{"id":1044,"date":"2022-02-25T09:43:12","date_gmt":"2022-02-25T07:43:12","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/yavuzalogan.com\/?p=1044"},"modified":"2022-02-25T09:43:12","modified_gmt":"2022-02-25T07:43:12","slug":"rusyanin-sinirlari","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/yavuzalogan.com\/?p=1044","title":{"rendered":"RUSYA’NIN SINIRLARI"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Yavuz Alogan<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Her b\u00fcy\u00fck sava\u015f bir \u00f6nceki bar\u0131\u015f\u0131n sonucudur. Antla\u015fmalar\u0131n s\u00f6zle\u015fmelerin eksik b\u0131rakt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 tamamlamak ya da bozdu\u011funu d\u00fczeltmek i\u00e7in yap\u0131l\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

         1919 Versailles Bar\u0131\u015f\u0131\u2019yla Alman \u0130mparatorlu\u011fu par\u00e7aland\u0131, Alman halk\u0131 a\u011f\u0131r \u015fartlarla cezaland\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131. ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Wilson\u2019\u0131n \u201ckendi kaderini tayin\u201d ilkesi Avrupa \u00e7ap\u0131nda mikro milliyet\u00e7ili\u011fi, yan\u0131 s\u0131ra k\u0131tada tarihsel k\u00f6kleri olan \u0131rk\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 canland\u0131rd\u0131. Almanlar\u0131n farkl\u0131 ulusal s\u0131n\u0131rlar i\u00e7inde kalan Germenleri birle\u015ftirme ve Versailles haritas\u0131n\u0131 de\u011fi\u015ftirme tutkusu Eyl\u00fcl 1939\u2019da II. D\u00fcnya Sava\u015f\u0131\u2019na yol a\u00e7t\u0131.  Finlandiya K\u0131\u015f Sava\u015f\u0131\u2019ndan sonra Rusya\u2019n\u0131n ihra\u00e7 edildi\u011fi (Aral\u0131k 1939), ABD\u2019nin ise kat\u0131lmaya tenezz\u00fcl etmedi\u011fi Milletler Cemiyeti k\u0131tada bar\u0131\u015f\u0131 korumak i\u00e7in hi\u00e7bir \u015fey yapamad\u0131.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

         Birle\u015fmi\u015f Milletler (1945) sava\u015f\u0131n yol a\u00e7t\u0131\u011f\u0131 payla\u015f\u0131m temelinde kuruldu; II. D\u00fcnya Sava\u015f\u0131\u2019n\u0131n galipleri Tahran (1943), Yalta  ve Potsdam (1945) Konferanslar\u0131\u2019nda Balkanlar\u2019\u0131, Orta ve Do\u011fu Avrupa\u2019y\u0131, Pasifik b\u00f6lgesini  n\u00fcfuz alanlar\u0131na b\u00f6lerek kendi aralar\u0131nda payla\u015ft\u0131lar.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

        So\u011fuk Sava\u015f\u2019a ra\u011fmen, 1945\u2019ten kabaca 2001\u2019e kadar b\u00f6lgesel sava\u015flar ve s\u00f6m\u00fcrgecilik d\u00f6neminin art\u00e7\u0131 sava\u015flar\u0131 d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda insanl\u0131k bar\u0131\u015f i\u00e7inde, s\u00fcrekli ilerleme, geli\u015fme umuduyla ya\u015fad\u0131. Reel sosyalist sistemin \u201cs\u00fcper g\u00fc\u00e7\u201d seviyesine y\u00fckselerek kapitalist sisteme meydan okumas\u0131 ve alternatif olu\u015fturmas\u0131, bat\u0131 \u00fclkelerinde etkili olan g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc sendikalar\u0131n, sosyalist\/sosyal demokrat siyas\u00ee doktrin partilerinin varl\u0131\u011f\u0131, geli\u015fmi\u015f ya da az geli\u015fmi\u015f b\u00fct\u00fcn kapitalist \u00fclkelere sosyal refah, toplumsal kalk\u0131nma, b\u00f6l\u00fc\u015f\u00fcmde e\u015fitlik ve adalet gibi g\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fczde kullan\u0131lmayan kavramlar\u0131 getirdi. \u0130nsanl\u0131k bu kavramlar\u0131 sonsuza kadar benimsemi\u015f gibi g\u00f6r\u00fcnd\u00fc.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

