Rusya\u2019n\u0131n da taraf oldu\u011fu Orta Menzilli N\u00fckleer G\u00fc\u00e7ler Anla\u015fmas\u0131’ndan (INF) 2019\u2019da \u00e7ekilmesidir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

         Rusya\u2019n\u0131n Ukrayna\u2019y\u0131 istila giri\u015fimiyle birlikte \u201cn\u00fckleer sava\u015f\u201d tehlikesi 1962 K\u00fcba krizinden bu yana ilk kez kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131kl\u0131 tehdit d\u00fczeyinde a\u00e7\u0131k\u00e7a dile getirilmi\u015ftir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Parantez i\u00e7inde belirtmek gerekir ki n\u00fckleer sava\u015fla \u201cvatan savunmas\u0131\u201d yap\u0131lmaz; jeostratejik kazan\u0131m sa\u011flanmaz, n\u00fcfuz alan\u0131 elde edilmez. N\u00fckleer sava\u015f\u0131n yarataca\u011f\u0131 felaket hi\u00e7bir stratejik mecburiyetle ve vatanseverlik duygusuyla savunulamaz, hakl\u0131 \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131lamaz. Cayd\u0131rma \u00f6zelli\u011fi zay\u0131flam\u0131\u015f (\u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc herkeste var), sald\u0131r\u0131\/tahrip \u00f6zelli\u011fi ise yerk\u00fcrede canl\u0131 hayat\u0131n\u0131 yok edecek \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde g\u00fc\u00e7lendirilmi\u015ftir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

         Cenevre Konvansiyonlar\u0131\u2019yla yasaklanan b\u00fct\u00fcn silahlar sava\u015f sahas\u0131nda kullan\u0131lmaktad\u0131r, giderek daha fazla kullan\u0131lacakt\u0131r. Yenilme s\u00fcrecine giren taraf\u0131n n\u00fckleer f\u00fczeleri ate\u015flemesi nas\u0131l \u00f6nlenecektir?  G\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fczde n\u00fckleer sava\u015f felaketini \u00f6nleyecek hi\u00e7bir uluslararas\u0131 kurum ya da k\u00fcresel otorite bulunmamaktad\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

         Ukrayna sava\u015f\u0131na kadar ABD-NATO, Rusya\u2019y\u0131 asker\u00ee \u00fcslerle ku\u015fatmaya, Karadeniz\u2019le ba\u011flant\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 kesmeye ve eski Sovyet cumhuriyetlerinde kar\u0131\u015f\u0131kl\u0131k \u00e7\u0131kararak Rusya\u2019n\u0131n merkez\u00ee g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc  co\u011fraf\u00ee olarak da\u011f\u0131tmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k Rusya, 2008\u2019de (G\u00fcney Osetya) ve 2014\u2019te (K\u0131r\u0131m) sert g\u00fc\u00e7 kullanarak stratejik n\u00fcfuz alanlar\u0131n\u0131 kontrol alt\u0131na ald\u0131, Ukrayna do\u011fusunda Lugansk ve Donetsk b\u00f6lgelerini tahkim etti.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

         Ukrayna sava\u015f\u0131yla birlikte Rusya, ABD-NATO\u2019nun stratejik konseptini bozdu fakat ayn\u0131 zamanda Bat\u0131 \u00e2lemini NATO\u2019sundan AB\u2019sine kadar birle\u015ftirdi. Ku\u015fatmay\u0131 yard\u0131 fakat d\u00fc\u015fman\u0131n b\u00f6l\u00fcnme ve gerileme s\u00fcrecini durdurmu\u015f oldu.  Sava\u015f\u0131n kaderi Ukrayna sava\u015f sahas\u0131nda belirlenecektir. Bu bak\u0131mdan Ukrayna sava\u015f sahas\u0131, d\u00f6nemin b\u00fct\u00fcn ideolojik\/politik ve asker\u00ee g\u00fc\u00e7lerinin II. D\u00fcnya Sava\u015f\u0131\u2019n\u0131n hemen \u00f6ncesinde do\u011frudan ve dolayl\u0131 olarak hesapla\u015ft\u0131klar\u0131 1936-39 \u0130spanya \u0130\u00e7 Sava\u015f\u0131\u2019n\u0131 and\u0131rmaktad\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