         Geni\u015f reel sosyalizm alan\u0131n\u0131n 1989-91 aras\u0131nda Var\u015fova asker\u00ee pakt\u0131 ve Comecon ticar\u00ee ve ekonomik i\u015fbirli\u011fi \u00f6rg\u00fct\u00fcyle birlikte \u00e7\u00f6kmesi, Belovej Antla\u015fmas\u0131\u2019yla (Aral\u0131k 1991) SSCB\u2019nin da\u011f\u0131lmas\u0131 muazzam bir ideolojik ve jeopolitik bo\u015fluk yaratt\u0131. NATO bat\u0131dan do\u011fuya kuzeyden g\u00fcneye do\u011fru yay\u0131larak bo\u015flu\u011fu doldurmaya ba\u015flad\u0131. Bat\u0131, Rusya\u2019y\u0131 ku\u015fatmakla kalmad\u0131, Balkanlar\u2019dan Kafkasya\u2019ya, oradan Orta Asya\u2019ya kadar Rusya\u2019n\u0131n b\u00fct\u00fcn etki alanlar\u0131n\u0131 ve hinterland\u2019\u0131n\u0131 (arka b\u00f6lgelerini) sermayesiyle, \u015firketleriyle, NGO\u2019lar\u0131yla i\u015fgal etti.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

         Birle\u015fmi\u015f Milletler 1990\u2019dan, Birinci K\u00f6rfez Sava\u015f\u0131\u2019n\u0131n ba\u015flamas\u0131ndan itibaren devre d\u0131\u015f\u0131 kald\u0131; ABD Ortado\u011fu\u2019daki egemen devletlerin s\u0131n\u0131rlar\u0131n\u0131 de\u011fi\u015ftirmek i\u00e7in sava\u015fmaya, etnik ve din\u00ee gruplar\u0131 vek\u00e2leten sava\u015ft\u0131rmaya ba\u015flad\u0131.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

         So\u011fuk Sava\u015f resm\u00ee bir antla\u015fmayla sonu\u00e7lanmad\u0131. Taraflardan biri (SSCB) kendili\u011finden \u00e7\u00f6km\u00fc\u015f ve kendi karar\u0131yla da\u011f\u0131lmay\u0131 kabul etmi\u015fti.  Taraflar yeni bir Birle\u015fmi\u015f Milletler d\u00fczeni kurma giri\u015fiminde de bulunmad\u0131lar. O zamana kadar g\u00fcndemde tutulan b\u00fct\u00fcn silahs\u0131zlanma anla\u015fma ve giri\u015fimleri rafa kald\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131. \u015eimdiki sava\u015f\u0131n tohumlar\u0131 1989-91\u2019de \u201ctarihin sonu\u201d gibi, yani nihai ve sonsuz bir bar\u0131\u015f\u0131n ba\u015flang\u0131c\u0131 gibi g\u00f6r\u00fcnen d\u00f6nemde at\u0131ld\u0131. Ebed\u00ee bar\u0131\u015f\u0131n ba\u015flang\u0131c\u0131 san\u0131lan d\u00f6nem, d\u00fcn ba\u015flayan ve uzun s\u00fcrece\u011fi anla\u015f\u0131lan sava\u015f\u0131n sebebini olu\u015fturdu.  <\/p>\n\n\n\n

         1991\u2019de Rusya jeopolitik olarak yenildi, ideolojisi iflas etti; i\u00e7eriden ve d\u0131\u015far\u0131dan Bat\u0131\u2019n\u0131n b\u00fct\u00fcn imk\u00e2n ve kabiliyetleriyle, silahlar\u0131yla ve sermayesiyle ku\u015fat\u0131ld\u0131. \u015eimdi Putin Ukrayna\u2019n\u0131n i\u015fgaliyle bu ku\u015fatmay\u0131 yarmaya, NATO bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 durdurarak \u201cileriden savunma\u201d hatlar\u0131n\u0131 m\u00fcmk\u00fcn oldu\u011fu \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde ele ge\u00e7irip yeniden yap\u0131land\u0131rmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

         Herkes soruyor, Putin\u2019in akl\u0131nda ne var?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

         Putin\u2019in akl\u0131nda \u201cs\u00fcper g\u00fc\u00e7\u201d stat\u00fcs\u00fcn\u00fc kabul ettirerek vassal devletleri ve n\u00fcfuz alanlar\u0131yla birlikte yeni bir Ortodoks H\u0131ristiyan Rus \u0130mparatorlu\u011fu kurma d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcncesi var.  B\u00fct\u00fcn Slavlar\u0131 birle\u015ftirmek, Belarus\u2019tan kuzeye do\u011fru giderek Balt\u0131k b\u00f6lgesini fethedip denize \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f sa\u011flamak, Karadeniz\u2019e h\u00e2kim olmak, Kafkaslardan Vladivostok\u2019a kadar, Hazar Denizi\u2019nin do\u011fusundaki \u00fclkeleri de kapsayacak \u015fekilde bir imperium (imparatorluk alan\u0131) olu\u015fturmak, Ortado\u011fu\u2019daki \u201cb\u00f6lgesel devletler\u201di (Irak, T\u00fcrkiye, Suriye, \u0130ran) etki alan\u0131na almak istiyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u015eimdiki Rusya\u2019n\u0131n stratejik doktrini budur ve a\u00e7\u0131k u\u00e7ludur. Putin\u2019in, \u201cRusya\u2019n\u0131n s\u0131n\u0131rlar\u0131 yoktur\u201d s\u00f6z\u00fc bu doktrinin en k\u0131sa ifadesidir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

         Bu geni\u015f ve nihai hedef Rusya\u2019n\u0131n asker\u00ee, ekonomik ve toplumsal g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fcn \u00e7ok \u00f6tesindedir. Ula\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131 imk\u00e2ns\u0131zd\u0131r. Putin\u2019in Ruslar\u0131n B\u00fcy\u00fck \u00c7ar\u0131 rol\u00fcn\u00fc sonuna kadar oynamas\u0131, Rus halk\u0131n\u0131n yeni \u00e7ar\u0131 uzun s\u00fcre s\u0131rt\u0131nda ta\u015f\u0131mas\u0131 da beklenemez.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

         Putin oligar\u015fisi b\u00fcy\u00fck bir asker\u00ee engelle ya da yenilgi veya bask\u0131yla kar\u015f\u0131la\u015fmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 ya da 1989-91\u2019deki gibi i\u00e7e do\u011fru \u00e7\u00f6kmedi\u011fi s\u00fcrece, duraksayarak da olsa asker\u00ee y\u00f6ntemlerle stratejik hedeflerini ele ge\u00e7irme \u00e7abas\u0131n\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrecektir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

         Ukrayna\u2019n\u0131n i\u015fgali \u015fimdiki h\u00e2lde kendi i\u00e7inde b\u00f6l\u00fcnm\u00fc\u015f ve beyni sulanm\u0131\u015f NATO\u2019nun yeniden birle\u015fip peki\u015fmesi ve  \u00c7in\u2019in Pasifik\u2019teki elinin g\u00fc\u00e7lenmesi gibi  iki sonu\u00e7 do\u011furdu. ABD\/NATO  \u201c\u00e7evreleme\u201d (containment), \u00c7in \u201cdolayl\u0131 tutum,\u201d Rusya ise sert g\u00fc\u00e7 kullanma stratejisini s\u00fcrd\u00fcrecektir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

         N\u00fckleer felakete yol a\u00e7mad\u0131\u011f\u0131 taktirde b\u00fct\u00fcn bu \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n \u00e7ok b\u00fcy\u00fck kay\u0131plar\u0131n ard\u0131ndan yeni bir Birle\u015fmi\u015f Milletler konvansiyonuna ve uluslararas\u0131 hukukun yenilenmesine yol a\u00e7abilece\u011fini bu evrede ancak umabiliriz.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

         Son tahlilde, kibirli ve aptal Amerikal\u0131\u2019n\u0131n a\u00e7g\u00f6zl\u00fcl\u00fc\u011f\u00fc ile ma\u011frur ve yaral\u0131 Rus\u2019un ihtiraslar\u0131 ayn\u0131 kapitalist d\u00fcnya sistemi i\u00e7inde kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya geldi.  Birincisi tek kutuplu d\u00fcnya sistemini, ikincisi ise emperyal h\u00e2kimiyet alan\u0131n\u0131 geri istiyor. Binlerce, belki milyonlarca isimsiz \u00f6l\u00fc ve muazzam madd\u00ee kay\u0131plar pahas\u0131na\u2026<\/p>\n\n\n\n

NATO\u2019yu ve en genelde bat\u0131 emperyalizmini \u201cdemokrasi\u201dnin savunucusu olarak g\u00f6rmek ya da Rusya\u2019y\u0131 emperyalizme kar\u015f\u0131 m\u00fccadele eden mazlum bir \u00fclke, hatta ezilen milletlerin kurtar\u0131c\u0131s\u0131 sanmak, k\u00f6rl\u00fck, cehalet ve ahmakl\u0131ktan ba\u015fka bir \u015fey de\u011fildir. Kendi varl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ikisinden birinin stratejik anaforuna b\u0131rakan az geli\u015fmi\u015f \u00fclkelerin gelece\u011fi yoktur. \u00a0Veryans\u0131n<\/em>, 25. 02. 2022<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Yavuz Alogan Her b\u00fcy\u00fck sava\u015f bir \u00f6nceki bar\u0131\u015f\u0131n sonucudur. Antla\u015fmalar\u0131n s\u00f6zle\u015fmelerin eksik b\u0131rakt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 tamamlamak ya da bozdu\u011funu d\u00fczeltmek i\u00e7in yap\u0131l\u0131r.          1919 Versailles Bar\u0131\u015f\u0131\u2019yla Alman \u0130mparatorlu\u011fu par\u00e7aland\u0131, Alman halk\u0131 a\u011f\u0131r \u015fartlarla cezaland\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131. ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Wilson\u2019\u0131n \u201ckendi kaderini tayin\u201d ilkesi Avrupa \u00e7ap\u0131nda mikro milliyet\u00e7ili\u011fi, yan\u0131 s\u0131ra k\u0131tada tarihsel k\u00f6kleri olan \u0131rk\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 canland\u0131rd\u0131. Almanlar\u0131n farkl\u0131 ulusal s\u0131n\u0131rlar … <\/p>\n

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