         Rusya, Ukrayna\u2019n\u0131n tamam\u0131n\u0131 ya da sadece Dinyeper do\u011fusunu istila eder (bat\u0131s\u0131nda silahtan ar\u0131nd\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f bir tampon b\u00f6lge b\u0131rak\u0131r) ve sahada istikrar sa\u011flayabilirse, sava\u015f\u0131 kazanm\u0131\u015f olur. Fakat bu durumda  bile Rusya,  tarihsel imperium\u2019una do\u011fru geni\u015fleme cazibesinden kesinlikle   kurtulamayacakt\u0131r. (\u201cBizim \u00e7arm\u0131h\u0131m\u0131z a\u011f\u0131rd\u0131r,\u201d demi\u015f \u0130van \u0130lyin.) B\u00fcy\u00fck Rus Stratejisi (Grand Strategy) bu \u00fclkenin en az\u0131ndan Balt\u0131k Denizi\u2019ne ula\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131 ve Karadeniz\u2019e h\u00e2kim olmas\u0131n\u0131 gerektirmektedir (I. D\u00fcnya Sava\u015f\u0131\u2019nda \u00c7ar II. Nikolay gibi \u0130stanbul Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131 ve Marmara k\u0131y\u0131 b\u00f6lgelerini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnmezler herhalde!). Rusya\u2019n\u0131n bu y\u00f6nde hareket etmesi, Atlantik elitleriyle hesapla\u015f\u0131yoruz diye sevinen Dugin gibi meczuplar\u0131n \u201cGrand Reset\u201d dedikleri nihai hesapla\u015fmaya yol a\u00e7acakt\u0131r: topyek\u00fbn bir s\u0131cak d\u00fcnya sava\u015f\u0131! (Sergey Lavrov: \u201c\u00dc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc d\u00fcnya sava\u015f\u0131 n\u00fckleer ve y\u0131k\u0131c\u0131 olur.\u201d)<\/p>\n\n\n\n

         Rusya\u2019n\u0131n Ukrayna\u2019da bata\u011fa saplanmas\u0131 ve a\u011f\u0131r kay\u0131plara u\u011framas\u0131 Putin\u2019in bir Kremlin klasi\u011fi olan saray darbesiyle devrilmesine ve Rusya\u2019n\u0131n birka\u00e7 par\u00e7aya b\u00f6l\u00fcnerek Bat\u0131\u2019yla politik (politik!) entegrasyonuna (1991\u2019de ba\u015flayan ekonomik entegrasyon evreler h\u00e2linde s\u00fcrmektedir) yol a\u00e7acakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

         Bu sava\u015f, I. D\u00fcnya Sava\u015f\u0131 gibi bir imparatorluklar sava\u015f\u0131 ya da II. D\u00fcnya Sava\u015f\u0131 gibi bir ideolojiler (fa\u015fizm-kom\u00fcnizm-liberalizm) sava\u015f\u0131 de\u011fil, emperyalist \u00fclkeler aras\u0131nda cereyan eden saf anlamda jeopolitik bir payla\u015f\u0131m sava\u015f\u0131d\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bu sava\u015fta kimin hakl\u0131 ve masum, kimin haks\u0131z ve su\u00e7lu oldu\u011funu tart\u0131\u015fmak, benzetme yoluyla fa\u015fist ya da demokrat vs g\u00fc\u00e7ler bulmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmak ve taraf tutmak tam bir ahmakl\u0131kt\u0131r. Rusya\u2019n\u0131n \u015fu anda tamamen kaybetti\u011fi g\u00f6r\u00fclen medyatik propaganda sava\u015f\u0131, h\u0131zlanarak s\u00fcrecektir. Mevcut medya haberlerinin tamam\u0131na yak\u0131n\u0131 manip\u00fclatiftir. Bu y\u00fczden tarihsel ger\u00e7eklere, g\u00fc\u00e7ler dengesine, a\u00e7\u0131k\u00e7a ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan olgulara ve neticelere bakarak de\u011ferlendirme yapmak gerekir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

         Bu sava\u015fta taraf tutmak zorunda de\u011filiz.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

         T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin NATO\u2019nun stratejik konseptinden ayr\u0131 bir asker\u00ee doktrin geli\u015ftirmesi gerekir. Bunun i\u00e7in Saray Y\u00f6netimi\u2019nin 15 Temmuz hain darbe giri\u015fiminin ard\u0131ndan T\u00fcrk Silahl\u0131 Kuvvetleri\u2019nin elinden ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 b\u00fct\u00fcn kurum, imk\u00e2n ve kabiliyetleri iade etmesi, Kozmik Oda felaketinin h\u0131zla telafi edilerek yeni bir sivil savunma konseptinin \/ \u00f6rg\u00fct\u00fcn\u00fcn h\u0131zla kurulmas\u0131 ve T\u00fcrk Ordusu\u2019nun emir komuta birli\u011finin bir saat bile gecikmeden sa\u011flanmas\u0131 gerekir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

 Yay\u0131lmas\u0131 h\u00e2linde bu sava\u015f\u0131n \u015fu ya da bu bi\u00e7imde bizi kapsamamas\u0131 imk\u00e2ns\u0131zd\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

NATO\u2019da kalacak m\u0131y\u0131z, \u00e7\u0131kacak m\u0131y\u0131z; NATO\u2019da kalarak Rusya\u2019yla i\u015fbirli\u011fi mi yapaca\u011f\u0131z; Rusya\u2019dan silah al\u0131rken Ukrayna\u2019ya silah m\u0131 sataca\u011f\u0131z; 84 milyonluk T\u00fcrkiye olarak tarihi ve co\u011frafyas\u0131 bize hi\u00e7 benzemeyen 5,5 milyonluk Finlandiya gibi \u00f6zel bir stat\u00fc m\u00fc talep edece\u011fiz? Kimden talep edece\u011fiz?  Kendi modelimizi olu\u015fturup d\u00fcnyaya kabul ettiremeyecek miyiz?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u00d6zetle, \u00dc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc Emperyalist Payla\u015f\u0131m Sava\u015f\u0131\u2019nda \u00fclkemizi nas\u0131l muhafaza ve m\u00fcdafaa edece\u011fiz?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Soru budur!<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Gerisi, tahmin temenni, niyet sohbet ve dedikodudan ibarettir. Veryans\u0131n<\/em>, 04. 03. 2022    <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Yavuz Alogan          ABD ile Sovyetler Birli\u011fi aras\u0131nda n\u00fckleer silahlarla ilgili ilk anla\u015fma denemesi 1958\u2019de yap\u0131ld\u0131. Toplant\u0131n\u0131n uzun bir ismi vard\u0131: \u201cS\u00fcrpriz sald\u0131r\u0131y\u0131 \u00f6nlemeye yard\u0131mc\u0131 olabilecek olas\u0131 \u00f6nlemleri inceleme ve bu konuda h\u00fck\u00fcmetlere rapor haz\u0131rlama ama\u00e7l\u0131 uzmanlar konferans\u0131.\u201d          Toplant\u0131 sonu\u00e7suz kald\u0131. G\u00fcndemler \u00e7ok farkl\u0131yd\u0131.          O s\u0131rada ABD n\u00fckleer silahlarla yap\u0131lacak yeni bir Pearl … <\/p>\n

Continue reading “EMPERYAL\u0130ST PAYLA\u015eIM SAVA\u015eI”<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1055","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/yavuzalogan.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1055","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/yavuzalogan.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/yavuzalogan.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/yavuzalogan.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/yavuzalogan.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=1055"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"http:\/\/yavuzalogan.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1055\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1057,"href":"http:\/\/yavuzalogan.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1055\/revisions\/1057"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/yavuzalogan.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=1055"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/yavuzalogan.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=1055"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/yavuzalogan.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=1055"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}